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WNBA News and Notes September 22

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(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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NEW YORK (20 - 16) at CONNECTICUT (22 - 14)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 8-5 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 9-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (19 - 17) at SAN ANTONIO (25 - 11)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 8-6 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-7 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Trend Sheet

NEW YORK vs. CONNECTICUT
New York is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Connecticut is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New York

SACRAMENTO vs. SAN ANTONIO
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento

 
Posted : September 22, 2008 9:09 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

INDIAN COWBOY'S WNBA RESEARCH

New York vs. Connecticut

The series here is tied at 1. This team beat Connecticut at home and covered the first ballgame, only to come back and lose to Connecticut in the second ballgame, but they did cover the 6 point spread as they lost by a possession. The WNBA does their playoffs a bit better in my opinion as if you are the lower seed, the playoffs start on your home court and then moves away from you for the remainder of the playoffs. So, in essence, it let's the dog have a greater chance of a 1-0 lead in the playoffs which creates even more interest and excitement. Imagine for example, if the Hawks held a 1-0 lead against the Celtics to start the playoffs, wouldn't that create more excitement than the other way around. Heck, my Hawks took the C's to 7 games - that's better than what the Lakers did. Note, the other cool thing about the first round of the wnba playoffs, is that it lasts just 3 games. So both of these games are the deciding games on who will go the playoffs. Thus, it comes down to this final game in Connecticut. The line here opened up here at -5 and has gone up to -6. But, when any team fights elimination they are going to have fight in them, and the Liberty come off a loss as well. The previous 2 games in this playoffs have gone under between these 2 teams as well. One would think the final game would feature more defense but I don't think it will be the case, I'm going with my dog/over theory here. Lean on the Liberty and the over here.

Sacramento vs. San Antonio

What's interesting about this game, is that it opened up at -6.5 and quickly jumped to 8 points. Really? In an elimination game where both teams are tied up at 1, the spread is 8? Well, the public here has become split evenly on the ballgame. But, in the same token, the Silver Stars were heavily favored to win this series, but regardless, Vegas put the spread at -6 as they did for the Suns, and were pounded hard enough to get the spread to rise to -8. Heck, it reminds of me the Ravens who opened up at a basic pick-em and were pounded hard to -2 which made me look at that game as more money went into it despite the public backing it. Sac has exceeded expectations in both games as they both went over, and note, the away team has won both of these games. How shocking that Sacramento actually rolled into San Antonio as 8.5 point dogs, after losing at home as -2 point favorites and coming back on the road and winning by 17 outright, essentially covering by around 25 points. I know it looks like the 3rd game might go over as well because the previous 2 did, but I think this game likely goes under. Look, I can't see the Silver Stars defense giving up this many points once again - for them to give up 84 points at home is a stretch and notice that the opening total line wasn't all that high even with 2 previous overs, lean on the under this game, don't have a lean on the side, just the total.

 
Posted : September 22, 2008 9:58 am
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