WNBA Betting Recap - 6/27-7/3
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 10-5 straight up (SU)
Underdogs went 10-5 against the spread (ATS)
Home teams posted a 8-7 SU record
Road teams posted a 12-3 ATS record
The 'over' went 8-6-1
Team Betting Notes
Dallas (8-9) was on a 12-1 'over' run heading into last week, but the 'under cashed in each of their games. The Wings also failed to cover in their third straight game at home.
Indiana (7-10) split a pair of games in the past week, and they also went 1-1 ATS. One constant for the Fever lately has been the totals -- as the 'over' has hit in three straight outings, tying a season high.
San Antonio (4-13) continues to struggle, going 1-2 SU/ATS this week. They had entered on a 4-0 ATS run. A loss against Minnesota (14-3) in the game Saturday was their first non-cover as double-digit 'dog in the past three. As a 10-point underdog or more, the Stars are a solid 4-3 ATS.
The Lynx opener with a WNBA record 13-game win streak to start the season, but then they went on to lose three in a row. They stemmed the tide with a win and cover against the lowly Stars, but they're just 5-6 ATS as a favorite 7 1/2 points or more.
Atlanta (8-9) have inexplicably dropped six in a row after an 8-3 SU start to the season as they fell to Phoenix (8-10) in Sunday's contest. The Mercury have come alive after an 0-4 SU/ATS start, going 8-6 SU/ATS over the past 14 outings.
The 'over' has been the play lately for the Mercury, going 6-1 over their past seven games, and 11-3 over the past 14 outings.
Washington (9-9) have been the play lately against the number, going 9-1 ATS over the past 10 games. After opening the season with 12 straight 'over' plays, the 'under has hit in four of their past six heading into their game Wednesday in San Antonio.
Connecticut (4-13) picked up a win against Dallas Saturday, snapping a three-game losing streak. The Sun picked up their third consecutive cover, a season-high, and the 'under' is also 3-0 during the span.
SEATTLE (6 - 10) at ATLANTA (8 - 9) - 7/5/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 125-159 ATS (-49.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
ATLANTA is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO (7 - 9) at MINNESOTA (14 - 3) - 7/5/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX (8 - 10) at DALLAS (8 - 10) - 7/5/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games this season.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE vs. ATLANTA
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Seattle is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
CHICAGO vs. MINNESOTA
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chicago
PHOENIX vs. DALLAS
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Dallas is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Seattle at Atlanta, 7:00 ET
Seattle: 2-10 ATS after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games
Atlanta: 13-4 ATS revenging a road loss versus opponent
Chicago at Minnesota, 8:00 ET
Chicago: 1-8 ATS after allowing 80 points or more
Minnesota: 9-2 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive overs
Phoenix at Dallas, 8:30 ET
Phoenix: 38-18 ATS after a game with 24 or more assists
Dallas: 2-8 ATS in home games after allowing 70 pts or more in 2 straight games
StatFox Super Situations
SEATTLE at ATLANTA
Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (ATLANTA) in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=76 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games 78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.2 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
CHICAGO at MINNESOTA
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) off a win against a division rival, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games 178-60 since 1997. ( 74.8% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
PHOENIX at DALLAS
Play On - Home favorites (DALLAS) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games 115-62 since 1997. ( 65.0% | 46.8 units ) 0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )