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2009 NFL Free Pick: Dolphins vs. Jaguars Betting Preview & Odds

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Dolphins vs. Jaguars Betting Preview & Odds

Two AFC teams will playoff aspirations will square off in Week 14 when the Jacksonville Jaguars host the Miami Dolphins at 1:00PM ET on Sunday.

Bet NFL Week 14

The Dolphins defeated the Patriots 22-21 a 5-point under dog in Week 13, while the combined score fell under the posted total of 46.5 points. Chad Henne threw for 295 yards with two touchdowns and an interception in the win, while receiver Davone Bess caught nine passes for 103 yards with a touchdown.

The Jaguars beat the Texans 23-18 as a 1.5-point favorite in Week 13, while the combined score went under the posted total of 47.5 points. David Garrard threw for 238 yards with a pair of touchdowns in the win, while Maurice Jones-Drew rushed for 76 yards on 24 carries.

Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Jaguars 3-point favorites over the Dolphins in Week 14. The over/under total for this game has been set at 43.5 points.

The Dolphins are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games and 9-4 against the number in their last 13 games on the road. Jacksonville is just 2-6 against the spread in its last eight games and 3-11 against the number in its last 14 games at home.

Even though the trends would disagree, our free pick prediction for this game is the Jaguars –3. They’ve been a completely different team at home this year than on the road and have a playoff berth in sites. Miami has the same goal, but is just 2-4 on the road this season and just 2-4 straight up in its last six games away from home.

We think the Jaguars’ decent run defense will bottle up Miami’s rushing attack and force Henne to beat them through the air. We like Jacksonville in this contest and think they’ll surprise the public with a strong effort. Also, take the over in this contest, which has hit in five of Jacksonville’s last seven games at home.

Our NFL Week 14 Free Pick for this matchup is: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS -3 and OVER 43.5.

Dolphins vs. Jaguars Current Odds

119 Miami Dolphins +3 Over 43.5
120 Jacksonville Jaguars –3 Under 43.5

NFL Week 14 Trends

Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

NFL Week 14 Injuries

MIAMI

[QB] 09/28/2009 - Chad Pennington IR ( Shoulder )

[CB] 10/27/2009 - Will Allen IR ( Knee )

[RB] 10/20/2009 - Patrick Cobbs IR ( Knee )

[RB] 11/19/2009 - Ronnie Brown IR ( Foot )

[DT] 11/23/2009 - Jason Ferguson out for season ( Quad )

[DE] 12/06/2009 - Lionel Dotson "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Ankle )

[C] 12/06/2009 - Jake Grove "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Ankle )

[LB] 12/09/2009 - Jason Taylor "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Shoulder )

[CB] 12/10/2009 - Nathan Jones "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Hamstring )

[LB] 12/09/2009 - Joey Porter "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Knee )

JACKSONVILLE

[DL] 09/15/2009 - Rob Meier out for season ( Shoulder )

[DE] 09/18/2009 - Reggie Hayward IR ( Leg )

[CB] 09/01/2009 - Don Carey IR ( Shoulder )

[LB] 08/31/2009 - Jeremy Mincey IR ( Hand )

[WR] 09/21/2009 - Troy Williamson IR ( Shoulder )

[CB] 11/08/2009 - Scott Starks IR ( Hamstring )

[WR] 11/16/2009 - Jarett Dillard IR ( Ankle )

[CB] 12/06/2009 - Rashean Mathis "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Groin )

[LB] 11/26/2009 - Bryan Smith IR ( Shoulder )

(S) 12/06/2009 - Sean Considine "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Concussion )

[DE] 12/06/2009 - Julius Williams "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )

[DT] 12/09/2009 - John Henderson "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Shoulder )

[G] 12/09/2009 - Kynan Forney "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Back )

[CB] 12/09/2009 - Brian Witherspoon probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Ankle )

Bet NFL Week 14

http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-top-stories-100/2009-nfl-free-pick-dolphins-vs.-jaguars-betting-preview-odds.html

 
Posted : December 13, 2009 8:47 am
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