WNBA Betting Recap - 6/13-6/19
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 12-3 straight up (SU)
Favorites went 8-6-1 against the spread (ATS)
Home teams posted a 9-6 SU record
Road teams posted a 8-6-1 ATS record
The 'over' went 9-6
Team Betting Notes
The WNBA has been a high-scoring league so far. Last week the 'over' was 10-3, this week 9-6. In fact, the 'over' is 46-27 in 73 games overall this season, and only once has the 'under' even managed a .500 mark for the week.
Washington (6-7) had a rare 'under' result in their win Saturday against Atlanta (8-4). After the 'over' opened 12-0 for the Mystics. the streak was finally stretched as they held the Dream to just 65 points, a season-best defensive effort.
In that win against ATL, the Mystics covered for the fifth straight game, too. It's been the opposite for the Dream lately, as they're just 1-5 ATS over their past six games after opening the season 5-1 ATS in their first six outings.
Connecticut (3-9) split a pair of games this week, but they are not covering the spread lately. They were 0-2 ATS this past week, and they haven't covered in three straight after a respectable 5-2 ATS run from May 26-June 12.
Los Angeles (11-0) still has a donut in the loss column, but they were given all they could handle from visiting Phoenix (4-8.) in a mid-week game. The Mercury came to play, covering a double-digit spread. The Mercury aren't playing very well overall, but they're 4-1 ATS against the number after opening 1-6 ATS in their first seven.
The Sparks are 8-3 ATS overall this season, but just 1-3 ATS when favored by double digits.
Minnesota (12-0) kept their end of the bargain up, staying perfect on the season. This sets up a home-and-home showdown and potential WNBA Finals preview against the Sparks starting Tuesday in L.A., and concluding Friday in Minnesota. The Lynx head into the game 3-0 ATS over the past three outings.
Dallas (5-7) picked up the pace this week, winning two of three games straight-up, including a 117-111 triple-overtime thriller at Phoenix Saturday. That helped the 'over' hit for a fifth straight game for the Wings, and they were a perfect 3-0 ATS to cap off the week.
San Antonio (2-8.) finally secured their second victory of the season, knocking off an equally disappointing Seattle (4-9). The Stars managed a 2-1 ATS mark for the week, and the 'over' is now 4-1 in their past five outings. The Storm has really been floundering, going 0-3 ATS in the past three, and 1-5 ATS over their past six outings.
Chicago (5-7) has been a Jekyll and Hyde team all season, either winning or losing consistently. Right now, they're in the midst of a 0-3 SU/ATS skid. One thing that has been consistent, like most other WNBA teams, is the 'over'. The total has gone above the number in seven of the past nine for the Sky.
NEW YORK (8 - 4) at ATLANTA (8 - 4) - 6/22/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA (5 - 8.) at WASHINGTON (6 - 7) - 6/22/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 285-340 ATS (-89.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) on Wednesday since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 179-223 ATS (-66.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 171-215 ATS (-65.5 Units) after a division game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York's last 18 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
New York is 10-2-3 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New York
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York
INDIANA vs. WASHINGTON
Indiana is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing Washington
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing at home against Indiana
Washington is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Indiana
StatFox Super Situations
NEW YORK at ATLANTA
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (ATLANTA) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record 96-67 since 1997. ( 58.9% | 0.0 units )
INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play On - Any team (WASHINGTON) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) 44-17 since 1997. ( 72.1% | 25.3 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) off a home loss, playing with 2 days rest 104-55 since 1997. ( 65.4% | 43.5 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )