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WNBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, July 18th, 2017

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(@blade)
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WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, July 18th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : July 18, 2017 10:13 am
(@blade)
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WNBA Betting Picks
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com

San Antonio at Atlanta: The Stars played a strange game Sunday, leading by five at halftime, only to get outscored 33-10 in the third quarter and rally late to cut the final margin to 14. Kayla McBride is questionable for San Antonio. The Dream is favored by 9 and the total is 157.5. My numbers make it Atlanta 84-75, while my three totals methods are each calling for this one to land under the total. Atlanta has played solid defense at home, allowing just 75.4 points per game, which isn’t ideal for an offensively challenged team like the Stars. Atlanta does have a big game at Washington tomorrow and may get caught looking ahead a bit. While the game today is an 11:30 a.m. start, so is the game against the Mystics.

Chicago at Seattle: The Storm is favored by 7, which seems slightly high considering how Chicago has played recently, although my numbers make it 84-77 in favor of Seattle. All three additional methods are also calling for an under. Chicago is coming off a double-overtime loss to Dallas and teams who played two overtime sessions in their previous game have gone 14-18 ATS and 13-19 in totals the next time they take the court. Whether it’s because they’re a bit tired or not is hard to tell.

Chicago has played better defense on the road, while Seattle has typically played tougher defense at home. With Chicago playing much better lately, have to believe the Seattle coaches are going to stress defense in this one, which is Seattle’s lone game for the week. Going to tag along with the numbers and play under 166.5 in this one for today’s play.

 
Posted : July 18, 2017 10:15 am
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SAN ANTONIO (2 - 17) at ATLANTA (8 - 10) - 7/18/2017, 11:30 AM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO (6 - 13) at SEATTLE (9 - 10) - 7/18/2017, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 61-38 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
CHICAGO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : July 18, 2017 10:16 am
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SAN ANTONIO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games
San Antonio is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
Atlanta is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games

CHICAGO vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Chicago is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home

 
Posted : July 18, 2017 10:16 am
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StatFox Super Situations

SAN ANTONIO at ATLANTA
Play On - Road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

SAN ANTONIO at ATLANTA
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (ATLANTA) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season 30-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 0.0 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

SAN ANTONIO at ATLANTA
Play Against - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) against an poor defensive team (43.5-46%), after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better 42-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.4% | 24.4 units ) 3-4 this year. ( 42.9% | -1.4 units )

 
Posted : July 18, 2017 10:17 am
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