Who's Hot, Who's Not?
By Bruce Marshall
March Mayhem begins soon, but there’s still time to take advantage of various team trends that are either emerging in recent weeks, or have been present for much longer, before the regular-season concludes. Following is a conference-by-conference look at "who’s hot" and "who’s not hot" against the point-spread, as well as any team "totals" trends worth noting. All records are vs. the points, thru February 27...
ATLANTIC 10: Who’s hot...George Washington 5-1 last 6, 7-2 last 9, and 11-4 last 15 on board despite Saturday loss vs. Temple; 10-3 last 13 and 7-1 last 7 as dog; St. Bonaventure 6-2 last 8 despite Saturday loss at St. Joe’s; Who’s not hot...Duquesne no covers last 3 or 5 of last 6; Fordham 2-9 last 11; St. Joe’s 1-4 last 5, 6-11 last 17; "TOTALS"...Dayton "under" 3-0 last 3, Fordham "over" 6-0 last 6, UMass "under" 5-1 last 6, St. Joe’s "under" 7-4-1 last 12, St. Bonaventure "under" 4-0 last 4, Temple "under" 4-0 last 4.
ACC: Who’s hot...Boston College 5-1 last 6, 9-4 last 13, plus 6-2 last 8 away; Duke 4-1 last 5, 6-2 last 8 despite Saturday loss at VPI; North Carolina 9-2 last 11); Virginia 10-4 last 14 despite Saturday loss vs. BC; Who’s not hot...Clemson no covers last 4 as chalk; Georgia Tech 0-6-1 last 7; Maryland 1-4 last 5; Miami-Florida 1-6 last 7 as chalk; "TOTALS"...Boston College "under" last 3, Clemson "under" 6-1-1 last 8; Duke "under" last 4 and 7 of last 8; Miami-Florida "under" 4-0 last 4; North Carolina last 5; Virginia under last 5; Virginia Tech "under" last 3; Wake Forest "under" 4-1 last 5.
BIG XII: Who’s hot...Kansas State 4-0 last 4; Texas Tech 8-2 last 10; Who’s not hot...Baylor 4-9 last 13; Oklahoma State no covers last 6, 1-9 last 10; "TOTALS"...Iowa State "over" 6-2-1 last 9; Kansas "over" 9-1 last 10; Texas "under" 9-2 last 11.
BIG EAST: Who’s hot...DePaul no covers its last 2 but still 5-2 its last 7; Marquette 3-0 last 3; St. John’s 6-0 last 6; South Florida 3-0 last 3, 7-2 last 9; Who’s not hot...Georgetown 0-4 last 4; Providence 2-6 last 8, 4-9 last 13; Villanova no covers last 6 and just 1-8 last 9; "TOTALS"...Cincinnati "under" 4-1 last 5; UConn "under" last 3 and 4 of last 5; DePaul "over" 5-1 last 6; Georgetown "under" 8-2 last 10; Louisville "under" 4-0 last 4; Marquette "under" 7-1 last 8; Notre Dame "over" 5-2 last 7; Pitt "under" 5-0 last 5; Seton Hall "under" 6-1 last 7; South Florida "under" 7-2 last 9; Syracuse "under" 7-2 last 9; West Virginia "under" last 4. The Big East has been an "under" league this season!
BIG TEN: Who’s hot...Michigan 4-0 last 4, 9-1 last 10, also 6-0 last 6 away; Penn State has covered its last 4; Purdue 5-0 last 5; Who’s not hot...Indiana 1-5 last 6; Minnesota no covers last 3, 1-7 last 8; Northwestern 1-6 last 7; "TOTALS"...Michigan "over" 10-4 last 14; Michigan State "under" last 4; Wisconsin "over" 4-1 last 5.
BIG WEST: Who’s hot...Cal Poly 8-1 last 9; Long Beach State 6-2 last 8; Who’s not hot...Cal State Fullerton 0-5 last 6; Pacific 0-3 last 3, 1-5 last 6; UC Santa Barbara 0-3 last 3, 2-10 last 12; "TOTALS"...Cal Poly "under" 6-1 last 7; Cal State Fullerton "over" last 3; Cal State Northridge "under" last 5; Long Beach State "under" last 5; Pacific "over" 8-3 last 11; UC Davis "over" last 6 and 8-1-1 last 10; UC Riverside "under" 6-1 last 7.
COLONIAL: Who’s hot...George Mason has dropped its last 2 but is still 14-2 last 16; Northeastern 3-0 last 3; Old Dominion 6-0 last 6; William & Mary 4-1 last 5; Who’s not hot...Towson 1-4 last 5, 5-11-1 last 17; UNC-Wilmington 0-3 last 3; Virginia Commonwealth 1-4 last 5; "TOTALS"...Delaware "over" last 4 and 7 of last 9; Drexel "under" 10-1 last 11; Hofstra "over" 8-2-1 last 11; James Madison "under" 5-2 last 7; Northeastern "over" 14-1 last 15 and 18-2 last 20 (!); Old Dominion "over" last 3; Virginia Commonwealth "under" last 4; William & Mary "over" last 4.
CONFERENCE USA: Who’s hot...Marshall 4-1 last 5; SMU 7-1-1 last 9; Southern Miss 5-1-2 last 8; Who’s not hot...Tulane 2-9-1 last 12; UTEP 1-4-1 last 6; "TOTALS"...UCF "under" 7-1 last 8; East Carolina "over" 4-1 last 5; Memphis "under" last 8 and 12-2 last 14; Rice "over" 8-4 last 12; Southern Miss "under" last 5; Tulane "under" 7-2-1 last 10; UAB "under" 5-1 last 6.
HORIZON: Who’s hot...UW-Green Bay 5-0 last 5; UW-Milwaukee 8-2 last 10; Who’s not hot...Cleveland State 1-6 last 7, Detroit 1-6-2 last 9 away despite Friday win at Wright State; "TOTALS"...Butler "under" last 4; Cleveland State "over" 5-2 last 7; Detroit "over" 6-1 last 7; UW-Green Bay "under" 4-1 last 5; UW-Milwaukee "over" 4-0 last 4; Wright State "over" 6-1 last 7.
IVY: Who’s hot...Brown 7-2 last 9; Cornell 6-2 last 8, Penn 10-4 last 14 (but only 3-3 last 6), Princeton on Fridays (covered last 5), also 4-0 last 4 as dog; Who’s not hot...Monica Crowley’s Columbia 2-6 last 8; Harvard 2-6 last 8; 7 and 1-4 last 5 at home; Princeton on Saturdays (no covers last 5); "TOTALS"...Brown "over" 7-2 last 9; Monica Crowley’s Columbia "under" 6-0 last 4; Cornell "over" 3-0 last 3 and 6-2 last 8; Dartmouth "over" 5-1 last 6; Yale "over" 7-2 last 9.
METRO-ATLANTIC: Who’s hot...Iona 3-0 last 3; Niagara 6-1 last 7; St. Peter’s Peacocks 10-2 last 12; Who’s not hot...Canisius 1-4 last 5; Iona "under" 5-2 last 7, Canisius 0-3 last 3, Siena 1-4 last 5 and 3-12 last 15; "TOTALS"...Manhattan "over" 4-1 last 5; Niagara "under" 14-4 last 18; Rider "over" last 4.
MID-AMERICAN: Who’s hot...Akron 7-0 last 7; Ball State 4-0 last 4, Miami-Ohio 6-2 last 8; Ohio 5-0 last 3; Who’s not hot...Bowling Green 0-7 last 7; Eastern Michigan 0-3 last 3; Northern Illinois 1-5 last 6; "TOTALS"...Ball State "over" 6-2 last 8; Bowling Green "over" 9-1 last 10; Buffalo "over" 6-2 last 8 and 15-5 last 20; Central Michigan "under" 19-7 all season (though 5-5 last 10); Eastern Michigan "over" 4-1 last 5; Kent State "over" 7-0 last 7; Miami-Ohio "over" 8-3 last 11; Ohio "over" 6-2 last 8; Toledo "over" 9-3 last 12; Western Michigan "over" 8-2 last 10.
MISSOURI VALLEY: Who’s hot...Bradley 7-1 last 8; Creighton 4-1 last 5; Drake 8-2 last 10 despite Saturday loss at Bradley; Indiana State 6-1 last 7; Who’s not hot... Evansville 0-3 last 3 and 1-4 last 5; Illinois State 2-5 last 7; Northern Iowa 0-3 last 3, also 1-7 last 8; Southern Illinois 0-5 last 5 and 1-10 last 11; Wichita State 0-4 last 4. "TOTALS"...Drake "over" last 3 and 7 of last 10; Evansville "over" 8-2 last 10; Illinois State "over" 4-1 last 5 and 7-3 last 10; Indiana State "over" last 5 and 10 of last 12; Missouri State "over" 10-3 last 13; Northern Iowa "over" 6-1 last 7, Wichita State "under" last 3.
MOUNTAIN WEST: Who’s hot...Air Force 9-4-1 last 14, also 6-0-1 last 7 on Mountain West road; Wyoming 6-1 last 7; Who’s not hot... TCU 1-5 last 6, 4-12 last 16; UNLV 0-6 last 6 at home; "TOTALS"...Air Force "over" 14-7 all season; Utah "under" 7-2 last 9.
PACIFIC 10: Who’s hot...Cal 3-0 last 3; Southern Cal 4-0 last 4; UCLA 6-2 last 8; Who’s not hot...Arizona 0-3 last 3; Arizona State 1-5 last 6; Oregon State 4-9 last 13; Washington State 1-4 last 5 even after win on Sunday night vs. Washington; "TOTALS"... Arizona State "under" 4-1 last 5; Cal "over" 7-0 last 7 and 14-2-1 last 17; Oregon "over" 3-0 last 3; Oregon State "over" last 3; Southern Cal "under" 6-1 last 7; Stanford "over" 7-1 last 8; UCLA "under" 6-2 last 8; Washington State "over" 4-1 last 5.
SOUTHEASTERN: Who’s hot...Alabama 12-4 last 16 despite two spread Ls last week, also 9-1 last 10 at home; Auburn 8-3 last 11; Georgia 6-1-1 last 8 away; Tennessee 6-2 last 8 as dog; Vanderbilt 4-1 last 5; Who’s not hot...Arkansas 1-8 last 9 away; Kentucky 4-9-1 last 14, also 1-6 last 7 away; LSU 3-8-1 last 12; South Carolina 3-7 last 10; Tennessee 4-10 last 14 as chalk; "TOTALS"...Alabama "under" last 3; Arkansas "under" 5-2 last 7; Auburn "under" last 3; Georgia "under" 6-3 last 9; Kentucky "over" 5-0 last 5; LSU "over" 5-0 last 5; Ole Miss "under" 7-3 last 10; Tennessee "under" 10-3 last 13.
SUN BELT: Who’s hot...Arkansas State 3-0 last 3 and 6-1 last 7; Florida International 3-0 last 3; UL-Lafayette 6-0 last 6 and 11-1 last 12, also 6-0 last 6 away; Who’s not hot...Denver 0-6 last 6 away, UL-Monroe 4-11 last 15, also 0-7 last 7 at home; North Texas 1-7 last 8 despite Saturday win over Denver; Troy 0-3 last 3; Western Kentucky 0-3 last 3; "TOTALS"...Denver "under" 7-0 last 7; Florida International "over" last 4 and 12-1 last 13; UL-Lafayette "under" 8-0 last 8; Middle Tennessee "under" last 3 and 4-1 last 5; North Texas w-a-a-a-y-y-y "under" its last 2 but still "over" 11-3-1 last 15; Troy "under" 5-1 last 6.
WEST COAST: Who’s hot...Gonzaga 5-1 last 6, Pepperdine 7-1 last 8; Who’s not hot...Loyola-Marymount covered both last weekend but is still 3-9 last 12; San Francisco 0-3 last 3 and 1-4 last 5 after 8-1 run previous; Santa Clara 0-3 last 3; Saint Mary’s 3-8-1 last 12; "TOTALS"...Gonzaga "under" 6-2 last 8 and 18-7 last 23; Loyola-Marymount "over" last 4; San Diego "under" 6-1 last 7 and 12-3 last 15; San Francisco "over’ 4-1 last 5; Saint Mary’s "over" last 5 and 8 of last 9.
WAC: Who’s hot...Boise State 4-1 last 5; Hawaii 8-2 last 10; Idaho 5-1 last 6, 15-5-2 last 22 despite Saturday loss at Utah State; New Mexico State 5-1-1 last 7 at home; San Jose State 3-0 last 3; Who’s not hot...La Tech 1-4-1 last 6; New Mexico State 0-3 last 3; "TOTALS"...Boise State 5-1 last 6; Fresno State "under" 4-0 last 4; Hawaii "over" 4-1 last 5; Idaho "under" 4-1 last 5; La Tech "under" 12-4-1 last 16; Nevada "under" 4-0 last 4; San Jose State "over" last 3 "under" 11-3-1 last 15; San Jose State "under" last 3 after "overs" in preceding six.