Karl Garrett
NC Charlotte vs. ST. JOSEPH'S - at Atlantic City, NJ
St. John's plus the points, OUTRIGHT from the G-Man on Tuesday to get championship week off on a winning note for free!
This afternoon from the boardwalk in Atlantic City, G-Man going to "watch the tram cars", and watch the Hawks of St. Joseph's take care of business against the Charlotte 49ers.
Both schools were shaky at best down the stretch, but the 49ers won just once in their final five games straight up, and failed ALL 5 against the spread to get to this game against the Hawks.
St. Joseph's endured a late season five game slide, but were able to record wins in 2 of their last 3 both straight up, and against the spread. The Hawks figure to have some fans in the stands, as Atlantic City is a short ride from the Main Line in Philly, and that always helps when you have the crowd behind you.
Joey's has won 2 of the last 3 series meetings both straight up, and against the spread, and they did win this season's lone meeting, 78-69 as the 7-point choice.
With Charlotte a dismal 1-12-1 against the spread on the road this year, the choice in this one is obvious.
4♦ ST. JOSEPH'S
JIM FEIST
NEW JERSEY NETS / GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Take Over
Golden State is No. 2 in total offense, just behind the Lakers, with 107.8 ppg. Defensively, these teams rank No. 20 and 22 in the NBA allowing over 46% shooting by opponents. New Jersey has a strong offense led by young Devin Harris, on a 9-2 run over the total. Golden State is home after a 4-game road trip and has looked out of gas, allowing 110, 108 and 127 points the last three games (all losses). Look for an uptempo game from start to finish. Play the Nets/Warriors over the total.
VEGAS EXPERTS
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat
The Celtics have five players, three of them key contributors, out for this ball game. They'll get the best shot from the Heat, who have lost six straight times to Boston and won't let this opportunity pass them by. Dwyane Wade is playing like an MVP right now, having scored 40 or more points in five of his last nine games overall. The team is also 12-3 ATS after allowing 105 or more points in its last game and 5-1 ATS this season after scoring 110 or more.
Play on: Miami
DUNKEL
Toronto at Philadelphia
The Sixers look to bounce back from an 89-74 loss at Oklahoma City and build on their 9-5 ATS record after losing by 10 or more points in their previous game. Philadelphia is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sixers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-6 1/2).
Game 601-602: New Orleans at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 119.647; Washington 113.774
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 6; 189
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 8; 194
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+8); Under
Game 603-604: Chicago at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 116.771; Orlando 125.667
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 9; 204
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 605-606: Utah at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 124.737; Atlanta 122.129
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 2 1/2; 193 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 607-608: Toronto at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.008; Philadelphia 119.963
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 8; 205 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-6 1/2); Over
Game 609-610: New York at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.442; Detroit 124.234
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 10; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 7; 207
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-7); Under
Game 611-612: Boston at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.412; Miami 120.328
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 613-614: Memphis at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 111.270; Minnesota 112.918
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 615-616: LA Lakers at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 122.603; Houston 126.528
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 4; 197
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 617-618: Oklahoma City at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 114.052; Denver 124.619
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 10 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 619-620: Dallas at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.782; Portland 127.782
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 10; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 8; 196
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-8); Over
NCAAB
Air Force vs. Colorado State
The Falcons struggled to score this season (58.0 ppg) and run into a CSU team that is 5-1 ATS over the last three seasons against poor offensive teams (<=64 ppg). The Rams are the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has Colorado State favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-2).
Game 623-624: DePaul vs. Providence
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 54.248; Providence 61.604
Dunkel Line: Providence by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Providence by 9
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+9)
Game 625-626: St. John's vs. Marquette
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 60.201; Marquette 69.028
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 627-628: Notre Dame vs. West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 68.977; West Virginia 72.529
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 629-630: Seton Hall vs. Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 62.917; Syracuse 73.020
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 633-634: Charlotte vs. St. Joseph's
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 55.931; St. Joseph's 57.692
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 2
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 4
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4)
Game 635-636: Massachusetts vs. Duquesne
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 56.448; Duquesne 61.124
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (-2 1/2)
Game 637-638: St. Bonaventure vs. Richmond
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 53.228; Richmond 56.305
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 3
Vegas Line: Richmond by 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+5)
Game 639-640: Baylor vs. Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 60.552; Nebraska 63.766
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 3
Vegas Line: Baylor by 1
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+1)
Game 641-642: Colorado vs. Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 52.063; Texas 67.494
Dunkel Line: Texas by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-13 1/2)
Game 643-644: Iowa State vs. Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 58.112; Oklahoma State 68.537
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-10)
Game 645-646: Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 63.526; Texas A&M 66.684
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 3
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 6
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+6)
Game 647-648: Rice vs. Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 53.522; Marshall 57.393
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 4
Vegas Line: Marshall by 6
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+6)
Game 649-650: Southern Mississippi vs. Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 51.299; Central Florida 55.767
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 3
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-3)
Game 651-652: East Carolina vs. Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 51.068; Tulane 56.904
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 6
Vegas Line: Tulane by 3
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-3)
Game 653-654: SMU vs. Houston
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 53.177; Houston 62.968
Dunkel Line: Houston by 10
Vegas Line: Houston by 11
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+11)
Game 655-656: Air Force vs. Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 48.202; Colorado State 53.394
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 5
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-2)
Game 657-658: Stanford vs. Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 67.147; Oregon State 63.139
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 4
Vegas Line: Stanford by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+6 1/2)
Game 659-660: Oregon vs. Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 59.431; Washington State 66.090
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+8)
Game 661-662: UC-Davis vs. UC-Irvine
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 49.509; UC-Irvine 53.680
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 4
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-1 1/2)
Game 663-664: CS-Fullerton vs. UC-Riverside
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 50.923; UC-Riverside 50.943
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+1 1/2)
Game 665-666: Montana State vs. Portland State
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 46.117; Portland State 54.538
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 667-668: Mt. St. Mary's vs. Robert Morris
Dunkel Ratings: Mt. St. Mary's 51.942; Robert Morris 55.383
Dunkel Line: Robert Morris by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Robert Morris by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mt. St. Mary's (+4 1/2)
NHL
Vancouver at Anaheim
The Canucks come in having won four of their last five and face an Anaheim team that is 0-3 in March. Vancouver is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Canucks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-130).
Game 1-2: Tampa Bay at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.197; Ottawa 10.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+200); Over
Game 3-4: Carolina at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.553; Chicago 11.879
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-175); Over
Game 5-6: Vancouver at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.060; Anaheim 10.888
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-125); Under
Jrtips
NEW ORLEANS vs. WASHINGTON WIZARDS
The New Orleans Hornets (39-23) face the struggling Washington Wizards trying to bounce back from a flat performance, but winning at the Verizon Center has been a very tough task for them. The Hornets try for their first victory in Washington in more than five years tonight. New Orleans had its season-best seven-game win streak end Monday night with a 89-79 loss at Atlanta as the Hornets were outscored 27-12 in the second quarter after taking an eight-point lead after the first period. The loss, coupled with Portland's victory over the Los Angeles Lakers, dropped the Hornets a half-game behind the Trail Blazers into sixth in the West. New Orleans will look to get back on track by trying to win for the first time at the Verizon Center since 2004. New Orleans has lost four straight in Washington, falling by an average of 17.3 points in those games. The Hornets have to get better production from the bench as the reserves scored only seven points Monday and haven't contributed more than 24 in any of the last nine games.The loss of forward Peja Stojakovic hasn't helped New Orleans' depth, and he's questionable for Wednesday after missing three straight games with back spasms. Julian Wright is expected to start again and has averaged 12.7 points on 65.4 percent shooting in Stojakovic's absence. In the Hornets' last meeting with Washington on Dec. 30th, Chris Paul's triple-double lifted New Orleans to a 97-85 home win that broke its three-game skid in the series. Paul has averaged 24.0 points and 12.7 assists in his last three games and has shot 63.9 percent in five career contests against Washington. Caron Butler's return for the Wizards has provided an offensive spark as they snapped a five-game losing streak with Monday night's 110-99 victory over Minnesota. Butler has 47 points in two games since coming back from a sore left hamstring, and Washington (15-49) topped 100 points and shot at least 52.0 percent in each contest. The previous three games Butler missed, the Wizards averaged 83.3 points in that span. Butler had 27 points and 10 rebounds Monday, and Antawn Jamison added 26 points. Jamison is averaging a team-leading 21.7 points and 9.1 rebounds, and has scored at least 20 points in six of his last eight meetings with the Hornets although Butler has missed the last four matchups with injuries. This is a perfect spot for the Hornets to get back on track against a Washington team that is playing the toughest game to play which is the first game home after a West Coast Road trip. Take the Hornets to bounce back after a loss and get a must needed win against a team they should beat.TAKE NEW ORLEANS-7 1/2
Mike Anthony
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators
Play: Over 5.5
Tampa has played over the total in 3 of their last 4 games and in 5 of their last 7 overall. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team from the Northeast Division. Ottawa has played over the total in 4 of their last 5 games. The over is also 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The Senators have played over the total in 5 of their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Both team's have the players that can run up the scores and suspect goaltending making this a high-scoring game.
Dave Price
1 Unit on Iowa State +11
The Cowboys basically get home court with this one being played in Oklahoma City and they come in having won 6 of their last 7, but I'm taking the Cyclones here. DePaul proved yesterday not to count out the teams with nothing to lose in these tournaments. Iowa State was crushed 86-67 during the regular season and the Cyclones will use that game as a motivator here. The public is giving the Cyclones no chance and that means that the books did their job with this line. Smart money goes on the Cyclones.
Greg Shaker
Baylor Bears at Nebraska Cornhuskers
Play: Nebraska +1
The Huskers are the kind of squad that has the opportunity to do well in this tournament and the reasons are simple. They do not rely on their offensive efforts to do all of the work for them. They rely on a strong defense that has an efficiency rating of #19 in the country. That is very good indeed, and it has allowed them to be competitive away from Lincoln. At the same time, they can put the ball in the nets as well and has much better offensive efficiency that most teams in this country. Nebraska is going to throw a slow pace at Baylor today and it is one that can frustrate the efforts of a squad like the Bears. It certanly did in their only meeting this year with the Cornhuskers winning a 4 point contest on the Bears home floor. Baylor had a devil of a time getting into rythem in that contest, and the fact is, they have not been doing well at that for a while. The Bears have simply fallen apart toward the end of this season, winning just twice in their last 12 games, and both of those in at home. They are currently on a 3-14 ATS run, and their primary problem has been the inability to get, and decide upon, good shot opps. Shooting numbers are way down over the last 10 games, and that is not going to improve today verses this Husker D. While this betting line somewhat shocks me, some of it I know it is based on the early season success of Baylor. I am simply taking advantage of that fact, with what is going on now. PLAY NEBRASKA.
ROCKETMAN
UC Davis vs UC Irvine
Play: UC Davis +2
Both teams come in with identical 12-18 records this year. This is the first game in the first round of the Big West Conference Tournament. UC Davis is 9-1 SU and 8-1 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more. UC Davis is 3-1 ATS in this series since 1997. UC Davis is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. UC Davis is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. UC Davis is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. UC Davis is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss. We'll recommend a small play on UC Davis tonight!
TOM STRYKER
AIR FORCE (+) over Colorado St
If DePaul can do it, why can't Air Force? The Falcons finished Mountain West play with a shocking 0-16 SU record and that was the first time ever the Flyboys went winless in conference action. As ugly as it looks to take the Force, the points are definitely the way to go.
Last night, I won with Fresno State thanks to a First Round (or Donkey Round) system of mine that has produced a magnificent 26-4 ATS record for 86.7 percent. This angle goes against a certain seeds in the play in round provided they enter off back-to-back straight up losses. There are a couple of additional parameters that are used to make this situation pop but, with more potential plays on the horizon, I'm not at liberty to discuss them right now. Air Force fits this money-making system on Wednesday evening.
I realize the Falcons have lost 17 straight. However, the Flyboys have played extremely well lately. In fact, in their last four games against Colorado State, Wyoming, UNLV and BYU, Air Force lost by just 16 points combined. Comparatively speaking, the Rams haven't exactly been lighting it up. CSU is on a weak 7-21 SU and 9-15-2 ATS run and have generated a dismal 12-28-3 ATS record in its last 43 games priced as a single-digit favorite in conference play. Don't be surprised when the Falcons win this game straight up on the floor. Take Air Force.
MTi Sports
The Magic are 11-0 ATS (+8.0 ppg) off a road loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak, 9-0 ATS (+5.5 ppg) when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss as a favorite and 11-0 ATS (+8.5 ppg) at home when their opponent is off an overtime game. Chicago is 0-6 ATS (-11.9 ppg) with at least one day of rest off a loss of four points or fewer on the road in which they trailed by double digits.
Dwayne Bryant
Oklahoma State -10.5 vs. Iowa State
This opening round game of the Big 12 Tournament will feel like a home game for the Cowboys. This game is being played at Ford Center in Oklahoma City, which is only a little over an hour away from Oklahoma State's home court in Stillwater.
These two teams met just once this season. On 2/14 in Stillwater, the Cowboys were 10-point chalk and they blasted Iowa State, 86-67. After losing their last game to rival Oklahoma and with a potential rematch with the Sooners on deck, I expect the Cowboys to be plenty motivated to get the job done in this one.
The Cyclones have only won 3 of their last 14 games with all 3 wins coming at home. Iowa State did win their last game - a 78-76 win over Texas Tech. But I seriously doubt they would've won that game had Tech not been coming off an absolutely huge win over Kansas.
The Cyclones are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog, and 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Iowa State is also just 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 7 to 12.5 points.
The Cowboys are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The favorite is also 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
I'll lay the heavy lumber with Oklahoma State in what is basically a home game tonight.
Ron Raymond
Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa
Ron's Comment: The Senators are playing like they did the last 3 years and Clouston has pushed the right buttons with his talented players. If this stat doesn't keep you away from Tampa Bay, then I don't know what would incline you to bet on this Lightning squad. When TAMPA BAY team played as a Road team - Before a non division game - Coming off vs. Eastern Conference opponent - Coming off a Home loss as a Underdog; the Lightning are 1-27-2 since 1997 in this hockey spot.
Prediction: Ottawa 5 Tampa Bay 3
Carolina vs. Chicago
Ron's Comment: Ride the Cam Ward wave, he's been hot and reuniting Staal with Cole has paid dividends thus far. When CAROLINA team Played as Road team as an Underdog - During the month of March - Coming off vs. Atlantic division opponent; the Hurricanes are 8-5 SU in this underdog role. Furthermore, the Canes are 5-0 SU as a dog vs. Chicago.
Prediction: Carolina 3 Chicago 2
Vancouver vs. Anaheim
When you see the Ducks getting rid of quality players like Kunitz and Moen, you know the house is broke! Chemistry is the problem right now in Anaheim, too many new faces and guys are competing like they once use too at the Duck pond. Great price on Luongo and the Canucks here! When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Favorite - Total is 5.5 - After a non division game - Before a conference game - Coming off vs Pacific division opponent - Scored 2 or less goals FOR in their last game - Coming off a Road loss as a Favorite; the Road Favorite (VAN) is 14-3-0 SU in this spot since 1996.
Prediction: Vancouver 3 Anaheim 2
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
CHI (-150) vs CAR
Although they've struggled in their last few games, I look for the Blackhawks to take care of business tonight against the Hurricanes who are about to suffer a 'letdown'. Carolina may be on fire, but it is a horrible 2-3 its last 5 after a 3-game unbeaten streak while Chicago is 5-2 its last 7 when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season; play on CHICAGO!
GoodFella
MIA -3 vs BOS
Short & sweet here, Boston is missing several key players from their team & not having Rondo is just huge for this game IMO. Miami is coming off a very dramatic double overtime win over the Bulls in their last game, on Monday night. D-Wade got a steal & threw up a running 3-ball from about 24 feet to beat the Bulls at the buzzer 130-127. Those kind of wins can really give a team a big boost & not that they needed it anyways. Miami is trying to chase down the Hawks for the ever important #4 seed in the Eastern Conference playoff chase. They sit just 1.5 games behind the Hawks, & whoever gets the #4 spot will have the homecourt edge when they play in the 1st round of the playoffs. Miami lost to Boston at Miami 98-83 back on Jan. 21st & they have actually lost 6 straight games to the Celtics. Boston is 1-5 ATS their L/6games & Miami is 4-0 ATS L/4 games as a home fav of .5 to 4.5. I think tonight is a great spot for the Heat to avenge some payback on the Celtics tonight, & I will lay the short # with Miami at home and I look for a 6-7 pt win.