JIM FEIST
TEXAS RANGERS / TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Take Over
Toronto is a great hitter's park, indoors with artificial turf. It becomes even more of a hitter's park when lousy pitchers take the hill, which is the case here. Texas lefty Matt Harrison is young and has a lot to learn, with an 8.44 ERA and an 0-2 record. He's a soft thrower and faces a powerful Toronto lineup. The Blue Jays turn to David Purcey, who has also struggled with a 6.46 ERA. He's allowed 13 hits and 13 walks in just 13 innings! Free passes means plenty of runs. Play the Rangers/Blue Jays over the total.
DUNKEL
Miami at Atlanta
The Hawks are coming off a 90-64 win in Game One and look to take advantage of a Miami team that is just 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games after scoring 75 points or less in the previous game. Atlanta is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5).
Game 501-502: Philadelphia at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 114.622; Orlando 121.421
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 7; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 10 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+10 1/2); Under
Game 503-504: Miami at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 117.727; Atlanta 124.225
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5; 184
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5); Under
Game 505-506: New Orleans at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.134; Denver 126.106
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 11; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5 1/2); Over
MLB
LA Dodgers at Houston
The Astros look to build on their 10-1 record in Roy Oswalt's last 11 starts against the NL West. Houston is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Astros favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-125).
Game 901-902: Florida at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.683; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 16.189
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+120); Over
Game 903-904: Colorado at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.354; Arizona (Haren) 13.560
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+165); Under
Game 905-906: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Young) 15.443; San Francisco (Zito) 14.367
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under
Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Looper) 14.362; Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.484
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Over
Game 909-910: Atlanta at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.433; Washington (Lannan) 13.755
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Over
Game 911-912: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.261; Cubs (Lilly) 15.047
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-175); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+165); N/A
Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Wolf) 14.695; Houston (Oswalt) 16.063
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-125); Over
Game 915-916: NY Mets at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Maine) 14.810; St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.779
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Under
Game 917-918: Oakland at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Anderson) 14.940; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 17.026
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-275); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-275); Over
Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.356; Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.625
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-125); Under
Game 921-922: Kansas City at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Bannister) 16.039; Cleveland (Lee) 17.128
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-200); Under
Game 923-924: Minnesota at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 16.554; Boston (Penny) 15.510
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 925-926: Texas at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 14.600; Toronto (Purcey) 16.332
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Toronto (-150); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-150); Over
Game 927-928: Detroit at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 14.972; LA Angels (Saunders) 15.632
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-115); Under
Game 929-930: Tampa Bay at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.477; Seattle (Jakubaus) 14.171
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under
Game 931-932: Minnesota at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 16.315; Boston (Wakefield) 14.749
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+160); Over
NHL
Washington at NY Rangers
The Caps try to even the series and build on 10-4 record in their last 14 road games, while the Rangers are just 4-9 in their last 13 games as a home underdog. Washington is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135).
Game 17-18: Boston at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.455; Montreal 11.177
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Under
Game 19-20: Washington at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.710; NY Rangers 11.614
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135); Under
Game 21-22: Chicago at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.439; Calgary 12.045
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-150); Over
Undefeated's tools and consensus picks are now on a
21 wins vs 7 losses fire ball run. ;D That is 75% folks!!! 😮
Yesterday we picked up two wins as the underdog Houston
covers the spread and L.A. wins the game by 10 points. Buying
two extra points to make it -9.5 on that bet clinched it for us. 😉
Today's pick is NBA- Miami at Atlanta UNDER 185.5
(buy 1.5 points) 8)
Most of these win without buying the extra points 😛
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
249 - 161 run 60 %
WEDNESDAY Arizona D'Backs
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Free Selection from Totals4U
Wednesday's free selection: Detroit/LA Angels under 8 1/2
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EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION
Game: New Orleans Hornets @ Denver Nuggets
(505) New Orleans Hornets +5.5
The Hornets were crushed by Denver in game one of this series,
but I expect them to give Denver a battle down to the wire in this
game. The Nuggets shot lights out in game one, but I don't expect
that to continue here. I look for a much stronger defensive effort by
New Orleans. The Hornets are 7-3 against the spread in their last
ten trips to the Mile High city and I look for them to cover the number
here. Take the points.
2009 Free Selections Record 61-49 (55.5%)
VEGAS EXPERTS
Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks
If the Heat are to make this a series, the damage will be done at home. Atlanta has now won and covered each of its four home playoff games over the past two seasons, showing why it was so important for them to gain the home court edge. Miami is not good when seeking revenge for a loss of 20 or more (4-13 ATS) while the Hawks, who are 32-10 SU in this building, have posted a 10-1 ATS record when playing at home off consecutive Unders. Lay the points.
Play on: Atlanta
Rocketman
Detroit @ LA Angels
Play: LA Angels -110
Detroit is scoring only 3 runs per game against left handed starters this year. Detroit has a whopping 5.63 ERA on the road this year. Justin Verlander is 0-2 with a 7.87 ERA overall this year and 0-2 with a 10.64 ERA on the road this season. Joe Saunders is 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA overall this year and 1-1 with a 2.63 ERA at home this season. LA Angels are 7-2 at home vs Detroit the past 3 years. Verlander is also 0-2 overall vs the LA Angels since 1997. Tigers are 1-7 in Verlanders last 8 starts as an underdog. Angels are 40-16 in Saunders' last 56 starts. Tigers are 16-44 in the last 60 meetings. Tigers are 7-26 in the last 33 meetings in Los Angeles. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Angels tonight!
Nick Parsons
Boston Bruins @ Montreal Canadiens +140
While the Boston Bruins talked about how tough it is to get the fourth win in a best-of-seven playoff series, the Montreal Canadiens contemplated their bleak reality of being down to the final chance to get their first; and I expect them to get that elusive victory this evening! A desperate home team offers us tremendous value here as I expect the CANADIENS to improve to 12-7 (+3.1 units) when revenging a home loss vs. an opponent!
Lee Kostroski
Florida Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PICK: Under
The first two meetings in this series have gone ‘under’ the total and although the Marlins have the best record in baseball their offensive statistics may be a bit inflated having faced Washington’s marginal pitching staff six times. In games against other teams the Marlins are averaging just 4.2 runs per game and that includes a high scoring series against the Braves. The ‘under’ has actually hit in six of the last nine Florida games and the lineup has cooled off with the team average down to only .257 and much worse numbers against left-handed pitching including a poor .213 average against southpaws in road games.
Pittsburgh has the best overall pitching numbers in the National League with just a 3.00 ERA while opponents are hitting just .239. The Pirates have received great work from the bullpen with zero blown save opportunities and Paul Maholm might be the early favorite for the Cy Young with three high quality performances in helping lead the Pirates back to respectability so far in 2009. Maholm has allowed only two earned runs in over 20 innings pitched and opposing batters are hitting only .284 against him. This is following up a strong finish to the 2008 season and Maholm is moving towards an elite level even though he does not post great strikeout numbers.
Ricky Nolasco has not lived up to his outstanding second half of the season in 2008 so far this season but he rarely walks batters and he has given up progressively fewer runs in this three starts this season. Although Pittsburgh is a surprise to have a winning record at this point in the season the Pirates have had success through pitching and not offense as they are averaging just 4.5 runs per game. Florida’s bullpen has the second lowest ERA in the NL and the Pirates will be without one of the key players in their lineup as Ryan Doumit has hit the DL. Pittsburgh has been held to three or fewer runs in five of the last seven games and this should be a true pitcher’s duel. Umpire Jim Joyce should also help the cause as the three games he has been behind the plate have averaged less than seven runs.
LT Profits
Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals
The first two games of this series between the Atlanta Braves and the Washington Nationals have both gone Under, and we look for more of the same this evening.
Neither team has hit particularly well in this series, with the Nationals scoring seven runs and the Braves managing just five runs over the two games, and both of the starting pitchers tonight are more than capable enough to take advantage.
Jair Jurrjens was one of the most pleasant surprises in baseball for the Braves last season, and he has given no indication so far this season that last year was a fluke. He allowed three earned runs in his first start and then followed that up by allowing only one run and four hits with seven strikeouts in 6.2 innings in his last start on Friday. He has also allowed three earned runs or less in four of his five starts vs. Washington in his brief career.
Now John Lannan struggled for the Nationals in his first two starts after being designated the ace this season by taking the Opening Day start, but that all changed in his home start of the year on Friday. He tossed a gem that night, allowing just one run and three hits with eight strikeouts in 6.1 innings vs. the red-hot Florida Marlins before watching his bullpen blow the lead in the ninth. That pen has looked better this series thanks to some swift personnel moves.
Look for the pitchers to dominate again tonight, just like they have the last two games.
Pick: Braves/Nationals Under 8.5
Scott Rickenbach
Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees
Prediction: Over
Concerns about the weather in the Bronx today kept this off of my "guaranteed pick" listing. However, there is good value here with the over in this one and, as long as they can get the game in (if the rain remains light or stays out of the area), this one should fly over the total. The ball has been carrying very well in the new Yankee Stadium and even C.C. Sabathia got roughed up in his first start here. Also, he's opposed by the A's Brett Anderson in this one and there is simply no reason to expect much success for either hurler in this one. Sabathia already got rocked here and Anderson is just 21 years old and now facing a tough starting assignment in the Bronx. Consider a small play on OVER the total in the New York Yankees game on Wednesday afternoon. Don't miss all my HUGE guaranteed picks for Wednesday, off a BIG 3-0 SWEEP in baseball Tuesday!
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Houston Astros -115
The Astros ended the Dodgers 8-game winning streak yesterday and I like the 'stros to hand LA another loss tonight behind the right arm of ace Roy Oswalt. Oswalt is still looking for his first win and that will have him extremely focused here. The first thing to note is that the Dodgers are 0-9 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. The next thing to note is that the Astros are 10-1 in Oswalt's last 11 starts vs. the National League West and 55-20 in his last 75 home starts. The Astros are also 5-2 in Oswalt's last 7 starts vs. the Dodgers. The 'stros have the edge on the hill tonight and I like their bats as well. This is a streaky offense and when they get it rolling they keep it rolling. In fact, Houston is 15-4 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Bet the 'stros.
Wunderdog
Philadelphia at Orlando
Pick: Orlando -11
The Orlando Magic have to be chapped at what they did in game one at home, as they allowed an 18-point lead to evaporate and ended up on the losing end. You know the resolve will be much greater in this one. What we saw was a team that dominated the Sixers, but thought they had them buried, allowed them back in the game, and ultimately lost. The Sixers have not been a good road team all season and even with the game one win, they are just 4-12 ATS vs. teams with a win perctage of .700 or higher. They are also 10-22 ATS vs. teams that average 100+ points per game. The Magic have made double-digit wins at home the norm. The Magic are 21-6 the past two seasons revenging a home loss. This season when a team beat them and put up 100+ on the Magic, Orlando is 13-2 ATS in the revenge game. Blowing that lead was a fluke. This time the Magic finish the job, so I'm going with Orlando to send a loud message here.
Jack Jones
Altanta Braves -123 over Washington Nationals
I'll take the Braves today to avoid the sweep against the Nationals. Jair Jurrjens takes the mound today after having given up just 13 hits and 4 ER in his 17.7 innings of work this year, and was an excellent pitcher on the road in 2008. John Lannan has made one good start, but was shelled for 9 hits and 4 runs in six innings against Atlanta a couple weeks ago. He was 4-9 with a 4.87 ERA at home last year and I think he gets hammered by the Braves today.
Yankee Capper
NHL
Boston/Montreal Over 5.5
NBA
New Orleans/Denver Over 196.5
MLB
Florida/Pittsburgh Under 8
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Kansas City Royals +185
The Tribe is being overvalued today with Lee on the mound as he has not looked like a Cy Young Award winning early on. While Lee has a solid career mark against the Royals much of that has to do with him being on superior teams as his 4.47 ERA against them is nothing to write home about. But Bannister is 3-1 when starting against Cleveland with an ERA of 1.91 and a WHIP of 0.818. Now that's domination and he'll be determined to pitch well in his first start of the season to prove that he is worthy of pitching in the rotation. Bannister is 10-3 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Royals are 18-5 in their last 23 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 11-4 in their last 15 games as a road underdog. Take the Royals.
Ben Burns
Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins
The Penguins worked hard to earn home ice advantage for this series while the Flyers squandered their chance to do so. Now, the Penguins can close things out at home and I expect them to make the most of their opportunity. The Pens are more talented and they've been the better team this series. Consider Pittsburgh.