WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, June 29th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
WNBA Picks & Analysis
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com
Still spinning our wheels a little bit in the WNBA, as we’re obviously taking games when we should be passing, although nobody wants to read an article only to find out that you’re sitting the day out.
The WNBA schedule leaves a bit to be desired at times, with one game on some days and then four or five the next, as arena availability looks to be as much of a deciding factor when and where certain games are played as much as anything else.
Two games are on today’s slate and they’re both decent games, meaning you don’t see San Antonio or Chicago on the schedule and you could probably add a team or two to the list.
New York at Washington: The Liberty was playing pretty good basketball when they were short-handed, and is often the case, once their two missing players returned they promptly went out and lost to Connecticut for the second time in three games. It’s hard to get a decent read on New York as a road team since they’ve been the visiting team just four times so far this season. They’ve dropped their last four games as a road underdog.
The Mystics are on a 7-2 run as a favorite and have been impressive their past couple of games. They have a one-game lead over New York in the East standings and can put a little distance between themselves with a victory. Washington is a perfect 6-0 straight-up and 4-1-1 against the East, while laboring with a 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS mark against the West.
I have the Mystics winning 84-83, while they’re favored by 5 with a total of 168, so I’ll go ahead and tab New York +5 as our play for today, thinking the number might be slightly inflated due to Washington’s offensive outburst last game.
Seattle at Connecticut: The Storm were thumped by the Mystics 100-70 a couple of days ago and now travel to face a Sun team that has dropped two in a row after an earlier five-game winning streak. Connecticut is another team that has fared better against the East – which makes sense when you consider Minnesota and Los Angeles are both in the West – and have played slightly better away than they have at home.
Seattle is tough at home, but have had their share of troubles on the road this season, where they are 1-4 with a victory over winless San Antonio. The Sun don’t instill a lot of confidence as a favorite even against a team that has been as poor on the road as Seattle has.
NEW YORK (7 - 5) at WASHINGTON (9 - 5) - 6/29/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 301-357 ATS (-91.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE (6 - 7) at CONNECTICUT (6 - 7) - 6/29/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) in June games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Washington
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing New York
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
SEATTLE vs. CONNECTICUT
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Connecticut's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
StatFox Super Situations
SEATTLE at CONNECTICUT
Play Over - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (>=76 PPG), after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game 60-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.0% | 30.3 units ) 7-4 this year. ( 63.6% | 2.6 units )
SEATTLE at CONNECTICUT
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season 83-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.4% | 0.0 units ) 3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
SEATTLE at CONNECTICUT
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CONNECTICUT) after allowing 70 points or more in 5 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )