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WNBA News and Notes July 18

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(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Trend Sheet

7:00 PM DETROIT vs. WASHINGTON
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Washington is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

7:00 PM SEATTLE vs. INDIANA
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games

8:30 PM CONNECTICUT vs. CHICAGO
Connecticut is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Connecticut is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Connecticut

10:00 PM ATLANTA vs. SACRAMENTO
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

 
Posted : July 18, 2008 7:59 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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DETROIT (15 - 7) at WASHINGTON (8 - 13) - 7/18/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 155-200 ATS (-65.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 93-126 ATS (-45.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 113-146 ATS (-47.6 Units) in May, June, or July games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 95-125 ATS (-42.5 Units) after a division game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (14 - 7) at INDIANA (10 - 10) - 7/18/2008, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (13 - 9) at CHICAGO (6 - 14) - 7/18/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Friday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (3 - 19) at SACRAMENTO (10 - 11) - 7/18/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 129-83 ATS (+37.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
SACRAMENTO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : July 18, 2008 11:09 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Friday WNBA Research
By IndianCowboy

Detroit vs. Washington

Nearly 70% are riding the Shock on the road here not suprisingly, and Detroit did cover a 9 point spread by beating this team by 13 at home earlier this yaer, that game pushed at 145 when Detroit was at home in that ballgame, Do note that Detroit has had a tough go of it on the road losing 4 in a row and missing all 4 of those covers as well. Washington comes off losing by 21 on the road at New York, so I do expect them to play better today, like Atlanta did after that terrible loss, Washington did beat Connecticut and Indiana at home recently, if anything I lean on Washington and the under here, a bit more on the under. Remember, the 2 ballgames against Indiana and Connecticut, 2 similar teams to the Shock in many ways with their offense and defense on the road, totaled 133 and 98 as this is set in the low 140s.

Seattle vs. Indiana

I would love to take Indiana on the bounce-back here, except for the fact that this team is faltering at home such as the loss to the Dream outright at home, of course, they will play much better today after a couple brutal days of practice and having to take a home loss to the Dream, but having said that, Seattle is rock solid right now. Only 35% of the public is backing them, but Seattle beat this team by 8 at home earlier this year back in June, this is a revenge game for Indiana in that respect as they come that the terrible double-digit outright loss to the Dream at home, Seattle has won 6 in a row and covered 6 in a row, of course, 5 were at home in their covers, but 1 was on the road in a double-digit win over Sacramento, Indiana has won 3 in a row at home, but do note as well: Lauren Jackson is out indefinitely on a personal mater today. Having said that, I lean Indiana, but I still do not want to go against Seattle. I think there are some other options in the wnba today.

Connecticut vs. Chicago

Nearly 70% is riding the road team in Connecticut here and it seems the wheels might be falling off from the Sun from the recent forfeit they took at the hands of the Shock. Conn beat this team by 2 on the road last time out and of course, Chicago has revenge from that 2 point loss and would love to get it back as that was back on June 1st - score 73-75. The Sun are 0-4 over its last 4 ballgames and 0-4 ats as well, They lost to Washington and Indiana on the road after an early positive start on the road, Chicago comes off a brutal 1 basket loss to the Shock after coming all the way back from a 19 point deficit at half, but they did hit the backdoor cover though and has covered back to back ballgames by beating Atlanta at home in what was a big revenge game for them. I lean Chicago, but do realize that Connecticut is too good to be laying down over and over again, this is a playoff contending team, at some point they will step up, wouldn't be surprised to see this game go under, still lean on Chicago nonetheless.

Atlanta vs. Sacramento

You notice the spread slowly decreasing for Atlanta in each road game, heck, they just won at Indiana outright, nearly beat the Silver Stars on the road as they led for part of that game even in the late minutes and still find themselves as a 9 poing dog - granted, the public, who favor them by 39% have not forgotten the close game with the Silver Stars and then getting burned on the road by Chicago - but Chicago had a masive revenge game against Atlanta and that is not the case here against Sacramento. Look, Atlanta has played some great basketball of late and they have covered 3 of their last 4, Sacramento comes off back to back wins and they are 7-2-1 ATS and 4-1-1 ATS at home of late. Thes 2 teams have not met each other and despite the fact that I think Atlanta does well here, I just have this odd gut feeling that Sacramento pulls the spread late possibly. I am tempted to stay away just on that gut feeling alone, will have to wait for the rest of the research of all the games before rolling with this one, likely just staying away.

 
Posted : July 18, 2008 12:47 pm
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