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Wednesday Service Plays

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(@blade)
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Carlo Campanella

The last time the Dodgers sent Billingsly to the mound against the Padres, he held them to just 1 Earned Run, with 5 strikeouts, in 6 Innings Pitched during a 10-1 victory. The Dodgers defeated San Diego 4-1 in the season opener and should have no trouble taking this road game on Wednesday as they own a large pitching advantage as he squares off against San Diego's Walter Silva.

7* Play On LA Dodgers

 
Posted : April 8, 2009 11:17 am
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BEN BURNS

Memphis Grizzlies @ Orlando Magic
PICK: Orlando Magic

I had a strong Tuesday, which included a winning ticket with the Grizzlies, who covered with relative ease vs. Portland. However, that was at Memphis vs. a Blazers squad which struggles away from Portland. Tonight's game is at Orlando vs. a Magic team which is very tough at home. Note that the Grizzlies are 3-17 the last 20 times that they played the second of back to back games, failing to cover in three of the last four of those. Additionally, note that last night's loss figures to be particularly demoralizing, as the Grizzlies led most of the way and blew a big lead.

The Grizzlies are 8-30 on the road. Conversely, the Magic are 30-8 at home. That includes a 8-1 mark their last nine here. In their most recent game here, they crushed the Cavs by 29 points.

The Grizzlies' best chance here would be for the Magic to overlook them. However, that's unlikely to happen for a couple of reasons. For starters, like their guests, the Magic also lost last night. (Unlike their guests they don't lose two in a row very often.) Additionally, the Grizzlies defeated the Magic, at Memphis, on Halloween night AND they beat the Magic here last season. In other words, they should have Orlando's full attention this evening.

Note that the Magic are 11-4 SU/ATS the last 15 times that they played the second of back to back games, including 4-1 SU/ATS their last five in that role. They're also an outstanding 17-7 SU/ATS the last 24 times that they were in the "revenge" role.

The Magic have plenty of other stats in their favor. Even with last night's loss, they're still 21-8 SU/ATS against teams from the West. They're also a profitable 6-1 ATS (7-0 SU) the last seven times that they played a home game with an over/under line in the 195 to 199.5 range. On the other hand, the Grizzlies are 3-11-1 ATS (1-14 SU) the last 15 times that they played a road game with a total in that range.

I expect a convincing victory for the Magic and look for them to improve to 26-12 ATS when facing a team which allows 99 or more points per game. Consider laying the big number wtih Orlando.

 
Posted : April 8, 2009 11:18 am
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Rocketman Sports

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Play: Boston

Boston is 16-6 at home vs Tampa Bay the past 3 years. Lester is 4-2 with a 3.74 ERA overall vs Tampa Bay since 1997 and his team is 7-2 during those starts. Rays are 19-41 in their last 60 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Rays are 48-108 in their last 156 games as a road underdog. Rays are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter. Rays are 50-138 in their last 188 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Red Sox are 67-29 in their last 96 games as a home favorite. Red Sox are 65-29 in their last 94 home games. Red Sox are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Red Sox are 14-1 in Lesters last 15 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Red Sox are 22-4 in Lesters last 26 home starts. Red Sox are 22-4 in Lesters last 26 starts as a home favorite. Red Sox are 23-5 in Lesters last 28 starts vs. a team with a losing record. We'll recommend a small play on Boston tonight!

 
Posted : April 8, 2009 11:19 am
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Info Plays

3* on Phoenix Suns +3

Reasons why the Suns cover the spread:

1.) After an emotionally and physically draining game with the Miami Heat last night, the New Orleans Hornets won’t have enough left to give to fend off the Phoenix Suns Wednesday. The Hornets took the Heat into overtime before prevailing 93-87 after the extra session. Now the Hornets return home tonight in a big letdown spot against a pissed off Suns squad who have lost 4 of their last 6.

2.) Revenge Factor. There comes a time when a team just says enough is enough, and that will be the case for the Phoenix Suns tonight. Phoenix has lost 6 straight games vs. New Orleans so you can bet they’ll use that as a huge motivational tool heading into tonight’s contest. Tyson Chandler will be out for the Hornets in this one, allowing Shaq to have one of his biggest games of the season as the Big Diesel leads his team to a bounce-back win.

3.) System Play. We’ll Play On - Any team (PHOENIX) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. This is a 62-26 ATS System hitting 70.5% over the last 5 seasons. Look for the Suns to get off to a fast start tonight and never look back as New Orleans doesn’t have enough gas left in the tank come the fourth quarter. Bet the Suns on the road.

 
Posted : April 8, 2009 11:23 am
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Dave Price

1 Unit on Cleveland Cavs -15.5

This looks like a lot of points to lay, but consider that the Cavs will be out for blood here after losing their last 2 games with the Wizards and also consider that the Cavs are winning by an average of 14.4 points at home in all games this season. Washington is 3-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season, losing by an average score of 92.4 to 108.3 in these games. The Cavs have had this one circled and will not spare the lowly Wizards tonight.

 
Posted : April 8, 2009 11:23 am
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Ron Raymond

STL / PIT Over 8.5

When ANY MLB Team played as a Home team - Last 4 years - Playing on Wednesday - During the month of April - Coming off a 2 game over; The OVER is 20-5-1 for the Home Team (STL) in this spot the L4Y.

 
Posted : April 8, 2009 11:24 am
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Dwayne Bryant

PHO +3.5 vs NOH

This line makes no sense to me. We all saw how terribly the Suns played in their last game at Dallas. With their playoff hopes all but dashed, you'd think Phoenix would just be "playing out the string."We also know that the Hornets scored an upset win in OT last night at Miami. New Orleans has also won six straight and covered eight straight in this series. Yet they're only a 3.5-point favorite at home tonight?The only thing I can see is that Phoenix has had two days off, while the Hornets are playing their third game in four days and second of a back-to-back. That still doesn't justify the line being this low, at least not to me.The books are just begging us to take New Orleans. At this time, 85% of the public is on New Orleans. I'm not taking the bait. I'll grab the points with Phoenix.

 
Posted : April 8, 2009 11:25 am
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Vegasflyer Sports
Mike Hillin

Free play

Over 8 on Cincinnati/N.Y. Mets
Temp is almost 20 degrees warmer, and wind coming from southwest.
Volquez 7.20 era vs NY. Hairston,Phillips,Encarnacion,Hernandez, and Gonzalez will not go 0-4 today

 
Posted : April 8, 2009 12:50 pm
(@PHL BadBoy)
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Blade I would like to say thank you for a hell of a job you are doing...I won alot this year

 
Posted : April 8, 2009 3:02 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Blade I would like to say thank you for a hell of a job you are doing...I won alot this year

Your welcome 😉

 
Posted : April 8, 2009 5:30 pm
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