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2009 NFL Free Pick: Patriots Home Favorites Over Panthers in Week 14

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Patriots Home Favorites Over Panthers in Week 14

The New England Patriots look to get back on the winning track when they host the Carolina Panthers at 1:00PM ET on Sunday in Week 14.

Bet NFL Week 14

The Panthers beat the Bucs 16-6 as a 3.5-point favorite in Week 13, while the combined score fell under the posted total of 40 points. Jonathan Stewart rushed for 124 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries for Carolina, while quarterback Matt Moore threw for 161 yards with an interception subbing for the injured Jake Delhomme.

The Patriots lost to the Dolphins 22-21 as a 5-point favorite in Week 13, while the combined score fell under the posted total of 46.5 points. Tom Brady threw for 352 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions in the loss, while receiver Wes Welker hauled in 10 passes for 167 yards.

Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made the Patriots 14-point favorites over the Panthers in Week 14. The over/under total for this game has been set at 44 points.

Carolina is 4-2 against the spread in its last six games, but New England is 4-1 against the number in its last five games at home. The over has hit in six of the Patriots’ last nine games at home.

The Patriots have lost to in a row, but those losses came on the road, a place where they have struggled all season. Don’t bet against New England off back to back losses while its at home. We expect Brady to throw for over 300 yards again and the defense to play all four quarters, unlike it failed to do last week against Miami.

Our free pick prediction for this game is the Patriots –14 and the over 44. We happen to think New England might cover the total on its own.

Our NFL Week 14 Free Pick for this matchup is: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -14 and OVER 44.

Panthers vs. Patriots Current Odds

121 Carolina Panthers +14 Over 44
122 New England Patriots –14 Under 44

NFL Week 14 Trends

Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

NFL Week 14 Injuries

CAROLINA

[DT] 08/14/2009 - Ma'ake Kemoeatu IR ( Achilles )

[QB] 09/14/2009 - Josh McCown IR ( Knee )

[OG] 08/31/2009 - CJ Davis IR ( Ankle )

(S) 09/01/2009 - Nate Salley IR ( Knee )

[DL] 09/21/2009 - Louis Leonard IR ( Ankle )

[LB] 11/09/2009 - Thomas Davis IR ( Knee )

[OT] 11/17/2009 - Jordan Gross IR ( Leg )

[DE] 12/06/2009 - Charles Johnson "?" Sunday vs. New England ( Pectoral )

[DT] 12/06/2009 - Tank Tyler IR ( Knee )

[QB] 12/06/2009 - Jake Delhomme doubtful Sunday vs. New England ( Finger )

[LB] 11/24/2009 - Landon Johnson IR ( Knee )

[RB] 12/09/2009 - DeAngelo Williams is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. New England ( Ankle )

[WR] 12/06/2009 - Dwayne Jarrett "?" Sunday vs. New England ( Ankle )

[CB] 12/11/2009 - Captain Munnerlyn is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. New England ( Concussion )

[LB] 12/06/2009 - Na'il Diggs injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. New England ( Ribs )

[OT] 12/08/2009 - Corvey Irvin IR ( Knee )

[DE] 12/11/2009 - Tyler Brayton is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. New England ( Concussion )

[QB] 12/10/2009 - Matt Moore is expected to start Sunday vs. New England ( None )

NEW ENGLAND

[LB] 08/26/2009 - Tyrone McKenzie IR ( Knee )

    09/05/2009 - George Bussey IR ( Knee )

    [RB] 12/06/2009 - Fred Taylor "?" Sunday vs. Carolina ( Ankle )

    [DE] 11/03/2009 - Jarvis Green is upgraded to "?" Sunday vs. Carolina ( Knee )

    [WR] 11/18/2009 - Brandon Tate IR ( Knee )

    [DB] 12/06/2009 - Shawn Springs "?" Sunday vs. Carolina ( Knee )

    [WR] 12/06/2009 - Julian Edelman "?" Sunday vs. Carolina ( Forearm )

    [OT] 12/12/2009 - Sebastian Vollmer is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Concussion )

    [OG] 12/06/2009 - Stephen Neal "?" Sunday vs. Carolina ( Ankle )

    [SS] 12/09/2009 - Bret Lockett IR ( Groin )

    [DE] 12/10/2009 - Myron Pryor is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. Carolina ( Chest )

    [DE] 12/10/2009 - Ty Warren "?" Sunday vs. Carolina ( Ankle )

    [QB] 12/10/2009 - Tom Brady probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Finger )

    [OT] 12/11/2009 - Nick Kaczur "?" Sunday vs. Carolina ( Ankle )

    [LB] 12/11/2009 - Tully Banta-Cain "?" Sunday vs. Carolina ( Shoulder )

    [WR] 12/11/2009 - Sam Aiken "?" Sunday vs. Carolina ( Shoulder )

    [TE] 12/11/2009 - Benjamin Watson probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Knee )

    [LB] 12/11/2009 - Rob Ninkovich probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Knee )

    Bet NFL Week 14

    http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-top-stories-100/2009-nfl-free-pick-patriots-home-favorites-over-panthers-in-week-14.html

     
Posted : December 13, 2009 8:45 am
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