Saints vs. Falcons Free Pick & Preview
When the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons square off this Sunday at the Georgia Dome, one team will aim towards perfection while the other will aim towards survival.
The Saints defeated the Redskins 33-30 in a wild overtime victory in Week 13. They failed to cover the spread as 9-point favorites, while the combined score went over the posted total of 47 points. Drew Brees threw for 419 yards with two touchdowns and an interception in the win, while receiver Robert Meachem hauled in eight passes for 143 yards and a touchdown.
The Falcons lost to the Eagles 34-7 as a 4.5-point underdog in Week 14, while the combined score fell under to the posted total of 43.5 points. Chris Redman threw for 181 yards with two interceptions in the loss, while Jason Snelling was held to 35 yards on just 10 carries.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made the Saints 10.5-point favorites over the Falcons in Week 14. The over/under total for this game has been set at 50.5 points.
The Saints are 13-5-1 against the spread in their last 19 games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on the road. New Orleans is also 4-2 against the number in its last six games when playing on the road against Atlanta, while the Falcons are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
The read on this game is pretty simple: If Matt Ryan and Michael Turner don’t play for the Falcons, they have zero chance of beating the high-powered Saints.
It appears that Ryan, Turner and possibly two starting offensive linemen will be out for Atlanta on Sunday. Making matters worse, the Falcons have one of the worst pass defenses in the league and will no doubt get shredded by Brees and the Saints.
Lay the points in this one, especially if Redman starts again for the Falcons. Our free pick prediction for this game is the Saints –10.5 and the under 50.5. New Orleans will score plenty of points, but Atlanta won’t contribute enough for this game to go over.
Our NFL Week 14 Free Pick for this matchup is: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS –10.5 and UNDER 50.5.
Saints vs. Falcons Current Odds
115 New Orleans Saints –10.5 Over 50.5
116 Atlanta Falcons +10.5 Under 50.5
NFL Week 14 Trends
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
NFL Week 14 Injuries
NEW ORLEANS
- 09/29/2009 - Jammal Brown IR ( Hip )
[TE] 09/05/2009 - Billy Miller IR ( Achilles )
[CB] 08/16/2009 - Reggie Jones IR ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 08/16/2009 - Mark Simoneau IR ( Tricep )
[FS] 09/05/2009 - Chip Vaughn IR ( Knee )
[FB] 09/05/2009 - Olaniyi Sobomehin IR ( Undisclosed )
[FB] 10/29/2009 - Heath Evans IR ( Leg )
[WR] 10/16/2009 - Rod Harper IR ( Knee )
[WR] 12/06/2009 - Lance Moore "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Ankle )
[DT] 11/08/2009 - Kendrick Clancy IR ( Knee )
[CB] 12/10/2009 - Jabari Greer expected to miss at least 4 weeks ( Groin )
[CB] 11/17/2009 - Tracy Porter expected to miss 4-6 weeks. ( Knee )
[CB] 11/28/2009 - Leigh Torrence IR ( Shoulder )
[CB] 12/06/2009 - Randall Gay "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Hamstring )
[LB] 12/10/2009 - Marvin Mitchell expected to miss Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Hamstring )
[LB] 12/10/2009 - Scott Fujita expected to miss Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Knee )
[CB] 12/06/2009 - Mike McKenzie injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 12/09/2009 - Jo-Lonn Dunbar IR ( Hamstring )
[RB] 12/11/2009 - Mike Bell "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Knee )
[TE] 12/11/2009 - Jeremy Shockey "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Hamstring )
[G] 12/11/2009 - Jahri Evans "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Toe )
[C] 12/11/2009 - Jonathan Goodwin "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Ankle )
[TE] 12/11/2009 - Darnell Dinkins "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Foot )
(S) 12/11/2009 - Usama Young "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Hip )
[DT] 12/11/2009 - Sedrick Ellis "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Knee )
ATLANTA
(S) 10/27/2009 - William Moore IR ( Hamstring )
[WR] 08/05/2009 - Harry Douglas IR ( Leg )
[DT] 09/27/2009 - Peria Jerry IR ( Knee )
[CB] 11/04/2009 - Brian Williams IR ( ACL )
(S) 11/05/2009 - Jamaal Fudge IR ( Knee )
[LS] 11/05/2009 - Mike Schneck IR ( Ribs )
[RB] 12/11/2009 - Michael Turner is downgraded to expected to miss Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Ankle )
[QB] 12/06/2009 - Matt Ryan doubtful Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Toe )
[OG] 12/06/2009 - Harvey Dahl "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Ankle )
[WR] 12/06/2009 - Michael Jenkins "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Ankle )
[OT] 12/06/2009 - Sam Baker "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Elbow )
[TE] 12/10/2009 - Justin Peelle injured last game, expected to miss Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Concussion )
[LB] 12/08/2009 - Tony Gilbert IR ( Hamstring )
[C] 12/07/2009 - Todd McClure injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Knee )
[CB] 12/12/2009 - Christopher Owens is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Shoulder )
[CB] 12/10/2009 - Chris Houston is downgraded to expected to miss Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Hamstring )
[T] 12/11/2009 - Will Svitek "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Ankle )
[WR] 12/11/2009 - Roddy White "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Knee )