WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, July 12th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
Betting Recap - 7/3-7/9
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 8-4 straight up (SU)
Favorites went 8-4 against the spread (ATS)
Home teams posted a 9-3 SU record
Home teams posted a 9-3 ATS record
The 'over/under' went 6-6
Team Betting Notes
Atlanta (8-8 ) clawed back to .500 by going 2-1 SU/ATS in the past week. The Dream have also pieced together a 3-0 SU/ATS mark at home over their past three outings.
Chicago (4-12) slapped the brakes on a three-game losing streak in a shocking way on Thursday, stunning Minnesota (13-2) by a 100-76 score as a 14-point underdog. The win for the Sky also ended an 0-3 ATS skid.
Connecticut (10-7) has rolled up four consecutive victories while going 4-0 ATS, winning by an average of 12.5 points per game during the span. The Sun improved to 11-2 ATS over the past 13 outings, and 13-4 ATS overall on the season. Total bettors are also fond of the Sun, as the 'over' has hit in three of the past four, and 9-2 over the past 11 outings.
Dallas (9-10) split a home-and-home with the Dream, winning by 10 at home on July 5 and losing in the ATL by 20 points on July 9. The 'over' cashed in each of the outings.
Indiana (7-9) lost their only appearance in the past week, as the pesky Dream dealth them a 21-point loss down south. The Fever have looked sick lately, winning just once over the past four outings while also going 1-3 ATS during the span. The 'under' has been a dependable play for Indiana, going 5-2 over the past seven contests.
Los Angeles (12-5) lost back-to-back games in the past week, a rarity for the Sparks. While L.A. has been impressive at home, going 7-0 SU/4-3 ATS, the Sparks have stumbled to a 5-5 SU/ATS record away from home. The good news is they'll be home for their only game this week against the Sun. They beat Connecticut 87-79 while covering a 2 1/2-point number in New England on June 27.
The Lynx have covered three in a row or better just once this season from June 3-11. The 'over' has been rather consistent, however, going 5-1 for Minnesota across the past six outings.
Phoenix (10-6) has pieced together a season-best three-game winning streak, covering each of the outings, too. They'll look to keep it going against the Dream at home Wednesday before a home-and-home with the Lynx on Friday and Sunday. The Merc were dumped at home, 91-83, in Phoenix on June 30. The 'over' has connected in four of the past five for Brittney Griner and company.
Washington (10-8 ) will look to salvage their road trip in Indianapolis on Friday night. The Mystics opened their road trip 0-3 SU/ATS, and they're just 3-6 SU/ATS in nine games away from the nation's capital this season.
WNBA Picks and Predictions
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com
The WNBA picks up after a couple days off with four games, three of which will be played in the day. As we do at the start of each week, a quick look at the season so far, shows favorites still plugging along with a solid 58-39-1 record, with home favorites 32-27-2 and away favorites 26-12. Totals are 51-46-1 for the season, which is pretty close to break-even on the overs.
San Antonio at Indiana: Indiana is favored by 9 with a total of 156. My numbers make this one Indiana 82-74 and my additional totals numbers are split, with two leaning to the over and one to the under. Indiana is 4-2 ATS as a favorite, while the Stars are 7-1 as an away underdog, managing to stay under some lofty spreads. Indiana does have games with Washington and Los Angeles up next, so will grab San Antonio plus 9 for today’s play.
Dallas at Chicago: Huge letdown spot for Chicago, which just thumped Minnesota in its last game. Dallas is favored by 2.5 with a total of 169, while my numbers say Chicago 90-88, but it’s tough to trust the Sky in this spot. Two of my three totals methods liked this one to go over, with one just sneaking in there with an under. Chicago is 5-2 ATS against the Western Conference, but just 1-6 as a home underdog. This is the first game of a home-and-home for the two teams.
Connecticut at Seattle: Connecticut puts its 9-1 away ATS record on the line when they travel to Seattle to face the Storm, which is coming off a victory over Los Angeles. A bit of a letdown spot for both teams, with the Sun coming off a first-place showdown with Washington, which they pulled out and Seattle catching the Sparks coming off their game with the Lynx. Connecticut is favored by 1 with a total of 168, while I have Seattle winning 86-81. Connecticut does have a game against Los Angeles tomorrow night in a somewhat rare back-to-back situation in the WNBA.
Atlanta at Phoenix: The Dream are coming off back-to-back 20-plus point wins at home and now travel to Phoenix to face the Mercury. I’d normally look at Phoenix in this spot, but they do have back-to-back games with Minnesota up next. The Mercury are just one game back of Los Angeles in the loss department, although that will likely change after playing Minnesota and they have a decent grasp on third place in the West. The Mercury are -7 and 160, while I have Phoenix winning 87-82.
SAN ANTONIO (1 - 16) at INDIANA (7 - 9) - 7/12/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS (9 - 10) at CHICAGO (4 - 12) - 7/12/2017, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games this season.
CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games this season.
CHICAGO is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT (10 - 7) at SEATTLE (8 - 9) - 7/12/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a division game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 4-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (8 - 8) at PHOENIX (10 - 6) - 7/12/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) on Wednesday since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO vs. INDIANA
San Antonio is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Antonio's last 22 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
DALLAS vs. CHICAGO
Dallas is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chicago's last 18 games at home
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
CONNECTICUT vs. SEATTLE
Connecticut is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Connecticut's last 11 games
Seattle is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
ATLANTA vs. PHOENIX
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games