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WNBA News and Notes Saturday 8/15

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(@blade)
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Saturday's Best WNBA Bets

Seattle Storm at Atlanta Dream (-3, 154)

The Dream’s offense appears to be heating up, just as the slumping Storm’s offense has been stuck in slow-down mode.

The Dream (12-11), who have won and covered in three of their past four home games, have been filling up the basket at a frenetic pace that has seen their offense soar to second in the league at 82.9 points per game.

The Storm (13-10), on the other hand, have struggled to get much production out of anyone aside from stars Sue Bird and Lauren Jackson. They have lost four of six overall, and clipped 75 points just twice in that span.

Seattle has failed to give bettors the cash in five straight games and this doesn’t look like a good spot to fade the trend.

Pick: Atlanta -3

Detroit Shock at Indiana Fever (-7, 149)

The defending champion Shock have struggled all season to recapture their winning ways. Beset by injuries and a coaching change, Detroit has improved since the All-Star break, but time is running out.

Saturday’s visit to Indiana could be a do-or-die game for Detroit. The Shock are sure to have motivation on their side in this one, even though the Fever (18-5) can safely conclude that it has the better team.

The Shock (9-12) have split their last two road games, with the losses coming by a total of nine points. The Fever return from winning two of a three-game road swing.

Detroit has improved its rebounding and offensive balance and it’s fair to believe it will not let this one get away without a fight.

Pick: Detroit +7

 
Posted : August 14, 2009 10:21 pm
(@blade)
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DETROIT (9 - 12) at INDIANA (18 - 5)
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Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
INDIANA is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
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Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-7 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 9-6 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE (13 - 10) at ATLANTA (12 - 11)
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Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against Eastern conference opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ATLANTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
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Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PHOENIX (17 - 7) at SAN ANTONIO (10 - 13)
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Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in August or September games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
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Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MINNESOTA (11 - 12) at CHICAGO (12 - 12)
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Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
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Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LOS ANGELES (8 - 13) at SACRAMENTO (7 - 17)
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Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 136-91 ATS (+35.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a division game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
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Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : August 15, 2009 9:15 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

DUNKEL

Los Angeles at Sacramento
On the back end of a home-and-home series, the Sparks look to rebound from last night's loss and take advantage of a Sacramento team that is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games following a SU win. Los Angeles is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+2).

Detroit at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 109.520; Indiana 116.910
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 145 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6 1/2); Under

Seattle at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 111.038; Atlanta 117.197
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 145
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1); Under

Phoenix at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.053; San Antonio 109.248
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 178
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix; Over

Minnesota at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 108.737; Chicago 110.999
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 169
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 161 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3 1/2); Over

Los Angeles at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 111.380; Sacramento 108.962
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2 1/2; 133 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+2); Under

 
Posted : August 15, 2009 9:16 am
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