Cajun Sports
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Play: Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5
The Wachovia Center will be the site of tonight’s east meets west battle between the host Philadelphia 76ers and the visiting Minnesota Timberwolves. The 76ers are returning home after a five game road swing that saw them get a win in LA over the Lakers to open the trip and then lose to Phoenix and Golden State but closing with wins over Sacramento and Portland. A check of the database shows that NBA teams off at least four road games and are now a favorite of 10 to 11.5 points are 0-5 ATS this season. As a non-conference favorite in the same situation teams are 5-17 ATS and if they are a home favorite these teams are 4-13 ATS this season. The Wachovia Center has not been kind to the Sixers of late with them only winning 2 of the last 7 times as a host and also going 7-11 ATS their first game back off a road trip. Philadelphia is 20-14 SU at home but has struggled against the spread posting a record of 15-16 ATS. The 76ers are 11-15 ATS as a home favorite and have lost six straight when laying seven or more points. Philadelphia averages 97.8 points per game at home and allows 93.5 points per game. Minnesota has been solid on the road when it comes to covering the spread with a record of 21-14 ATS this season. The T-Wolves are averaging 98.0 points per game on the road and allowing 102.1 points per game. They have been a much better team on the road than at home when it comes to taking care of their backers. The T-Wolves are 8-3 ATS when playing the second game of a road trip this season. Minnesota is in the midst of a five game losing skid but we know that they are 12-2 ATS in road games after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. The database also shows that NBA teams coming off 5 straight losses and playing on the road are a money-making 43-26 ATS. We will take the generous points here as the T-Wolves keep this one well within the number.
Graded Selection: 2* Minnesota Timberwolves 102 Philadelphia 76ers 105
Jeff Hochman
Saint Marys CA vs. San Diego State
Play: San Diego State -3
St. Marys has trouble with teams that are more athletic and faster than they are. I believe SD State will be a step quicker. St. Marys also doesn't get many steals and are kinda sloppy on offense. SD State by 6!
Marc Lawrence
Play On: New Jersey Nets
A right back revenge rematch finds the Nets looking to avenge a 96-88 home loss suffered this past Sunday against Cleveland. That fits nicely in to the New Jersey's 9-2 ATS mark on the road this season against teams off a SU and ATS win. Better yet, the Nets are 13-1 ATS in this series when the Cavs are off a SU and ATS win, including 6-0 ATS in Cleveland. With New Jersey battling for its playoff life, we'll grab the points in this payback tonight.
Dave Cokin
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS
Take: DALLAS MAVERICKS
I'm playing the schedule tonight as Golden State visits Dallas. The Warriors put up a huge fight Tuesday in San Antonio, and now must face the Mavericks with fatigue a potential major factor. The Mavericks are coming off a really nice break and should be ready to fire tonight, and I'm sure they'll be eager to avenge a loss to the Warriors the last time these teams met. Good spot to lay the points with Dallas.
Jimmy The Moose
Calgary Flames at Pittsburgh Penguins
Prediction: Over
The over is 8-3 in Calgary's last 11 overall. The over is 10-1 in their last 11 vs. an Eastern Conference opponent. The Flames have played over the total in 6 of their last 7 road games. In their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record the over is 7-1-2. The over is 6-2 in Pittsburgh's last 8 games overall. The Penguins have played over the total in 8 of their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record. Play the over.
Matt Rivers
For Wednesday take Oregon State, how can I not!?!?!?
I have been riding Craig Robinson's much improved Beavers squad for awhile now. This team is just not the same garbage they have been over the past few years and right now are a competitive bunch that not only wants to continue their season but just may with another win today.
These teams have met three times already this season with OSU winning the first two and Stanford taking the last meeting in the Pac-10 tournament. The Beavs even dominated that first half and led that game by eight points at the break before getting whacked a bit in the first five minutes of the second half in the loss and one point non-cover. But all in all State has been the better team when facing the Cardinal and now at home should be extremely confident and fired up today.
OSU has already won a few tournament games at home and are lucky enough to get another here against Anthony Goods and what is probably the more talented team in Stanford but a team that is far from being all that. Today's visitors lost the Lopez Brothers to the NBA and in the first month of the season you would never know it as things were phenomenal and way overachieving early on. But it evened out and the Cardinal lost a whole lot and became what they should have been all along which is mediocre at the very best.
I do expect a tight game and like it has been of late OSU has learned how to win and should win. Robinson has proven to be a miracle worker in this his first season and I expect another semi one tonight!
Bobby Maxwell
Kentucky at NOTRE DAME -3
If it's a no-problem, FREE winner you're looking for, we've got it right here on the college hardwood as we play Notre Dame to get the job done at home over Kentucky.
People tend to forget this Notre Dame squad was playing some pretty good basketball coming down the stretch in the always tough Big East conference and this line is a little short in our estimation, especially with the Irish getting Kentucky in South Bend, Indiana.
Notre Dame edged New Mexico 70-68 on Thursday, but failed to cover as a five-point favorite. The Irish have won eight of their last 12 games and four of their last five. Remember this team went to UConn and played the Huskies right down to the wire fbefore losing in the final minute.
Kentucky edged Creighton 65-63 on Monday, covering as a 2 1/2-point favorite. It's the first time they have won consecutive games since late-January. The Wildcats are on ATS slides of 5-10 overall, 1-4 on the road, 1-5 after a spread-cover and 1-4 on Wednesdays.
Notre Dame is 4-0 ATS in its last four after a non-cover and these guys seem to be focused on the task at hand. Look for the Irish to control the pace and dominate this one.
4♦ NOTRE DAME
JIM FEIST
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS / NEW YORK KNICKS
Take Over
Neither team is any good defense, ranked 25th and 28th in the NBA in points allowed. The LA offense is healthy and getting better. In a loss to Boston, Zach Randolph led the Clippers with 17 points and 14 rebounds, and Baron Davis had 13 points, eight assists and seven boards. The Knicks uptempo offense is ranked 4th in the NBA, averaging 105.5 ppg. These teams met last mont in a 128-124 final, a game that sailed over the total by 32 points. Look for plenty of offense in the rematch, play the Clippers/Knicks over the total!
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Utah / Phoenix
With only one game in the previous six days, Jazz coach Jerry Sloan took advantage of four practice days to stress defense to his team. The Jazz came into Tuesday's game giving up 99.6 points on average, the most by a Sloan-coached team in 16 seasons. Aside from a two-minute flurry of three-pointers by Houston to close the first half Tuesday, Sloan couldn't have asked for a better performance defensively. The Jazz held the Rockets to 34.8 percent shooting and blocked 12 shots in their 99-86 victory, and I expect them to carry that momentum into Phoenix. The Suns are a horrible 1-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins; play on UTAH!
Carlo Campanella
Minnesota T'Wolves at Philadelphia 76ers
Minnesota is a much more profitable team on the road this season, where they own a 21-14 ATS record. They find themselves getting double digits in Philadelphia on Wednesday night, and we're taking, as these T-Wolves match up perfectly against Philadelphia and have now WON and COVERED in 4 of the last 5 meetings, including a 102-96 home win in the last game earlier this season.
Play on: Minnesota
Tom Freese
Utah at Phoenix
Utah is 37-18 ATS off a double digit win and they are 7-2 ATS vs. an opponent who allowed 100 or more points in their last game. The Jazz are 7-3 ATS off an ATS Win and they are 9-4 ATS vs. NBA Pacific Division foes. Phoenix is 8-20 ATS their last 28 games vs. winning teams and they are 1-4 ATS when playing with one day of rest. The Suns are 1-5 ATS their last 6 games as home favorites of 4.5 or less points and they are 1-10 ATS their last 11 home games vs. the Jazz. PLAY ON UTAH +
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Phoenix Suns -3.5
Utah has lost 3 of its last 4 on the road and will have its work cut out for itself tonight against a Suns team which has won 5 in a row and is fighting hard for the playoffs. Utah just played last night and then had to travel out to Phoenix late and I can assure you that playing the Suns without fresh legs is no treat. In fact, Utah is just 11-24 ATS in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. The Suns are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Lay the number.
Ben Burns
Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks
Prediction: Dallas Mavericks
I cashed a big ticket with the Warriors when they defeated the Mavericks a couple of weeks ago. However, that was at Oakland and the Warriors were well-rested. Tonight's spot is much more difficult.
For starters, the Warriors on the road instead of at home. That's noteworthy as they're an ugly 6-30 SU and 13-22-1 ATS, when playing away from home. That includes a money-burning 7-18 ATS (3-22 SU) mark, when they've played a road game with an over/under line of 210 or greater.
Additionally, the Warriors come off an extremely hard-fought loss at San Antonio last night. This is tougher than a "typical" back to back spot though. That's because they'll also be playing their sixth game in nine nights. That's an exhausting stretch, particularly a banged-up Warriors team that runs up and down the floor so much.
Conversely, the Mavericks haven't played since way back on Friday. Note that the Mavs are 17-12 ATS on the season, when facing a team which defeated them in their previous meeting. They're also 10-5 ATS their last 15 games against teams which allow greater than 99 points per game. Additionally, the Mavs are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS the last five times they hosted the Warriors. They won those five games by an average of 20 points, with each of the last three meetings here resulting in double-digit victories. They should definitely be the "fresher" team tonight and that should lead to another double-digit victory. Consider laying the points.
DUNKEL
Milwaukee at Toronto
The Raptors (25-42 SU) look to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that is just 3-9 ATS against teams with a losing record in the second half of the season. Toronto is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has Toronto favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3).
Game 661-662: Minnesota at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 112.108; Philadelphia 121.086
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 9; 194 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 10 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+10 1/2); Under
Game 663-664: Milwaukee at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 112.312; Toronto 119.298
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 7; 196 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 201
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3); Under
Game 665-666: Miami at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 118.187; Indiana 116.235
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 667-668: San Antonio at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 120.843; Atlanta 127.713
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 195 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 669-670: New Jersey at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 115.374; Cleveland 127.159
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 12; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 12 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+12 1/2); Over
Game 671-672: Charlotte at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.918; Washington 112.200
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 3 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: No line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 673-674: LA Clippers at New York
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 108.797; New York 114.759
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6; 211 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 7; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+7); Under
Game 675-676: Denver at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.315; New Orleans 121.507
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 677-678: Boston at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 120.143; Orlando 127.408
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 7; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 3 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-3 1/2); Over
Game 679-680: Golden State at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 113.696; Dallas 121.912
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 8; 239
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 681-682: Utah at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 120.753; Phoenix 125.806
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 225
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NCAAB
Pacific at Bradley
The Braves look to build on their 9-5 ATS as a favorite this season. Bradley is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-5).
Game 683-684: Kentucky at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 64.686; Notre Dame 70.308
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-2 1/2)
Game 685-686: St. Mary's (CA) at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 63.759; San Diego State 69.271
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 3
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-3)
Game 691-692: UTEP at Richmond
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 62.965; Richmond 64.569
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Richmond by 1
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-1)
Game 693-694: Stanford at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 66.882; Oregon State 64.206
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+3)
Game 695-696: Pacific at Bradley
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 56.146; Bradley 61.975
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 6
Vegas Line: Bradley by 5
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-5)
Game 697-698: James Madison at Old Dominion
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 53.396; Old Dominion 62.386
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 9
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 6
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-6)
NHL
Calgary at Pittsburgh
The Penguins bring an 8-3 record in March against a Calgary team that is just 2-3 on the road when the total is 6 or more. Pittsburgh is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130).
Game 1-2: Ottawa at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.031; Carolina 12.591
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-155); Over
Game 3-4: Minnesota at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.799; NY Islanders 11.505
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+110); Under
Game 5-6: Florida at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.880; Buffalo 11.248
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 7-8: Calgary at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.983; Pittsburgh 12.474
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); Over
Game 9-10: San Jose at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.378; Chicago 11.740
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+100); Under
Game 11-12: Anaheim at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.536; Colorado 10.560
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-125); Under
Scott Rickenbach
Ottawa Senators @ Carolina Hurricanes
PICK: Ottawa Senators
Wednesday’s pick looks like a particularly strong situation! It doesn't get much better than this set-up. Yes, the Hurricanes have been hot recently but the Senators have been even hotter.
Ottawa has managed to make an amazing resurgence to at least keep their slim playoff hopes alive. Though they very likely will still fall short you don't want to go against this Sens team...at least until they are eliminated. Here we see great value with Ottawa as they catch the Hurricanes off of a pair of key divisional wins. Carolina will be seeking revenge in this game but Ottawa is too hot to slow down right now. They've had great success against Canes goalie Cam Ward and the Senators top line will lead the way as Ottawa continues their winning run. Brian Elliott has been solid between the pipes for the Sens and they are worth a look in this very favorable price range tonight! Consider a small play on Ottawa on the money line on Wednesday night.