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WNBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, June 27th, 2017

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(@blade)
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WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, June 27th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : June 26, 2017 10:50 am
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Betting Recap - 6/19-6/25
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

League Betting Notes

Favorites went 6-5 straight up (SU)
Underdogs went 7-4 against the spread (ATS)
Road teams posted a 7-4 SU record
Road teams posted a 9-2 ATS record
The 'over' went 6-5

Team Betting Notes

Atlanta (5-6) had just one game during the week, and they lost to Chicago (3-10). While the Sky haven't won many games this season, they have been a thorn in the side of the Dream, going 2-1 SU/ATS in three meetings to date, winning and covering both games in Georgia.

The Sky started out 2-5 ATS over their first seven games, but they're an impressive 5-1 ATS over their past six outings.

Connecticut (6-6) had their five-game winning streak halted in Dallas (8-8 ) on Sunday, 96-82. The Sun entered as a five-point favorite, but they left with their first loss since May 31 in Washington. The non-cover also ended a 7-0 ATS streak to Connecticut.

After Sunday's win, the Wings have flown to four consecutive victories. The 'over' result on Sunday snapped a 3-0 'under' streak for Dallas.

Indiana (6-7) split their two games last season, winning in Chicago and losing at home against L.A. The Fever were trying for their first three-game winning streak of the season before the Sparks stopped them at home, 84-73. The 'under' is 3-1 over their past four outings.

Los Angeles (9-3) avenged an earlier loss in Indianapolis on May 24 with their 11-point win on Saturday. The Sparks have won a season-high five straight games, although they're just 3-2 ATS during the span, and 4-6 ATS over their past 11 outings.

Minnesota (11-1) had a surprisingly difficult time with San Antonio (0-14) in Sunday's game, winning just 87-78 as 18 1/2-point favorites.

The Stars are winless through 14 games, but they have a respectable 8-6 ATS mark against the number. The 'under' has connected in four of the past five for San Antonio.

New York (7-5) fell in its only game of the week against the rival Sun, losing 94-89 at home on Friday. It was the fourth consecutive 'over' result for the Liberty, and the over is 8-1 across the past nine for New York.

Phoenix (7-5) won their only game of the week, a three-point road win in Seattle (6-6). The Mercury have been erratic by their standards, with their longest win streak of the season at two games (twice). It was a rare cover, too, as they entered 0-3 ATS.

Washington (8-5) stopped a two-game loss and non-cover streak with an emphatic 97-63 road win in Chicago. The Mystics are 3-0 SU/ATS against Chicago, and 5-5 SU/3-7 ATS against the rest of the WNBA.

 
Posted : June 26, 2017 10:51 am
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WNBA Prediction: Seattle Storm at Washington Mystics
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com

Two teams from different conferences sitting in opposing sides of their respective conference are clashing in this noon game, when the Washington Mystics (8-3) who returned in the winning ways in their last game, are hosting the struggling Seattle Storm (6-6).

Washington Mystics have a 8-5 record so far this season (6-7 ATS) and currently sit on the top of the East and in the third place of the whole league. In their last game on Sunday, they snapped a two-game losing streak by winning on the road against Chicago Sky with a 97-63 score. Elena Delle Donne leads the team in scoring with 19.3 ppg, adding team highs in rebounds with 6.8 per game, and blocks with 1.6 per game. She is followed by Tayler Hill with 16.4 ppg and 3 assists per game, while Kristi Toliver adds 10.4 ppg.

Seattle Storm have a 6-6 record so far this season (5-6-1 ATS) and currently sit on the second to last place of the West and third to last in the whole league. They have lost four of their last five matches and in their last game they lost at home against Phoenix Mercury with a 85-82 score. Jewell Loyd leads the team in scoring with 18.3 ppg, 3.8 rpg and 3.7 apg. She is followed by Breanna Stewart with 17.6 ppg and a team high 8.6 rebounds per game, while Crystal Langhorne adds 11.8 ppg and 6 rpg.

In their previous matchup earlier this season, Seattle won at home with an 81-71 score. Washington have a 5-2 home record so far this season, while Seattle are 1-3 on the road. Washington are better offensively, scoring 84.1 ppg to Seattle’s 82.3, while both teams are almost equal defensively, allowing 80.6 and 80.7 ppg. Seattle have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with a third-best 47.1% to Washington’s 42.4%, and in 3-pointers, shooting with 35.7% to Washington’s 33.2%. Mystics are superior in rebounding, grabbing a second-best 36.8 to Storm’s 30 (third-worse). Seattle are in a slump right now and they have been very weak on the road this season, so expect a Washington win by more than 4 points today.

Prediction: Washington Mystics -4.5

 
Posted : June 27, 2017 10:43 am
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WNBA Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks at Connecticut Sun
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com

Two of the hottest teams currently in the WNBA coming for different conferences are clashing tonight, when the Connecticut Sun (6-6), who saw a big streak coming to an end, are hosting the defending champions Los Angeles Sparks (9-3), who are running the biggest winning streak in the league currently.

Connecticut Sun have a 6-6 record so far this season (8-3 ATS) and currently sit on the third place of the East. In their last game they saw a five-game winning streak coming to an end by losing on the road against Dallas Wings with a 96-82 score. Jonquel Jones leads the team in scoring with 15.5 ppg, adding a league-best 11.7 rebounds per game. She is followed by Alyssa Thomas with 13.6 ppg, 5.5 rpg and 4.6 assists per game, while Jasmine Thomas adds 13.2 ppg and a team high 4.9 assists per game, while.

Los Angeles Sparks have a 9-3 record so far this season (6-6 ATS) and currently sit on the second place of the West and second in the whole league. They have five straight wins and in their last game they won on the road against Indiana Fever with an 84-73 score. Nneka Ogwumike leads the team in scoring with 20.3 ppg and 6.7 rpg, followed by Candace Parker with 16.9 ppg and team highs both in assists, with 4.7 per game and in rebounds with 7.7 per game. Chelsea Gray adds 15.9 ppg and 4.3 assists.

Last season Los Angeles won all three matches against Connecticut, including two road wins. Connecticut have a 2-2 home record so far this season, while Los Angeles are 3-3 on the road. Los Angeles are better both offensively, scoring a league second-best 86.6 ppg to Connecticut’s 85.9 (third-best), and defensively, allowing a third-best 78.9 ppg to Connecticut’s 81.9. Sparks are shooting a league-best 48.8% from the field to Suns’ 44.8%, while the Sun have the best 3-point percentage in the league, shooting with 43.1% to Sparks’ third-best of 37.8%. Sun are better in rebounding, grabbing 35.6 to Sparks’ second-worse of 28.7. Los Angeles have suffered all their losses this season on the road, so expect Sun to win tonight or lose by less than 4.

Prediction: Connecticut Sun +1.5

 
Posted : June 27, 2017 10:44 am
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SEATTLE (6 - 6) at WASHINGTON (8 - 5) - 6/27/2017, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
SEATTLE is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 300-357 ATS (-92.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 95-125 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 175-223 ATS (-70.3 Units) after a division game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LOS ANGELES (9 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (6 - 6) - 6/27/2017, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 90-121 ATS (-43.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 169-218 ATS (-70.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 81-117 ATS (-47.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 4-1 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : June 27, 2017 10:45 am
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SEATTLE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

LOS ANGELES vs. CONNECTICUT
Los Angeles is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

 
Posted : June 27, 2017 10:45 am
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StatFox Super Situations

SEATTLE at WASHINGTON
Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (SEATTLE) after scoring 80 points or more against opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game 29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units ) 3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

LOS ANGELES at CONNECTICUT
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CONNECTICUT) after 2 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games 67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units ) 4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

LOS ANGELES at CONNECTICUT
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=44% on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=42% of their shots 180-121 since 1997. ( 59.8% | 0.0 units ) 6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | 0.0 units )

 
Posted : June 27, 2017 10:47 am
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