WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, July 25th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
Betting Recap - 7/10-7/23
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 14-8 straight up (SU)
Underdogs went 12-10 against the spread (ATS)
Home teams posted a 14-8 SU record
Road teams posted a 12-10 ATS record
The 'over/under' went 11-11
Team Betting Notes
Atlanta (9-11) has been decent at home and awful on the road, and that hasn't changed over the past two weeks before the All-Star break. The Dream has dropped five in a row on the road, including a narrow 100-96 loss to the Mystics on July 19. The non-cover snapped a 5-0 ATS run for the Dream.
The 'over' has cashed in five in a row for Atlanta heading into the All-Star break. They'll put that streak on the line Tuesday at home against the Mercury. The over cashed in an 89-84 loss against Phoenix (11-9) in the most recent meeting July12.
Chicago (8-13) continued their dramatic turnaround with a pair of road wins last week in Seattle (9-11) and Los Angeles (14-6). Their 82-80 win in L.A. came as 12-point underdogs, or plus-550 on the moneyline. After opening 3-12 SU over the first 15 outings the Sky has posted a 5-1 SU/ATS mark over the past six outings.
Connecticut (12-9) dropped their final game before the break, but they're still an impressive 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS over the past eight outings. They'll take on the red-hot Sky in the first game out of the break on Tuesday.
Dallas (10-12) sputtered down the stretch in the first half, losing four of their final six before the break while also going 2-4 ATS during the span. While they weren't terribly productive against the spread, total bettors love the Wings for their 5-0 'over' mark across the past five outings.
Indiana (8-13) stumbled down the stretch, wrapping up the first half on a 1-6 SU/ATS run over the final seven outings. Total bettors are big fans of the Fever, though, as the 'under' is 9-3 over their past 12 outings.
As mentioned, the Sparks had an ugly loss against the Sky to close out the first half. It was especially shocking considering they entered the game 9-0 SU at home with a 6-3 ATS mark. The 'under' also continues to hit on a regular basis for the Sparks, going 6-0 over the past six and 10-1 over the past 11 outings.
Minnesota (16-2) was the class of the WNBA in the first half, with losses June 17 against the Sun and July 8 on the road against the Sky. That's it. They have been a bit shaky over the past few weeks against the number, going just 5-4 ATS over the past nine outings.
The Mercury lost Brittney Griner in the fourth quarter of their game July 12 against the Dream. In the three games she has missed, the Mercury are 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS while averaging just 71.3 points per game (PPG). They were averaging 83.2 PPG in the previous 17 outings before Griner went down.
San Antonio (3-18) lost their first 14 games, but they're a respectable 3-4 SU/4-3 ATS over their last seven outings. Two of the wins came against the slumping Fever, once in Indianapolis as eight-point underdogs (plus-325 on the moneyline) on July 12 and once at home as five-point 'dogs on July 20 (plus-180 on the moneyline).
Washington (12-9) won just two of their final six games down the stretch in the first half, also going 2-4 ATS during the span. The Mystics did get well in their final game, winning 100-96 against the Mystics, the third time this season they've hit the century mark. They're 8-2 SU/6-4 ATS in 10 games at home this season while going just 4-7 SU/ATS in 11 outings on the road.
WNBA Betting Picks
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com
Washington at San Antonio: The Mystics are still having some injury issues, with Hill out and Della Donne listed as questionable. They are favored by 4.5 points on the road with a total of 151.5. I made it Washington 81-73, but going to stay away due to the injury questions and the large number of games on the slate today.
Phoenix at Atlanta: The Dream is favored by 4.5 with a total of 164. I made this one Atlanta 88-85, but will stay away from the total since my NBA total methods are thinking this one lands under the number.
Chicago at Connecticut: There was no team hotter than the Sky when the All-Star Break rolled around, so they probably weren’t too happy to see the break come when it did. Still, WNBA teams frequently have four or five days between games, so the break may not be enough to throw them off their game. Connecticut is favored by 7 with a total of 172.5 and my numbers made the Sun 99-85, so will take the Shy +7 for our first play today.
Indiana at Dallas: Dallas is favored by 6.5 with a total of 166 and my numbers have the Wings coming away with an 85-83 win. All three totals methods are calling for this one to just sneak over the number, so will take this one to go over 166 for play No. 2 tonight.
New York at Minnesota: The Lynx are favored by 12.5 with a total of 160 and my numbers have Minnesota winning 82-75. All three totals methods are calling for an under, so I’ll go ahead and agree and take the under in this one for our third and final play of the day. This one will be broadcast on ESPN2 so interest will likely be a little higher than in any of the other games on the schedule tonight.
Seattle at Los Angeles: The Sparks are favored by 11 with a total of 162.5 and I have Los Angeles winning 86-74. The totals methods are all saying this one lands under, but with projections of 161 and 162 there isn’t much margin for error, so I’ll stay away from this one, but will lean to the under.
WASHINGTON (12 - 9) at SAN ANTONIO (3 - 18) - 7/25/2017, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 304-361 ATS (-93.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 59-83 ATS (-32.3 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 178-225 ATS (-69.5 Units) after a division game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX (11 - 9) at ATLANTA (9 - 11) - 7/25/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO (8 - 13) at CONNECTICUT (12 - 9) - 7/25/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a division game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 5-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA (8 - 13) at DALLAS (10 - 12) - 7/25/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK (10 - 9) at MINNESOTA (16 - 2) - 7/25/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
NEW YORK is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents since 1997.
NEW YORK is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE (9 - 11) at LOS ANGELES (14 - 6) - 7/25/2017, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 62-91 ATS (-38.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 173-221 ATS (-70.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 86-119 ATS (-44.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-2 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games at home
San Antonio is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Washington
CHICAGO vs. CONNECTICUT
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Connecticut's last 15 games
Connecticut is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games
PHOENIX vs. ATLANTA
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Phoenix's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
INDIANA vs. DALLAS
Indiana is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Indiana is 3-8-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Dallas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Indiana
NEW YORK vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing New York
SEATTLE vs. LOS ANGELES
Seattle is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Los Angeles's last 15 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
StatFox Super Situations
PHOENIX at ATLANTA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games 112-60 since 1997. ( 65.1% | 46.0 units ) 4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )
INDIANA at DALLAS
Play On - Home favorites (DALLAS) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games 112-60 since 1997. ( 65.1% | 46.0 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
INDIANA at DALLAS
Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival, playing with 3 or more days rest 34-15 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 0.0 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )