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WNBA Betting News and Notes Saturday, July 1st, 2017

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(@blade)
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WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Saturday, July 1st, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : July 1, 2017 9:36 am
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WNBA Prediction: Connecticut Sun at Indiana Fever
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com

A battle between two Eastern Conference WNBA teams with identical record takes place this evening, when the Indiana Fever (7-7), are hosting the Connecticut Sun (7-7), with both teams coming off victories and want to continue the winning ways.

Indiana Fever have a 6-7 record so far this season (6-7-1 ATS) and are currently tied with tonight’s opponent Connecticut Sun in the third place of the East. They have won three of their last four matches and in their last game they won on the road against Chicago Sky with an 82-75 score. Candice Dupree leads the team in scoring with 14.9 ppg, adding a team high 5.6 rebounds per game. She is followed by Tiffany Mitchell with 11.5 ppg, while Erica Wheeler adds 11 ppg and 3.2 apg.

Connecticut Sun also have a 7-7 record so far this season (10-4 ATS) and are currently tied with Indiana in the third place of the East. In their last game they ended a two-game losing streak by winning at home against Seattle Storm with a 96-89 score. Jonquel Jones leads the team in scoring with 15.1 ppg, adding a league-best 12.1 rebounds per game. She is followed by Jasmine Thomas with 14.8 ppg and a team high 5.4 assists per game, while Alyssa Thomas adds 13.8 ppg, 6 rpg and 4.8 assists per game, while.

In their previous matchup earlier this season, Indiana won a close game at home by two points, on an 81-79 score. Indiana have a 5-2 home record so far, while Connecticut are 4-4 on the road. Connecticut are better both offensively, scoring a league third-best 86.1 ppg to Indiana’s 79.6, and defensively, allowing 82.8 ppg to Indiana’s third-worse of 84.8. Connecticut also have better percentages both in field goals (45% to 44.6%) and in 3-pointers, shooting with a league-best 43.5% to Indiana’s third-worse of 30.9%. Connecticut are better in rebounding, grabbing 35.9 to Indiana’s league-low of 27.6, and dish more assists, with 18.2 to Indiana’s league-low of 13.7. While Connecticut are better on paper, they haven’t been effective on the road, so pick Indiana in this one.

Prediction: Indiana Fever +2.5

 
Posted : July 1, 2017 9:38 am
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WNBA Prediction: Seattle Storm at Dallas Wings
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com

Two Western Conference teams sitting on the bottom three places of the league table, but on opposite trajectories are clashing tonight, when the red-hot Dallas Wings (8-8 ) are hosting the struggling Seattle Storm (6-8 ).

Dallas Wings have an 8-8 record so far this season (9-7 ATS) and currently sit on the third to last place of the West. They have won four consecutive matches and in their last game they won at home against Connecticut Sun with a 96-82 score. Skylar Diggins-Smith leads the team in scoring with 17.6 ppg, adding a team high 5.8 assists per game. She is followed by Glory Johnson with 13.9 ppg and a team high 8.5 rebounds per game, while Alisha Gray adds 11.9 ppg and 4.8 rpg.

Seattle Storm have a 6-8 record so far this season (5-8-1 ATS) and currently sit on the second to last place of the West and third to last in the whole league. They have lost six of their last seven matches and in their last game they lost on the road against Connecticut Sun with a 96-89 score. Jewell Loyd leads the team in scoring with 17.5 ppg, 3.6 rpg and 3.5 apg. She is followed by Breanna Stewart with 17.5 ppg and a team high 8.6 rebounds per game, while Crystal Langhorne adds 12.1 ppg and 5.9 rpg.

Last season Dallas led Seattle 2-1 wins. Dallas have a balanced 4-4 home record so far this season, while Seattle are one of the weakest road teams this season with a 1-5 record. Dallas are better offensively, scoring 85.1 to Seattle’s 81.9, while Seattle are better defensively, allowing 83.1 ppg to Dallas’ league-low of 85.9. Seattle have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with a third-best 46.9% to Dallas’ 42.3%, and in 3-pointers, with 35.5% to Dallas’ 31.4%. Dallas are better in rebounding, grabbing 32.9 to Seattle’s 30.1 (third-worse), while Seattle dish a league third-best 18.6 assists per game to Dallas’ 15.8 (third-worse). Seattle are struggling lately and they are very ineffective on the road, so pick Dallas in this one.

Prediction: Dallas Wings -2.5

 
Posted : July 1, 2017 9:39 am
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CONNECTICUT (7 - 7) at INDIANA (7 - 7) - 7/1/2017, 4:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE (6 - 8 ) at DALLAS (8 - 8 ) - 7/1/2017, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
SEATTLE is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
DALLAS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : July 1, 2017 9:40 am
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CONNECTICUT vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Indiana's last 25 games at home

SEATTLE vs. DALLAS
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Seattle's last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Dallas's last 22 games

 
Posted : July 1, 2017 9:40 am
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StatFox Super Situations

CONNECTICUT at INDIANA
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CONNECTICUT) after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, vs. division opponents 53-26 since 1997. ( 67.1% | 0.0 units )

SEATTLE at DALLAS
Play On - Favorites (DALLAS) well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, on Saturday games 91-47 since 1997. ( 65.9% | 39.3 units ) 5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 1.7 units )

SEATTLE at DALLAS
Play Against - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (DALLAS) average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) against an poor defensive team (43.5-46%), after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better 49-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.0% | 27.0 units ) 0-4 this year. ( 0.0% | -4.4 units )

 
Posted : July 1, 2017 9:41 am
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