Colts Home Favorites Over Broncos in Week 14
The top matchup in the AFC this week pits two postseason contenders as the Indianapolis Colts host the Denver Broncos at 1:00PM ET in Week 14.
The Broncos crushed the Chiefs 44-13 as a 6-point favorite in Week 13, while the combined score went over the posted total of 39 points. Quarterback Kyle Orton threw for 180 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Denver, while rookie running back Knowshon Moreno rushed for a modest 86 yards and two touchdowns on 21 carries.
The Colts soundly beat the Titans 27-17 as a 6-point favorite to remain undefeated on the season. The combined score fell under the posted total of 47 points as Joseph Addai rushed for 79 yards on 21 carries with two touchdowns for the Colts. Peyton Manning added 270 passing yards and a touchdown in the win.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sports Interaction have made the Colts 7-point favorites over the Broncos in Week 14. The over/under total for this game has been set at 44 points.
Our free pick prediction for this matchup is the Colts –7. Indy is 8-3 against the spread in its last 11 games and while the Broncos have been just as good (they are 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games), the Colts are 4-1 against the number in their last five games when playing Denver.
The past two weeks looked like good opportunities to bet against the Colts, with the Texans and Titans each getting points against Indy. But Manning and company covered in each of those games, including coming from behind against Houston in the second half.
Both of these teams are hot coming into this game, but the Colts have been tough to beat at home. Plus, Indy’s defense is best suited to play on its turf surface and will likely slow down Orton, Moreno and receiver Brandon Marshall over the course of the game. We like the Colts in this matchup and also favor the over, which has covered in five of Denver’s last five games when playing Indianapolis.
Our NFL Week 14 Free Pick for this matchup is: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS –7 and OVER 44.
Broncos at Colts Current Odds
105 Denver Broncos +7 Over 44
106 Indianapolis Colts –7 Under 44
NFL Week 14 Betting Trends
Denver is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
NFL Week 14 Injury Report
DENVER
[LB] 08/05/2009 - Nick Greisen IR ( Knee )
[DT] 08/23/2009 - J'vonne Parker IR ( Knee )
[WR] 12/06/2009 - Brandon Lloyd "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis ( Foot )
[OT] 12/09/2009 - Ryan Harris IR ( Toe )
INDIANAPOLIS
[WR] 11/06/2009 - Anthony Gonzalez out indefinitely ( Knee )
[PK] 12/06/2009 - Adam Vinatieri "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Knee )
[CB] 11/05/2009 - Marlin Jackson IR ( Knee )
[LB] 11/04/2009 - Tyjuan Hagler IR ( Bicep )
[SS] 11/08/2009 - Bob Sanders IR ( Elbow )
[DL] 12/06/2009 - Keyunta Dawson "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Knee )
(S) 12/06/2009 - Aaron Francisco "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Ankle )
[OT] 11/22/2009 - Dan Federkeil IR ( Concussion )
[OT] 12/06/2009 - Charlie Johnson "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Foot )
[DE] 12/08/2009 - Robert Mathis "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Quad )
[RB] 12/09/2009 - Donald Brown missed last game, doubtful Sunday vs. Denver ( Chest )
[QB] 12/09/2009 - Jim Sorgi IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 12/10/2009 - Clint Session "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Calf )
[T] 12/10/2009 - Tony Ugoh "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Hip )