Dunkel Index
Denver at LA Lakers
The Nuggets come in 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and face an LA team that 0-4 ATS in its last 4 playoff games as a favorite between 5 and 10 1/2 points. Denver is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+6).
Game 517-518: Denver at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.569; LA Lakers 131.436
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4; 216
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+6); Over
MLB
Atlanta at San Francisco
The Braves look to avoid the sweep and take advantage of San Francisco's 1-5 record in Randy Johnson's last 6 starts as an underdog. Atlanta is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115).
Game 951-952: St. Louis at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 14.942; Milwaukee (Parra) 15.365
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); Under
Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.519; Cubs (Zambrano) 13.295
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-175); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+165); N/A
Game 955-956: LA Dodgers at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.121; Colorado (Jimenez) 15.459
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Under
Game 957-958: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Badenhop) 14.697; Philadelphia (Myers) 15.911
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-180); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-180); Under
Game 959-960: Washington at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 13.713; NY Mets (Santana) 15.867
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-240); Over
Game 961-962: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Paulino) 14.553; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.526
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-135); Over
Game 963-964: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Peavy) 16.391; Arizona (Buckner) 14.871
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-155); Under
Game 965-966: Atlanta at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Kawakami) 15.099; San Francisco (Johnson) 14.881
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Under
Game 967-968: Toronto at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 14.054; Baltimore (Hill) 13.606
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-165); Under
Game 969-970: Detroit at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.412; Kansas City (Davies) 15.418
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+100); Over
Game 971-972: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Bedard) 15.097; Oakland (Cahill) 14.641
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Under
Game 973-974: Tampa Bay at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 16.054; Cleveland (Jackson) 14.876
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/a
Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.487; Texas (Holland) 17.743
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 11
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+135); Under
Game 977-978: Boston at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 16.162; Minnesota (Slowey) 17.797
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-110); Under
Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 16.606; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.220
Dunkel Line: White Sox by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+180); Over
NHL
Chicago at Detroit
The Red Wings look to close out the series and build on their 16-5 record in their last 21 playoff games as a favorite of -200 or greater. Detroit is the pick (-240) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-240).
Game 17-18: Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.561; Detroit 14.089
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-240); Over
Matt Rivers
For Wednesday take the number with the ChiSox.
I fully recognize that the Angels with Vlad Guerrero back in the lineup and a quality hurler in Jered Weaver on the bump are superior when compared to the underachieving White Sox but at this price Chicago is just fine with me.
Ozzie Guillen's team is not the same club we remember winning the World Series a few seasons ago but there are still enough parts with Thome, Konerko, Dye, Pierzynski, Ramirez and others to prevail today for sure. It's not like Anaheim has been all that this season at all and it's also not like Mike Scioscia's club boasts an offense that can just bash away at the drop of a hat. Guerrero will help things but even with Vlad the Impaler this team over the years has not been anything better than average with the bats.
Gavin Floyd is your typical feast or famine pitcher. Sometimes the righthander has unbelievable no-hit stuff, literally, and other times he looks like a Junior Varsity guy. I certainly can't tell you that the good Floyd will show up today but at this price it's more than worth the risk and that is all that counts when backing such a potential pup.
If the Chicago starter shows that good side then this game is not that far from being 50-50 and we very well may be looking at a series sweep!
Tony Weston
Today's Selection:
The Yankees were nowhere to be found yesterday costing us in this spot, but we’re getting back on the winning track tonight as we’re taking the Minnesota Twins at home against the Boston Red Sox.
After dropping Game 1 of this series 6-5 on Monday, the Twins came back with a strong 5-2 win over the Red Sox yesterday to give the Twins their 5th win over their last 6 games, including 4 of 5 at home.
Over their last 11 games at home the Twins have notched 9 wins and are 15-5 their last 20 games in front of the home fans.
The Red Sox, on the other hand, have lost 3 of their last 5 games overall and have won only 2 of their last 7 games away from Boston.
Scheduled to take the mound for the Sox today is Daisuke Matsuzaka, who has had his share of struggles in his three starts this season, as he’s allowed 13 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings of work. In that three-game stretch Boston is 0-3.
On the other side, scheduled Minnesota starter Kevin Slowey has been solid with a 6-1 record this season. For the season, the Twins have won 5 of Slowey’s 6 starts at home, including 4 straight in front of the home fans.
Tonight will be no different as the Twins get over on the Red Sox at home.
3♦ TWINS
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
269 - 173 run 60 %
14 wins - 3 losses last 17 free picks 😮 😮 😮
WED - Milwaukee Brewers
======================================
Free Selection from Totals4U
Wednesday's free selection:
Chicago White Sox/Los Angeles Angels under 9
======================================
EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION
Game: Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers
(518) Los Angeles Lakers -6
This is the biggest game of the series as the winner
of game five when a series is tied at two games a
piece goes on to win the series almost 80% of the
time. I look for the Lakers to come up with their
biggest win of the series. Lay the points.
2009 Free Selections Record 78-65 (54.5%)
8)
DAVE MALINSKY
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Indians
PICK: Cleveland Indians
Yesterday we talked about the major psychological shift that took place between these two teams on Monday night, and took advantage in cashing an easy underdog ticket with the Indians. Now the price has shifted a few coins, but not nearly enough to reflect the realities of the situation, which means that we come right back in again.
The Rays are vulnerable everywhere that you look. Both the offense and defense suffered major blows with the losses of Jason Bartlett and Akinori Iwamura; B. J. Upton’s funk continues at the top of the lineup (now down to .189 after going 0-4 with two strikeouts last night); the bullpen is reduced to mostly journeymen set-up guys without a true closer like Troy Percival; and being nearer to last place than first in the A.L. East is difficult for the confidence level all the way around. Andy Sonnanstine does not bring enough in this setting to pick up that slack. Sonnanstine has worked to a 1-2/7.41 in three career starts against Cleveland, and there was nothing inspiring about the win, which came two starts back – he allowed five runs in 5.2 innings, including a pair of home runs to Ben Francisco. Now he takes to the road without the heart of the middle infield defense behind him, which not only brings his home/away splits into play (7.50 road vs. 4.96 home so far this season), but also means a quick second look for The Tribe against a guy that just has ordinary stuff, and must win with pin point location and execution. That becomes a major problem in this kind of setting – Sonnanstine has had 10 career starts in games in which he faced the same team twice within a span of 20 days or less, and in the second outing of those sequences he has worked to a horrendous 8.14 over 48.2 innings. That is often what happen to this class and style of pitcher.
Meanwhile Cleveland brings some fresh life to the table, and while this will be the first start of the season for Zach Jackson, his current form has his confidence level at the right place – in his last three AAA starts he allowed only one run on nine hits over 16 innings, including back-to-back shutouts. And with no fatigue ratings anywhere in the Indian bullpen, his mission will be accomplished after a couple of good passes through this lineup.
Tom Freese
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: San Diego Padres
San Diego has won 10 of their last 11 games and they are 37-16 when Jake Peavy starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Padres are 6-1 vs. righty starters and they are 4-1 as road favorites. Arizona starter Billy Buckner is off his first ever win in his last start and he figures to be flat in this start. The Diamondbacks are 6-13 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15 and they are 6-13 off a win. PLAY ON SAN DIEGO - (Peavy vs. Buckner)
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on San Francisco Giants +100
I like the Giants to pull off the series sweep tonight with 5-time Cy Young Award winner Randy Johnson getting his 299th career victory. Johnson has had Atlanta's number recently, going 2-0 with a 0.41 ERA in his last three starts versus the Braves and is 7-4 when starting against Atlanta with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 0.968 since 1997. The Braves have now lost 4 straight in this matchup and are only 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco. They don't appear to be in good hands tonight with Kawakami either, as they are 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a favorite. The road has not been kind to Atlanta as the Braves are 10-25 in their last 35 games as a road favorite and only 6-21 in their last 27 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Also, the bounce back factor appears unlikely here since they are only 4-10 in their last 14 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Back the Giants.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
BOS (+100) vs MIN
In Minnesota's 5-2 win over Boston (27-19) on Tuesday night, Morneau's 14th homer - a three-run shot - capped a five-run fifth inning for the Twins (23-24), who have won five of six after losing a season-high six in a row; that being said, I look for the Red Sox, behind Daisuke Matsuzaka to earn the victory tonight. While the Red Sox have lost all three of Matsuzaka's starts this season, they've won all three of his outings against the Twins. Matsuzaka is 2-0 with a 1.61 ERA in those games and I look for this trend to continue this evening. Look for the RED SOX to improve to 11-8 after a loss!
Indiancowboy
Take Under 9.5 Boston Redsox @ Minnesota Twins.
The Redsox lost 2-5 yesterday and look to bounce-back today behind the back of Dice-K. Dice pitched relatively well in his last start but he came up with the Loss. He only gave up 5 hits, but over the course of 5 innings he ended up giving up 4 runs. The Redsox went on to lose that game 3-5 at home. He looks to bounce-back today against the Twins as he is matched up with Slowey who is pitching very well of late and overall this season. He has put together 3 straight quality starts and 5 of 7 quality starts to his credit. Heck, he is 6-1 with a 4.23era. Considering this is game 3 and in some ways a rubber game as these two teams have split the series so far, I look for a competitive pitching contest as Dice looks to be on the bounce-back and Slowey has been pitching sound thus far. The Under is 4-1-1 in Boston's last 6 road games and the Under is 8-3 in Slowey's last 11 starts when the total is in between the 8 to 10.5 range.
Jack Jones
Detroit Tigers -107 over Kansas City Royals
We took the loss on the Tigers yesterday but I'm going to jump back on them today. Kyle Davies has struggled this season with a 2-3 record, 4.78 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, but at home he's been worse with a 7.16 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. Today he'll be facing Rick Porcello, who has given up just 3 runs on 14 hits in his last 17 innings of work. He should be able to keep up the impressive numbers against a Kansas City team that is scoring just 2.6 runs per game over their last seven and batting .215 during that stretch. Detroit isn't really killing the ball, but they have put up 5.4 runs per game this year and should be able to pull through as the slight favorite.
RJ Robbins
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Play: Minnesota Twins
We will take the Twins. Minnesota's Kevin Slowley has been a very pleasant surprise with a 6-1 record and a 4.23 ERA. Boston starter Dice-K has struggled in his 3 starts with the Red Sox losing all 3 and his ERA over 10! Boston is 6-17 against the money line in games played in a dome over the L2 seasons, 2-4 this year. MINNESOTA-1.30
Rocketman
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
Play: Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 25-19 on the season while Kansas City is 23-23 this year. Kansas City is 31-57 last 3 years at home when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Kansas City is scoring only 4 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Rick Porcello is 5-3 with a 3.55 ERA overall this year, 3.91 ERA on the road and 3-0 with a 1.59 ERA his last 3 starts. Davies is 2-2 with a 7.16 ERA at home this year and 0-2 his last 3 starts. Davies is 1-5 with a 5.69 ERA overall vs Detroit since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Detroit today!
Vegas Experts
Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins
While Dice-K is the pitcher with the higher profile, he has yet to win a game this season and has a hideous 10.33 ERA in three starts. The Twins' Kevin Slowey is unbeaten in six home starts and has been red hot recently with a 2.14 ERA over his last three outings. Boston has struggled mightily indoors the past two seasons (6-17) and is just 10-22 on artificial turf. They average just 4.5 runs per game on the road while the Twins average a healthy 5.8 at home.
Play on: Minnesota
Yankee Capper
NHL
Chicago/Detroit Over 5.5
MLB
New York Yankees -135
Minnesota Twins -130
Seattle Mariners -115
Wunderdog
San Diego at Arizona
Pick: Arizona +140
The Padres have been playing way over their head and with Jake Peavy on the mound you would expect that wouldn't change. Then you look inside the numbers and, despite the fact he has pitched well, the Padres are just 3-6 in his nine starts and an even worse 1-3 on the road. That runs the Padres road record to 6-12 in his last 18 road starts, well worth a nice dog price on the Diamondbacks. When you add in the fact that the Padres are 6-19 on the road this season and a woeful 29-61 in their last 90 trips to the desert, value lies on Arizona here and I will go with them as a live dog.