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WNBA News and Notes July 26

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(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Trend Sheet

8:30 PM CHICAGO vs. HOUSTON
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games

10:00 PM INDIANA vs. SACRAMENTO
Indiana is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

 
Posted : July 26, 2008 6:02 am
(@mvbski)
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Saturday WNBA Research
By IndianCowboy

Chicago vs. Houston

Believe it or not, Chicago beat Houston both times last year by scores of 70-81 and 88-70, granted, these two teams have not played this year, Chicago is coming off a loss and a failed cover at San Antonio after they had covered 5 straight and Houston comes off a huge win against Detroit at home winning by 18 and have covered their last 4 of 5 at home and 6 of their last 9, I understand that Chicago is coming off a loss, but Houston does have revenge for some losses and for being swept in the season series last year, more importantly, they are playing great basketball at home, a bit surprised to see the line here as I would have thought -7.5, but Tameka Dixon for Houston is questionable and she averages roughly 9 points per game, in the same token, Dominique Canty is day to day from the 22nd of July so she is likely to make a return in this game and she will add 9 points to this team, so all in all, that makes sense why this line is a bit lower than usual, I can see Chicago hanging tight this game as this should be a close cover thoughout, remember, Houston is a bit short handed tonight as well, likely staying away but Chicago should lead early in this game.

Indiana vs. Sacramento

Indiana beat this team by 5 at home earlier this year, but Sacramento covered the 7.5 spread that was layed on them, Indiana comes off a home overtime loss to the Lynx 8-084 as they have had some tough losses of late including a loss on the road to Chicago, of course, I was riding Chicago in that game, so I am thankful, Sacramento has covered 5 of their last 6 including blowing out Phoenix at home recently and beating the Sparks by 18 at home. The Monarchs have revenge in this game but Indiana typically does not lose 3 ballgames in a row which they would be faced with today, but at the same time Sacramento is riding 70%+ of the public, in fact 75% in some polls, so that is the only thing that worries me, I'll probably just stick with an under today.

 
Posted : July 26, 2008 7:57 am
(@mvbski)
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CHICAGO (8 - 16) at HOUSTON (13 - 12) - 7/26/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 227-171 ATS (+38.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 152-99 ATS (+43.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
HOUSTON is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
HOUSTON is 118-81 ATS (+28.9 Units) in home games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) in July games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 164-113 ATS (+39.7 Units) in May, June, or July games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 46-21 ATS (+22.9 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1997.
HOUSTON is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
HOUSTON is 66-37 ATS (+25.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
HOUSTON is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (11 - 13) at SACRAMENTO (14 - 11) - 7/26/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 60-87 ATS (-35.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
INDIANA is 61-88 ATS (-35.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
INDIANA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in July games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
INDIANA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
INDIANA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
SACRAMENTO is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
SACRAMENTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : July 26, 2008 11:15 am
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