WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, July 13th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
WNBA Betting Preview
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com
We moved to 23-18 on the season Wednesday, as San Antonio picked up its second win of the season and now have just a single game on tonight’s schedule, but it is a decent one, as Connecticut visits Los Angeles. The Sparks are favored by 6.5 at the total is 165.5.
After yesterday’s win in Seattle, the Sun are 11-7 straight-up and 14-4 against the spread on the season, while posting a 10-8 mark in totals. They have moved a full game in front of Washington for the Eastern Conference lead, but playing back-to-back games is something you don’t see in the WNBA like you do in the NBA. The Sun do get a bit more rest, having played at noon PST on Wednesday and now play at 7:30 p.m. tonight against Los Angeles.
From a situational perspective, away teams playing-back-to-back games haven’t fared too poorly, as they’ve posted a 17-12-1 ATS record, while showing a strong under tendency with an 11-19 record. But when the opposition has had at least three days of rest or more, teams are 5-8 ATS and 9-4 in totals, so it all kind of washes out.
Connecticut is 16-4 in its last 20 games as an away underdog and 20-5 in the last 25 attempts on the road, while the Sparks are 7-0 straight up and 4-3 ATS at home. Los Angeles has been favored by double digits three times at home this season and those just happen to be the three games they haven’t covered. The four times they’ve been favored by 7.5 points or less this season are the games they covered.
My numbers made this one Los Angeles 87-78, while all three totals methods are calling for the slightest of unders, with projections between 163.5 and 164.5, so definitely no room for error.
The Sparks are coming off a loss at Seattle, which was the game after their first showdown with the Minnesota Lynx of the season, so a letdown was expected. But have to think Los Angeles will be focused here and it’s the first game of four straight at home. Los Angeles is tied for second in the league in defense and that was what carried them to the league title a year ago, so will follow the numbers in this one and take the under 165.5 for tonight’s play.
CONNECTICUT (11 - 7) at LOS ANGELES (12 - 5) - 7/13/2017, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 60-90 ATS (-39.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 72-99 ATS (-36.9 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 84-118 ATS (-45.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 4-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT vs. LOS ANGELES
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games on the road
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games
StatFox Super Situations
CONNECTICUT at LOS ANGELES
Play Over - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=76 PPG), after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game 70-33 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% | 33.7 units ) 12-10 this year. ( 54.5% | 1.0 units )
CONNECTICUT at LOS ANGELES
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) poor defensive team - allowing 73+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less 37-6 since 1997. ( 86.0% | 0.0 units )
CONNECTICUT at LOS ANGELES
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, in July games 67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )