WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, October 1st, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
WNBA Finals Prediction: Minnesota at Los Angeles
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
In Game 4 of the 2017 WNBA Finals the second-seeded and defending champions Los Angeles Sparks (26-8 ) are hosting once again the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx (27-7) after getting the series lead with 2-1 wins in what is so far a thrilling matchup, proving that being in the two first places of the league wasn’t a fluke.
In Game 3 on Friday, Los Angeles started strong and gave the pace for the rest of the game, coming up with a relatively easy home victory with a 64-75 score. It was the biggest deficit of all three games so far, giving Sparks the 2-1 lead in the series and with a home win tonight will be one game away from a second straight championship. Sparks were led once again by their stellar defense through which they held Lynx into just 8 first quarter points, while they scored 17 in that span, getting an almost double digit lead which they held until the end of the game for their easiest win of the Finals so far. Oqwumike double double for a second straight game for the Sparks with 16 points and 10 rebounds, while Sims added 16 as well. For the Lynx, Moore had 16, while Fowles had 15 and 11 rebounds.
This will be the 7th meeting between those two teams this season, with Los Angeles leading 4-2 wins, including two wins on the road. Los Angeles are 19-1 at home, while Minnesota are 13-6 on the road. Minnesota are better both offensively, scoring a league third-best 85.4 ppg to Los Angeles’ 83.5, and defensively, allowing a league-best 74.2 ppg to Los Angeles’ second-best of 75.2. Los Angeles have a slightly better field goal percentage, shooting with a league-best 48% to Minnesota’s 47.8% (second-best), while Minnesota have a better 3-point percentage, shooting with a second-best 37% to Los Angeles’ 34.2%. Lynx lead the league in assists made, with 20.4 ppg to Sparks’ 18.6, and are better in rebounding, grabbing 35.4 to Sparks’ third-worse of 31.1. Sparks commit less turnovers (13.3 to 14.3). Sparks are looking like they have Lynx on the ropes in the series and expect another home victory tonight.
Prediction: Los Angeles -3
MINNESOTA (31 - 9) at LOS ANGELES (31 - 9) - 10/1/2017, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 13-8 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 11-10 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
14 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA vs. LOS ANGELES
Minnesota is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Los Angeles is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Minnesota
StatFox Super Situations
MINNESOTA at LOS ANGELES
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 75 points or more 102-55 since 1997. ( 65.0% | 41.5 units ) 8-8 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.8 units )
MINNESOTA at LOS ANGELES
Play On - Any team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record 143-67 since 1997. ( 68.1% | 0.0 units ) 10-3 this year. ( 76.9% | 0.0 units )
MINNESOTA at LOS ANGELES
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 good shooting team - shooting >=44% on the season, good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game 57-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.7% | 28.4 units ) 14-11 this year. ( 56.0% | 1.9 units )