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WNBA News and Notes Sunday 8/30

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(@blade)
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Sunday's Best WNBA Bets

Chicago Sky at New York Liberty (-3.5, 146.5)

The bottom-feeding Liberty would love to play the role of spoiler during the final games of the WNBA season.

New York is in last place (11-17) and is coming off a loss to the Sky Friday. Chicago is fighting for its first-ever playoff berth, currently sitting in fourth place in the Eastern Conference.

The Sky have struggled without injured star center Sylvia Fowles but got a big boost from reserve Kristi Toliver, who scored 25 points off the bench in Friday’s win. Fowles’ status for Sunday is unknown.

New York could miss their starting center as well Sunday. Janel McCarville has missed the past two games for the Liberty due to a sprained left ankle. She puts up almost 13 points and grabs six rebounds per game this season.

Pick: Chicago

Connecticut Sun at Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5, 146)

The Los Angeles Sparks had their seven-game winning streak snapped by the Phoenix Mercury Thursday night. However, they were missing one of their biggest stars.

Reigning MVP Candace Parker could not play due to “personal reasons” but told the media she would be in action against the Sun Sunday.

“I needed to be at home," she told reporters after practice Saturday. "I appreciate the Sparks' organization for understanding and for being there."

Parker was mired in a bit of a slump this season, following the birth of her first child. But in recent games, the forward was finding her form, averaging over 20 points in her past three contests. On the year, Parker is scoring just over 12 points per game.

Pick: Los Angeles

 
Posted : August 30, 2009 12:22 am
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CHICAGO (14 - 15) at NEW YORK (11 - 17)

Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-5 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MINNESOTA (12 - 16) at WASHINGTON (13 - 15)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in August or September games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 173-222 ATS (-71.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CONNECTICUT (14 - 15) at LOS ANGELES (14 - 14)

Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 77-52 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 4-1 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 3-2 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : August 30, 2009 8:34 am
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DUNKEL

Minnesota at Washington
The Lynx look to take advantage of a Washington team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. Minnesota is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by just 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4)

Chicago at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 111.281; New York 111.147
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 144
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 147
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Under

Minnesota at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 107.911; Washington 110.518
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 169
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 165
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4); Over

Connecticut at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 111.974; Los Angeles 116.101
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4; 143
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3 1/2; 146
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-3 1/2); Under

 
Posted : August 30, 2009 8:34 am
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