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WNBA Betting News and Notes Sunday, July 16th, 2017

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(@blade)
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WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, July 16th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : July 16, 2017 10:21 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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WNBA Betting Picks
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com

San Antonio at Connecticut: The Sun are -14 with a total of 161.5, while I have Connecticut winning 87-76. Defensively, the two teams are pretty close to even, while the Sun have a huge edge offensively. San Antonio is 8-1 ATS on the road this season and is coming off a win against Indiana. It was just the second win of the season for the Stars, who just happened to be at Connecticut the game after picking up their first win and were thumped 89-56. The Sun have a much-more meaningful game at New York on tap, but are coming off a loss to Los Angeles. The Stars are 5-2-1 as a double-digit underdog this season, so I’ll follow the numbers and take San Antonio plus the points for today’s play.

Washington at New York: The Mystics are a little banged up, as Elena Della Donne sprained an ankle and was just able to play 3.5 minutes in the team’s last game and Tayler Hill also saw limited time. Both players are listed as questionable for today’s game. Washington snapped a three-game losing streak last time out, but are still just 4-6 on the road. New York has dropped two straight, shooting less than 36% in both games. A little too much uncertainty for my liking in this one, where New York is -2 and the total is 156.5, while I have the Mystics 83-77.

Chicago at Dallas: A quick revenge spot for Dallas, who lost to Chicago on Wednesday by a score of 90-84, as the Sky have now won three straight. Dallas has lost three of its last four and has a game with Minnesota up next, so they should be focused on this one. The Wings are favored by 7 with a total of 173 and I have Chicago winning 86-85.

Phoenix at Minnesota: The Mercury will be without Brittany Griner and the Lynx just thumped Phoenix 88-71 last game, so it’s no surprise to see Minnesota favored by 14.5. The total is 164 and I have Minnesota winning 90-80, but that doesn’t take into consideration to loss of the Mercury’s leading scorer and rebounder. Minnesota is just 2-5 as a home favorite.

 
Posted : July 16, 2017 10:22 am
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SAN ANTONIO (2 - 16) at CONNECTICUT (11 - 8 ) - 7/16/2017, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 6-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 7-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WASHINGTON (11 - 8 ) at NEW YORK (8 - 9) - 7/16/2017, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 303-360 ATS (-93.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 177-224 ATS (-69.4 Units) after a division game since 1997.
NEW YORK is 102-68 ATS (+27.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
NEW YORK is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO (6 - 12) at DALLAS (9 - 11) - 7/16/2017, 4:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PHOENIX (11 - 7) at MINNESOTA (14 - 2) - 7/16/2017, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 11-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 12-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : July 16, 2017 10:24 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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SAN ANTONIO vs. CONNECTICUT
San Antonio is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

WASHINGTON vs. NEW YORK
Washington is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

CHICAGO vs. DALLAS
Chicago is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Chicago

PHOENIX vs. MINNESOTA
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games
Minnesota is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix

 
Posted : July 16, 2017 10:24 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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StatFox Super Situations

WASHINGTON at NEW YORK
Play On - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW YORK) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games 56-24 since 1997. ( 70.0% | 0.0 units )

CHICAGO at DALLAS
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) after 1 or more consecutive unders, poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game 161-93 since 1997. ( 63.4% | 58.7 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

CHICAGO at DALLAS
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games 110-59 since 1997. ( 65.1% | 45.1 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

 
Posted : July 16, 2017 10:25 am
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