Red Dog Sports
Boston at Carolina
Play Over 5
Boston has played over in 9 of their last 12 on the road and there have been 17 overs, 5 unders and 2 pushes in the last 24 meetings in Carolina.The last two at Carolina ended 5-1 and 4-2. At least we get a push on Wednesday but look for over 5 goals!
Dennis Macklin
Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins
Prediction: Atlanta Braves
The Braves are 1-5 in L6 with last win coming five days ago behind tonight's starter, Derrick Lowe. The Ex-Dodger Red Sock has earned his big summer money going 3-1 and 3.03 overall. The marlins counter with Graham Taylor who is 0-1 and 6.73 in his starts not showing a whole lot. Might have used the Braves as a service play if they weren't hitting just .248 with an OPB of .360 in L7. As it is, they're still worth a flyer.
Brian Hansen
Pittsburgh at St Louis
The first place Cardinals welcome the Pirates tonight. The pitching matchup has Duke for Pittsburgh and Boggs for the Cards. Pittsburgh has played the Cards tough of late with an 11-11 record, splitting a four game series earlier this season. We like the Pirates tonight with Duke. The Pirates lefty has been lights out so far this season with a 2.21 ERA, and an even better 1.23 ERA on the road and a 2-0 team start record. Here in St. Louis Duke has pitched twice this year and last, both good outings allowing only 3 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings. Boggs has never faced these Pirates. Look for Duke to get another road team start victory.
Play on: Pittsburgh
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Florida Marlins +140
The Marlins are showing excellent value in the home underdog role tonight. Derek Lowe has been rock solid for the Braves this season, but the Braves are struggling, having lost 4 in a row and 7 of 9, and that's why this is such a solid value bet. Florida swept the Braves in mid-April, and I believe it will have their number again in this series. Graham Taylor has been roughed up a couple times by a couple good offenses in the early going, but I'm not worried tonight as he faces a Braves team only scoring 4.0 runs per game. Plus, Atlanta is yet to see him and that circumstance usually gives the advantage to the pitcher. Atlanta is 0-7 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive home games this season, losing in this situation by 3.2 runs per game on average. Take the Fish.
EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION
Boston Celtics -3.5
2009 Free Selections Record 67-55 (55.0%)
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Free Selection from Totals4U
Wednesday's free selection: Arizona/San Diego over 7 1/2
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
256 - 168 run 60 % WED Over the total Yankees 10
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8)
Tom Stryker
MILWAUKEE with Parra (+100) over Cincinnati
Cincinnati took two out of three at Milwaukee back in the middle of April and its time for the Brew Crew to return the favor at the Great American Ball Park.
The Reds have won only four of 11 home games this season and they're hoping for a solid performance from veteran right-hander Bronson Arroyo. That's not going to happen. So far this year, Arroyo has made two starts in Cincy against Atlanta and New York (Mets) and been blasted for 14 earned runs and 17 hits in only 11.2 frames. That adds up to an embarrassing 10.80 ERA!
Milwaukee will counter with southpaw Manny Parra. Back on April 14th, Parra faced the Reds at Miller Park and pitched a nice game. In 6.0 innings of work, Manny was touched for only three earned runs and three hits. Unfortunately, the Brewers couldn't produce at the plate and the Reds prevailed 6-1. Even though the Brew Crew has dropped 15 of their last 18 with No. 26 on the mound, Milwaukee has cashed six of its last seven on foreign fields and 11 of its last 14 overall. Take Milwaukee with listed pitcher Parra.
John Ryan
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Philadelphia as they travel to face the rival Mets slated to start at 7:10 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 102-106 for 49% winners, but has made a whopping 84.7 units since 1997. These are the supporting systems that you simply need to record for your own use as games qualify. Play against all favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 starting a pitcher who gave up = 7.50 over his last 3 starts. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 31-13 making 21.9 units since 2003. Play on any NL team with a good OBP >=.340 facing a very good starting pitcher sporting a WHIP<=1.250 and with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start. Philadelphia bats are coming alive and so is the bullpen. Their real strength last season was a consistent offense and an even more dominating bullpen. Over the past 7 games, Phils are hitting 283 with a OBP of 382 and scoring 7.1 RPG. When facing LH starters, the Phils are a very impressive 5-1 batting 307 and scoring 7.7 RPG. Phils bullpen sports an 8-2 mark and 3-0 road mark this season. Park is a solid 13-4 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus an NL team with a team batting average of .275 or better since 1997. Mets are 5-11 (-10.3 Units) against the money line versus a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse over the last 3 seasons; 4-10 (-8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 4-12 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons. Take the Phils.
Vernon Croy
Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Cleveland Indians
We are getting solid value here tonight with the Indians since this pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Red Sox are coming off a huge series against the Yankees and Rays. This is the Red Sox first game back after a long 9 game road trip so this is a perfect let down spot for them and Masterson who got lit up in his last outing which was against the Rays. Masterson gave up 2 homeruns and 6 hits while walking 3 batters over just 6 innings, Masterson left the game with 6 earned runs. Pavano looks to build on his first win of the season and which was on the road against the Tigers where he allowed 0 walks and just 5 hits over 7.3 innings. Pavano does not allow many walks and he has exceptional control so I look for another solid start from him tonight after a rough start to the season. Pavano has struggled against the Red Sox in the past with a 1-3 record and an ERA of 8.18 over 5 starts against them but he has not faced them since 2005 so you can throw that stat out the window. Take Cleveland at a great price as your MLB Free Play for Wednesday night.
Vegas Experts
Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics
The Boston Celtics and Orlando Magic have gone UNDER the total in four straight games and a fifth game is very likely. The Boston Celtics are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA holding opponents to just over 95 points per game in Boston. Orlando has not scored over 100 points in seven tries against the Celtics. The Magic are 14-4 UNDER coming off back-to-back road games and 13-5 UNDER after a win by 6 or more points. Expect another low scoring game again tonight in Boston.
Play on: UNDER
Scott Rickenbach
Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros
PICK: Under 9
With two lofty ERA's for these starting pitchers, the attention early on has gone to the over but we feel that will prove to be the wrong move here. Rich Harden of the Cubs had 35 strikeouts in 21 innings before running into trouble in his most recent start. He's fully capable of dominating a Houston lineup that has been very inconsistent at the plate this season.
As for the Astros Mike Hampton, the southpaw actually had been quite consistent early this season before he ran into trouble at Atlanta in his most recent start. Prior to that outing, Hampton had a 3.86 ERA on the season and had averaged nearly six innings per start. He's facing a Cubs lineup that has been inconsistent so far this season and we see value with the UNDER in Houston tonight.
Tom Freese
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Prediction: Under
Arizona is 8-0-1 UNDER their last 9 games as road underdogs and they are and they are 7-0 UNDER after scoring two or less runs in their last game. The Diamondbacks are 18-6 UNDER vs. losing teams and they are 7-2-1 UNDER off a loss. San Diego is 27-11-2 in the last 40 home starts made by Jake Peavy and they are 6-2 UNDER their last 8 home games vs. righty starters. The Padres are 35-17-3 UNDER when Peavy starts Game 1 of a series. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Peavy vs. Garland)
MTi Sports
Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
The Orioles are 5-25 as a dog when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and the Twins are 19-5 as a road favorite after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits. Minnesota is the way to go here.
Frank Jordan
Arizona D-Backs vs. San Diego Padres
Play: Arizona D-Backs
Arizona has had a rough go of it in the first month plus of the season as Webb went down and they struggled at home. The road hasn't been to kind either as they are 3-6, but they send Jon Garland to the mound who is 2-1 on the year. San Diego is also sub .500 at 12-15, however at home they are playing well with 7 wins in their first 12 games. The Padres also have their ace on the mound in Jake Peavy, but Peavy hasn't been his dominate self with a 2-3 record and an era over 4.50. Look for length out of both starters with the bullpens needed to hold a lead late as Arizona edges out San Diego in the end 4-3. Play Arizona
Dave Malinsky
Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros
PICK: Chicago Cubs
Some of the best concepts in sports betting come up rather infrequently, which means that we must take advantage when there are there. And the case of backing an “A” level performer off of a bad game comes to the front with Rich Harden here. Bad games are rare for pitchers of his caliber, but that is what happened vs. Florida on Friday, when he had some control problems in the fourth inning. Now we get a chance to play him in a rebound setting and note just how special he has been – in his Major League career he has worked to a 12-2/2.00 tune in 121.1 innings following a game in which he gave up four runs or more. That makes this one particularly strong, because it sets up well all the way around.
We cashed an easy 4* against the Cubs yesterday when Lou Piniella gave Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez, Ryan Theriot and Milton Bradley the day off, while Carlos Marmol and Scott Gregg were both unavailable in the bullpen. But now that all changes. The rested players come back fresh for this one, creating a strong right-handed lineup to play into Mike Hampton, and the bullpen brings major edges for the latter stages against a worn-out Houston corps.
Hampton got off to a decent start in his return from injury but we do not see the stuff to maintain a high level – he has already fallen off to an 0-1/6.48 over his last three outings, and the 5.1 innings per start that he is averaging is about all the stamina that he has. That makes this a particularly difficult night for Cecil Cooper to get through nine innings, with his starters failing to go past the fifth inning in the last five games, and the bullpen struggling to a 5.63 tune in that span. Those pen issues are exacerbated by the DL absences of Jose Valverde and Doug Brocail, and Geoff Geary because of yesterday’s work load. Without many hard throwers around, an Astro defense that rates #25 on our best chart so far this season gets further exposed, providing the Cubs with ample opportunities to break this one open.
JACK JONES
Tampa Bay Rays/NY Yankees OVER 10
The Rays got off to a poor start this year offensively, but they have came alive as of late, scoring 6.1 runs over their last 7 game while hitting .290. Againt right-handers this year they are scoring 5.8 runs pe game while hitting .282 and will be facing right-hander AJ Burnett tonight. Burnett has given up 15 runs in his last 18.3 innings and has given up 3 home runs and 8 walks in 13.3 home innings this year. Andy Sonnanstine of the Rays hasn't been very good at all, giving up 16 runs in 14.7 innings on the road, good for a 9.20 ERA and 2.11 WHIP. Plus he has a 5.65 ERA in his 5 starts against the Yankees. New York has scored 6.7 runs per game of their last 7 and 6 per against righties this year. I think you'll see another high-scoring affair in the Bronx tonight.