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1 GAME THANK GOD THE BREAK IS WELCOME A GOOD HOLIDAY TO ALL

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(@timmy1961)
Posts: 38327
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A mental break needed a good holiday I want to wish to all you boys ur wives, kids sweet hearts, parents whatever the case maybe, and a better 2021, I wait to leave this year in the rear view mirror, we can't catch a break, I have never in my life in this business, a struggle with certain outcomes on games, how and why, and when I say I have my boys keep numbers, the 8 1 possession game that we should have covered through no fault of our own, all in the red zone, 6 out of the 8 were college games, and 5 of the 8 were inside the 5 yard line, I have asked myself overs and over, why when you are at the 1 hand the mother fuckin ball off 4-5 yards deep, the madness has to end the hoops were a joke too push chreight ucla scratched rut covering all game blows with a few minutes left, the other games hit and miss, I have maintained for years, a nice 70 plus hit rate on bowl season, that y I am pissed off with myself, with this poor start, but as I said we had had what I believed was right side play with fau, and it was but I am at a fuckin loss watching these teams in the redzone, game after game stick it up our ass

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 6:54 am
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 38327
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

2 of the college games I remember besides fau last night I can recall like I watched them an hour ago tulane in OT we had tulane cashed already, we were at the 4 going in for the score that would have given us the over too, and what happens 96 yard INT return for td the other way, the other app St, against coastal we were winning the game outright the entire game game with 30 seconds left, 90 plus yard TD return the other way bama immediately sent in in in to the sight the bad beat we got there too it's off the wall, short of me or any 1 else her finishing drives, for these teams or going on the sidelines to coach these teams for the last 2 minutes of a game I don't know what else we need to do, the public also has had pretty much a field day except for maybe 4 weeks, it's insane twilight zone shit at its best, we push on

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 7:18 am
(@surfer)
Posts: 3936
Famed Member
 

Merry Christmas to you and everyone here also the new year be filled with happiness and joy

It’s a different world that’s all what works on earth may not work on Mars just that simple for example

Think back to the 80s when there were maybe 10-15 bowls players get jacked when they could go to one it was a privilege historical their teams usually had 8 wins

Today- you have losing subpar squads facing another losing subpar squad and both were making Xmas vacation plans before being told they are going to Montgomery Alabama and play in a bowl game
Players never opted out years ago tons are now to prepare for draft
One starting stud defensive end or wr or rb can make or break a teams defense and affect the score
Toss in covid and it’s just a toxic mix
Overall the bowls have lost their prestige it’s hard to brag when you go 4-6 but beat umass in the popular weed eater bowl

That being said if it’s a weird world u can’t expect historical ways of approaching to work when things change sometimes you have to change with them or get left behind

So here we are what used to work isn’t working so we adjust
In my opinion live lines are the best adjustment they aren’t 100% but at least they give you the ability to let the game go see the flow and who showed up and who is out to lunch
-If you like a game over wait til kickoff rarely does one return it for a td so the total will begin to drift down

-if you like a underdog wait for a drive or two see who scores of favorite scores you should get more points
If underdog scores you’ll get less but you also know their are “game”

And best yet adjust at halftime

There has been many occasions in bowls this season where using live line you could have played both sides
Don’t hesitate to abandon a side that looks like the total crap(la tech)
Watch early focus on gameplay players etc like trash men said about latech qb was right on the money

Start small unit wise and increase during the game

I do think as we get to teams with Bette records and better talent things will begin to go a little more accordingly

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 7:27 am
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 38327
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Couldn't agree more I said a month ago live lines, have worked better this year then ever before, and middles have always been a key for me and will continue to be, live lines became an Xtra tool to use, but only because of this fucked uped year with covid, eg today's game houston had 8 games cancelled postponed re/scheduled, call it what you want, public betting hasn't changed, favorites and overs, covid changed every sports, lack of execution, stupid play calling, INT'S redzone scoring, fumbles missed fg's, missed foul shots, bad pitching, yes to all the above, the tables have turned in favor of the average Joe, who bets favorites, overs, pretty colored uniforms, and names of teams, it will be short lived for them right side plays are right side plays, blow outs are blow outs, those 2 things never change

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 7:51 am
(@freezerqueen)
Posts: 450
Reputable Member
 

Thanks guys for the info you just gave.

And I also would like to wish everyone very Merry Christmas and a even better new year.

I'm so thankful that I found this site with such great information. I appreciate the effort everyone puts to give out the best information possible.

Bless you all and thanks again

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 11:15 am
(@dawgwalker71)
Posts: 325
Reputable Member
 

Merry Christmas to everyone! Hope everyone enjoys time with family and friends!

Dog and the over for me today!

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 12:26 pm
(@the-trashman)
Posts: 461
Honorable Member
 

Merry Christmas Eve everyone! I hope everyone has a safe, happy and prosperous Christmas!

The favorites are 5-0 in bowl games this year. Will today be 6-0? My hometown UH Cougars in a battle of the U of H's tonight with Hawaii. Houston is missing its top 2 defenders and its top WR. I'd take Hawaii but im gonna wait and see what happens early and look at the live bet line. Ive been doing way better with live bets. Yesterday Illinois was down early to Penn St and I got Illinois +4.5, they won by almost 20 so it didnt matter, but still, the line value on live bets can be immense.

Anyways, I lift my cold mug of brew in a toast to all of you, my degenerate online gambling brethren. Here's to you, may your holidays be blessed!

Sincerely,

The Trashman

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 1:37 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 38327
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Mid play houston buy

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 2:17 pm
(@armyranger)
Posts: 401
Honorable Member
 

I'm goin Hawaii + 7- .. Hopeing to keep it close.. Good luck!!

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 2:44 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 38327
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Favs are 4-1 tulane was a fav

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 2:49 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 38327
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Bought HOU done 4.5 and gone full out on them

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 2:52 pm
(@bearcat1)
Posts: 232
Estimable Member
 

Hey Gang! Just in case you missed it on other post last night- Just want to wish everyone a safe and Merry Christmas! Enjoy time with loved ones, family or whoever is in your circle! Catch up on Saturday. Lol. Be safe all! Thank you for everything from everyone!

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 2:58 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 38327
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Mid over play buy

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 2:59 pm
(@surfer)
Posts: 3936
Famed Member
 

In 1979 cotton bowl Houston cougars took a commanding 34-12 lead over Notre dame into the 4qu only to lose to Joe M 35-34

Will the reverse happen on this magical Christmas Eve and the ghost of Dan Devine whisper his comeback secrets in the cougars HC ear?
I’ll be right back I’m going dance around the campfire and chant while holding my elf on a shelf in hopes of a magical comeback

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 4:43 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 38327
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

They are begging u to take HAW PLUS MONEY PLUS 3.5 UP 21-0, hitting houston 2 nd half

 
Posted : December 24, 2020 4:48 pm
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