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WNBA News and Notes July 24

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(@mvbski)
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Trend Sheet

12:30 PM CHICAGO vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

2:30 PM PHOENIX vs. SACRAMENTO
Phoenix is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Sacramento is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Phoenix

7:00 PM LOS ANGELES vs. CONNECTICUT
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Connecticut's last 13 games when playing Los Angeles

7:00 PM MINNESOTA vs. INDIANA
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

9:00 PM DETROIT vs. HOUSTON
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 4:15 am
(@mvbski)
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Thursday WNBA Research
By IndianCowboy

Chicago vs. San Antonio

If you remember, I took Chicago at home against Indiana as the POD recently and it panned out, San Antonio beat this team by 8 earlier this year, Chicago has covered their last 5 as I have been on this team's bandwagon for quite some time, they have some bite on the road as shown at Connecticut and at Detroit losing by a combined total of 10 points and have covered 7 of their last 10 overall as well. San Antonio does come off an outright 13 point loss to Minnesotta at home so they can't be in a good mood, but that could have been a let down from the big Phoenix win and San Antonio has lost their last 4 ATS covers at home as well. Lean on Chicago with the points here, hell, it's possible they could win this game outright - I have it at a 32% chance and it fits in with my dogs that can win outright philosophy.

Phoenix vs. Sacramento

Sacramento beat this team by 8 at home earlier this sesaon, the public still favors the Monarchs despite Phoenix nearly beating Houston on the road, a game they truly should have won outright but did cover, Phoenix is making a push, they have covered their last 3, but Sacramento has won their last 5 and covered their last 4 of 5, I can see this going either way, no thanks.

Los Angeles vs. Connecticut

Both teams sit at 14-10, the Sparks beat this team in OT at home their last ballgame, the Sparks come off a massive win on the road at Detroit so possible let down here and Conn is facing the daunting -5.5 spread, the worst spread in sports for a favorite in my opinion, the same goes for the -3.5 spread in football, just a *ty spread always for the favorite and indicative that they expect the favorite to possibly lose outright, it's the worst spread in college basketball as well, whenever I see a -5.5 spread, I think Vegas believes there is a 40% chance that the underdog could win outright and that is usually the case. As per this game, Conn has revenge but they have been playing *ty basketball and have lost 9 of their last 10 covers, if anything a lean on the Sparks to win this baby outright, heck, even 1 unit on the ML is not a bad idea here imo. Heck, it sits at +208 from where I stand.

Minny vs. Indiana

Should 62% of the public favor an Indiana team that is facing a Minny team that just went on the road to beat quite possibly the best team in the league by 13 points on the road? Well, considering that Minny is a young team and they came back home only to lose outright to Seattle, they are as unpredictable as it gets. And considering that Indy is typically a sound defense and Minny struggles against physical defenses, sure, Indiana has dominated this team the last 3 times they have played them winning by DD - of course, those were all from last year, Indiana is the same team that lost at home to Atlanta and Seattle as they lost outright and Minny is coming off a loss of their own as well as Indiana who is coming off an 8 point loss to Chicago, if anything, a lean on the under, but this is a crapshoot game imo.

Detroit vs. Houston

Here is a great game for you, probably the best one of tomorrow imo, Detroit embarassed this team and beat them by 19 at hom earlier this year, but Detroit is coming off back to back losses which is a rarity for this team and on top of that they are back to back losses at home - ouch. This team has lost 4 of 5 covers and has lost back to back ballgames at home by 3 points a peice, hell, they were down much more in both those games and were fortunate to even come back in the Sparks game. Houston has won 3 in a row at home although did not cover the last game against Phoenix, if anything a lean on Houston to get it done here and hand Detroit their 3rd loss in a row and this is a revenge game against Detroit as well, I just don't know if I want to go against Detroit for their 3rd straight loss.

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 7:54 am
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CHICAGO (8 - 15) at SAN ANTONIO (16 - 8) - 7/24/2008, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (11 - 13) at SACRAMENTO (13 - 11) - 7/24/2008, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PHOENIX is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a division game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 130-84 ATS (+37.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) on Thursday since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (11 - 12) at INDIANA (11 - 12) - 7/24/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in July games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in July games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (14 - 10) at CONNECTICUT (14 - 10) - 7/24/2008, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 3-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (16 - 9) at HOUSTON (12 - 12) - 7/24/2008, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 226-171 ATS (+37.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 151-99 ATS (+42.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
HOUSTON is 117-81 ATS (+27.9 Units) in home games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) in July games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 163-113 ATS (+38.7 Units) in May, June, or July games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) on Thursday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 142-108 ATS (+23.2 Units) after a division game since 1997.
HOUSTON is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
HOUSTON is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 9:09 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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11 suspended in WNBA brawl

NEW YORK -- The WNBA swiftly suspended the Detroit and Los Angeles players and Shock assistant coach Rick Mahorn for their role in a skirmish at The Palace of Auburn Hills.

Shock forward Plenette Pierson was suspended Thursday for four games for initiating and escalating the altercation in what was the harshest penalty.

Mahorn was suspended for two games, as were Shannon Bobbitt and Murriel Page of the Sparks.

Players suspended for one game included: Detroit's Kara Braxton, Tasha Humphrey, Elaine Powell and Sheri Sam, along with Los Angeles' Lisa Leslie, Candace Parker and DeLisha Milton-Jones.

WNBA president Donna Orender issued a statement that said the events Tuesday were inexcusable and were not indicative of what the league stands for.

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 12:13 pm
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