WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Friday, July 7th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
WNBA Prediction: Indiana Fever at Atlanta Dream
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
A battle between two Eastern Conference squads with almost identical record so far in the WNBA and sitting on the bottom three places takes place tonight, when the struggling Atlanta Dream (6-8 ), are hosting the Indiana Fever (7-8 ), with both teams coming off defeats in their latest matchups.
Atlanta Dream have a 6-8 record so far this season (5-9 ATS) and currently sit on the second to last place of the East. They are 2-7 in their last nine matches and in their last game they lost on the road against Dallas Wings with a 94-84 score. Tiffany Hayes leads the team in scoring with 16.9 ppg, adding 4.3 rpg. She is followed by Bria Holmes with 11.2 ppg, while Elizabeth Williams adds 10.1 ppg and a team high 8.3 rebounds per game.
Indiana Fever have a 7-8 record so far this season (6-8-1 ATS) and currently sit on the third to last place of the East. They have lost two of their last three matches and in their last game they lost at home against Connecticut Sun with an 85-91 score. Candice Dupree leads the team in scoring with 14.8 ppg, adding a team high 6 rebounds per game. She is followed by Erica Wheeler with 11.3 ppg and 3.3 apg, while Shenise Johnson adds 11 ppg and 3.6 rpg.
In their previous matchup earlier this season, Indiana won at home with an 85-74 score. Atlanta are 3-3 at home so far this season, while Indiana are 2-5 on the road. Indiana are better offensively, scoring 80 ppg to Atlanta’s 77.4 (third-worse in the league), while Atlanta are better defensively, allowing 81.2 ppg to Indiana’s 85.2 (third-worse). Atlanta are the worse team in the league in both percentages, shooting field goals with 40.7% to Indiana’s 44.2%, and in 3-pointers, shooting with 24.9% to Indiana’s 32.1%. Indiana on the other hand are the worse rebounding team, grabbing 27.9 to Atlanta’s 34.6, and the worse team in assists, with 13.7 to Atlanta’s 17.2. Both teams are equally disappointing this season and the home court will be a major factor in the matchup, so pick Atlanta for the win tonight.
Prediction: Atlanta Dream -1
WNBA Prediction: Phoenix Mercury at San Antonio Stars
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
A battle between two Western Conference squads on the opposite sides of the league table takes place tonight, when the worse team in the league, the San Antonio Stars (1-14), who returned to being defeated, are hosting the Phoenix Mercury (8-6) who are struggling to find their rhythm this season.
San Antonio Stars have the worst record in the league with 1-15 (8-7-1 ATS) and in their last game they returned to the losing ways after being defeated by Connecticut Sun at home with a 56-89 score. Kayla McBride leads the team in scoring with 15.1 ppg and 4.4 rpg, followed by Isabelle Harrison with 11 ppg and 5.4 rpg, while Moriah Jefferson adds 10.8 ppg and a team high 4.5 assists per game.
Phoenix Mercury have an 8-6 record so far this season (6-8 ATS) and currently sit on the third place of the West. They are struggling to find their rhythm by not being able to have two wins in a row since June 1st. In their last game they won at home against Washington Mystics with an 88-80 score. Brittney Griner leads the team in scoring with 22.4 ppg, adding team highs both in rebounding, with 8.1 per game and blocks, with 2.4 per game. She is followed by Diana Taurasi with 18.1 ppg and Leilani Mitchell with 9.3 ppg and 3.9 assists.
In their previous matchup earlier this season, Phoenix won on the road with a 72-78 score. San Antonio have a 1-7 home record so far this season, while Phoenix are 4-2 on the road. Phoenix are better both offensively, scoring 82.3 ppg to San Antonio’s league-low of 72.8, and defensively, allowing 79.6 ppg to San Antonio’s 82.6. Phoenix also have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with 43.2% to San Antonio’s 41.7% (third-worse), and in 3-pointers, shooting with 31.9% to San Antonio’s 31.3% (third-worse). Both teams are extremely close both in assists made (17.4 and 17.3) and in rebounding, grabbing 32.8 and 32.6 per game. San Antonio remain by far the weakest team in the league, so expect an easy Phoenix road win tonight.
Prediction: Phoenix Mercury -10
WNBA Betting Picks
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com
Another game last night between the Sparks and the Lynx where followers may have fared better than I did, as I pushed with the under 165 and the game closed at 166.5. So I’m showing a record of 19-18-3, while anybody who has tailed most likely has done a little better, so on to Friday’s games.
One thing I have done is start doing a modified version of my NBA totals process and look for agreement between it and my WNBA numbers, so we’ll start seeing more totals here.
Indiana at Atlanta: Not the most exciting match-up between two teams who are just under .500, as Atlanta brings a 6-8 record into this one, while the Fever played a little better during the month of June and are now 7-8. The teams played in Indiana and the Fever came away with an 84-79 victory as 4-point favorites and the game stayed under the total of 165.
Atlanta is favored by 2 and the total is 162, while my numbers are calling for Atlanta 83-79 and my three NBA methods are all calling for this one to land under the total. Indiana has played better at home this home this season, where they’ve gone 5-3 compared to just 2-5 on the road. While Indiana allows roughly the same number of points, it’s their offense that has suffered away from home, as they scored 11 fewer points.
Atlanta is 3-3 at home and have shown a tendency to play lower-scoring games at home, although we’ve had just six games in which to build a sample, so it might be a little early to predict a solid under trend at home, although the Dream is 1-5 on the season.
Phoenix at San Antonio: The Mercury is favored by 8 and the total is 157, while I have Phoenix winning 84-78. My three NBA methods are each calling for between 164 and 166 points, so I’ll go ahead and tab the over as today’s play, since we have a five-point difference in the power rating numbers and the total.
Phoenix is 4-2 away from home and have gone 4-2 in away totals, as they have had a tendency to slacken up on the defense away from home and they’ve gone 3-1 as an away favorite this season.
San Antonio has been dismal regardless of location, which is pretty self evident for a 1-15 team. The Stars have been covering the spread at a good clip on the road, but are just 2-6 against the spread at home, where they’ve scored five more points per game, but also allowed 4.6 more points.
INDIANA (7 - 8 ) at ATLANTA (6 - 8 ) - 7/7/2017, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX (8 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (1 - 15) - 7/7/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA vs. ATLANTA
Indiana is 2-5-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
PHOENIX vs. SAN ANTONIO
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games at home
StatFox Super Situations
INDIANA at ATLANTA
Play On - Home favorites (ATLANTA) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season 140-79 since 1997. ( 63.9% | 53.1 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (SAN ANTONIO) horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more 64-30 since 1997. ( 68.1% | 31.0 units ) 5-5 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.5 units )