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WNBA News and Notes July 19

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(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Trend Sheet

7:30 PM INDIANA vs. NEW YORK
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:00 PM MINNESOTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
San Antonio is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
San Antonio is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

8:30 PM LOS ANGELES vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Los Angeles is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

10:00 PM ATLANTA vs. PHOENIX
Atlanta is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games
Atlanta is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

 
Posted : July 19, 2008 5:05 am
(@mvbski)
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INDIANA (10 - 11) at NEW YORK (12 - 9) - 7/19/2008, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 59-87 ATS (-36.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 60-87 ATS (-35.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
INDIANA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in July games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.
NEW YORK is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (10 - 11) at SAN ANTONIO (16 - 7) - 7/19/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (13 - 9) at HOUSTON (10 - 12) - 7/19/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 225-170 ATS (+38.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 150-98 ATS (+42.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
HOUSTON is 116-80 ATS (+28.0 Units) in home games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) in July games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 162-112 ATS (+38.8 Units) in May, June, or July games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 141-107 ATS (+23.3 Units) after a division game since 1997.
HOUSTON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (3 - 20) at PHOENIX (10 - 12) - 7/19/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games this season.
PHOENIX is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
PHOENIX is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
PHOENIX is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : July 19, 2008 9:15 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Saturday WNBA Research
By IndianCowboy

Indiana vs. New York

New York enters this game as a 7 point favorite and with love from over 58% of the public, Indiana first beat this team 83-69 on june 19th and easily covered at home, new york then beat this team by 6 in triple over time as these 2 teams went back and forth in the longest game in wnba history, thus, this is revenge game for Indiana, Indiana comes off a 6 point outright loss to Seattle at home despite Seattle not having Lauren Jackson for the ballgame, Indiana also lost to Atlanta outright at home as well, it seems the Liberty have turned the corner as New York has covered 5 straight ballgames, beat Conn outright on the road, drilled Washington at home by 21, beat Detroit at home, lost to San Antonio on the road but covered, beat Phoenix at home and of course beat the Sparks outright on the road in a massive 4th quarter come back and once again winning outright despite being a 9.5 dog. I lean on New York given how well they are playing, but I have to respect Indiana's revenge factor and the 7 points b/c Indiana did go to triple overtime on this same floor recently. Of course, watch new york drill this team today, but no thanks, staying away.

Minny vs. San Antonio

67% riding the Silver Stars here, San Antonio beat this team by 7 at home earlier this year, minny beat this team by 12 at home before that, Minny comes off a tough 8 point loss on the road to Houston, but that was a revenge game for Houston, Minn is off a loss and has revenge here, San Antonio comes off a nice win at Phoenix, but they are great road covers and they have a tendency to win and fail to cover at home, they did that against Atlanta, New York and Sacramento, where they win, but fail to cover, likely the case here as well - I think Minny could hang within the 7 year, but hate going against the silver stars at home, but it makes sense here, you might need your tums on this one, but is at a 25% outright win for minny where they are likely to lead during portions of this game.

LA vs. Houston

Any team going into Houston has to worry, this team is 10-12 but 7-2 at home and all their wins come of late now they have figured how to finish ballgames with the mix of new and old they have. L.A. beat this team in overtime earlier this year, back on July 9th, and Los Angeles does come off a tough loss to Phoenix on the road, and they have lost their last 3 road covers, Houston has come back home where they have covered 3 straight and the only team to beat the Silver Stars on 3 occasions this year, I think the public is wrong here and the home team comets get it done as they take away the 3 game road trip they had and they have won 6 of their last 7 ballgames.

Atlanta vs. Phoenix

If you like high scoring ballgames, than this is your cup of team which sits at 185.5 which is a massive line for the wnba, just to give you some reference, an Indiana game is typically around 144 for a line. Atlanta fell short by 18 last time but expect them to play much better today as they have been great double-digit dogs on the road thus far, 60% of the public favors Phoenix but incorrectly in my opinion, people forget all that the Dream have done lately after their first win against Chicago, check out the numbers: they are on a up tick:

After winning against Chicago for their first win, they have rolled to 4 of 5 covers, and the one cover they failed, was agaisnt Chicago which Chicago of course had revenge. So, in reality to me, they have covered 4 in a row and they still get a double-digit spread here.

07/18/08 @SAC L 73-77 W 9
07/16/08 @IND W 81-77 W 10.5
07/13/08 @CHI L 66-79 L 5.5
07/11/08 @SA L 74-82 W 10.5
07/09/08 @MIN W 73-67 W 11

I think the Dream make a shocker and has a great shot at cover, and who knows, maybe even win this baby outright.

 
Posted : July 19, 2008 3:15 pm
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