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WNBA Betting News and Notes Wednesday, July 19th, 2017

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(@blade)
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WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, July 19th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : July 19, 2017 9:29 am
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WNBA Betting Picks
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com

Connecticut at New York: Connecticut is favored by 2.5 and the total on this one is 163.5. I have the game 83-83 and my totals numbers are calling for 163 to 165.5 points to be scored, giving us opinions on both sides of the over/under. Big game here for the Liberty, who can pull even with the Sun in the loss department, as Connecticut leads the East with a 12-8 record, while New York is 9-9. The Sun are 10-2 ATS away from home and this will be their 13th road game compared to just eight home games, which sets them up nicely for the second half. The Sun won the first two meetings between the two.

Atlanta at Washington: The Dream played yesterday and defeated San Antonio at home. While back-to-backs don’t happen all that often, teams in Atlanta’s situation (road dog after win as home favorite and no rest) are 8-7 ATS since 2011, so it’s not a crippling factor. The Mystics are going to be short-handed again, with Hill missing the game and EDD listed as doubtful. Washington would be wise to sit Della Donne and let her get back to full strength during the break. The Mystics are favored by 3 and the total is 154, while I have Washington 85-76, although the injuries aren’t factored in.

Dallas at Minnesota: The Lynx have struggled a little bit as a home favorite, going 2-6-1 and it could be more of the same here heading to the break. They have defeated Dallas twice this season, although one of them was an 89-87 win in Dallas. The Wings are just 2-5 off an ATS win and have played better after a loss. Minnesota is favored by 14.5 and the total is 170.5, while my numbers say 91-78. All three totals numbers say this one sneaks under the total and I’ll side with the numbers and take the under for today’s play.

Indiana at Phoenix: The Mercury will be without Griner once again, which is one reason the line is just Phoenix -6.5 with a total of 156. My numbers have it 82-74 and the total methods like the under, although Griner is a defensive force in the middle. The Fever have been a poor road underdog and are struggling offensively, having broken 70 points just once in their last four games.

 
Posted : July 19, 2017 9:30 am
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CONNECTICUT (12 - 8 ) at NEW YORK (9 - 9) - 7/19/2017, 11:00 AM

Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CONNECTICUT is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ATLANTA (9 - 10) at WASHINGTON (11 - 9) - 7/19/2017, 11:30 AM

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 303-361 ATS (-94.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 57-83 ATS (-34.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 177-225 ATS (-70.5 Units) after a division game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) after scoring 55 points or less since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DALLAS (10 - 11) at MINNESOTA (15 - 2) - 7/19/2017, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

INDIANA (7 - 12) at PHOENIX (11 - 8 ) - 7/19/2017, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : July 19, 2017 9:32 am
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CONNECTICUT vs. NEW YORK
Connecticut is 6-10-2 ATS in its last 18 games when playing New York
Connecticut is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games when playing New York
New York is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games

ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Atlanta is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Atlanta

DALLAS vs. MINNESOTA
Dallas is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Minnesota is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Dallas
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

INDIANA vs. PHOENIX
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Indiana is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Indiana
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

 
Posted : July 19, 2017 9:33 am
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StatFox Super Situations

ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games 25-7 since 1997. ( 78.1% | 0.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

DALLAS at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Home favorites of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) averaging 42 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games 65-30 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.0 units ) 4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

INDIANA at PHOENIX
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or more consecutive games against opponent after a game where they covered the spread 41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )

 
Posted : July 19, 2017 9:34 am
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