WNBA Betting Recap - 6/20-6/26
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Underdogs went 8-7 straight up (SU)
Underdogs went 12-3 against the spread (ATS)
Home teams posted a 9-6 SU record
Road teams posted a 9-6 ATS record
The 'over' went 8-7
Team Betting Notes
The 'over' edged out the 'under' again this week in WNBA play, but it wasn't as dominant as in the past. Still, the 'over' is 54-34 (61.4%) this season, and the 'under' has managed to go only .500 one time through the first seven weeks.
Dallas (7-8.) is a hard team to figure out. They swept a home-and-home against the Mercury June 18-21, but stumbled at home against Indiana (6-9) despite being a six-point favorite at home. One thing that is consistent for the Wings is the 'over, as it cashed for an eighth straight game Saturday. Over the past 13 games the 'over' is 12-1 for the Wings.
San Antonio (3-11) has had difficulty putting together a strong effort for a full game, but they did just that in a 73-69 victory over Atlanta (8-4) as five-point 'dogs. The Stars have suddenly pieced it together, at least against the number, covering four straight heading into their game in D.C. Wednesday.
The Dream started off on fire this season, opening 6-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in their first six games. However, Atlanta has dropped three in a row straight up, and they're a dismal 1-7 ATS over the past eight since that 5-1 ATS run to open.
Seattle (5-9) rolled to a 98-81 win over the Sun, easily covering a 7 1/2-point number to snap an 0-3 ATS skid. Two of Seattle's five victories have come at the expense of the Sun. Unfortunately, the two sides do not meet again in the regular season.
The Sun have had difficulty against the spread lately, failing to cover in four straight after posting a respectable 5-2 ATS run from May 26-June 12.
Connecticut (3-12) suffered a loss at the hands of Los Angeles (13-1), which was not surprising in the least. However, the Sun was able to slap the brakes on an 0-4 ATS skid, covering for the first time since June 12 in Atlanta. Connecticut is actually a respectable 3-3-1 ATS in seven road games this season.
After opening the season 8-2 ATS through the first 10 outings, the Sparks are just 1-3 ATS over the past four heading into their game Tuesday at home against the Wings.
All of a sudden Minnesota (13-2) is in a bit of a tailspin. Spitting a home-and-home with L.A. was not terribly surprising, as the Lynx were due for a loss. But their 24-point shellacking at the hands of Washington (8-8.) was extemely shocking. The Lynx have followed up their 13-game WNBA record win streak to start a season with back-to-back losses, and they have failed to cover in two straight for the first time this season.
ATLANTA (8 - 6) at SEATTLE (5 - 9) - 6/28/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in June games this season.
SEATTLE is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 102-75 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
ATLANTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS (7 - 8.) at LOS ANGELES (13 - 1) - 6/28/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 50-79 ATS (-36.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 158-199 ATS (-60.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS vs. LOS ANGELES
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Los Angeles is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
ATLANTA vs. SEATTLE
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
StatFox Super Situations
DALLAS at LOS ANGELES
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (DALLAS) after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games 40-22 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.5% | 0.0 units ) 6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )
ATLANTA at SEATTLE
Play Against - Home favorites (SEATTLE) after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games 90-46 since 1997. ( 66.2% | 39.4 units ) 5-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 5.0 units )
ATLANTA at SEATTLE
Play Against - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (SEATTLE) explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, after a combined score of 165 points or more 54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units ) 4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )
Atlanta at Seattle
Atlanta: 1-7 ATS after allowing 70 points or more in 5 straight games
Seattle: 40-21 ATS in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4
Dallas at Los Angeles
Dallas: 4-2 ATS as a road underdog
Los Angeles: 14-29 ATS in home games