2010 Outback Bowl Northwestern vs. Auburn Start Time, TV Guide & Odds
Tampa, FL – Northwestern is making its first trip to a January bowl game since 1997 because of the way it finished the regular season, but success in the postseason has eluded the Wildcats for decades.
Auburn didn't get as many big wins down the stretch in 2009, but the Tigers haven't had much trouble closing strong in bowl season.
The Tigers look to shake off a tough finish to SEC play with their sixth bowl win in eight seasons while the Wildcats try to snap a six-game bowl losing streak with their first postseason win since 1949 in the Outback Bowl on New Year's Day.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made Auburn -7.5 point spread favorites (View College Football odds) for the Friday, Jan. 1 game (Game Matchup). Current public betting information shows that 53% of bets for this game have been placed on Northwestern +7.5 (View College Football bet percentages).
Northwestern (8-4) stumbled early in 2009, suffering back-to-back losses to Syracuse and Minnesota teams that combined for 10 regular-season wins. But the Wildcats won six of eight following a 2-2 start, and they capped the regular season with three straight wins, including victories over then-No. 8 Iowa and then-No. 17 Wisconsin.
"We're definitely playing our best football of the year right now and with the layover we're going to have to make sure we keep our edge," coach Pat Fitzgerald said.
The Wildcats hope to deliver another victory as they try again to end a 60-year streak without a bowl win. They beat California in the 1949 Rose Bowl in their first postseason appearance, but they've dropped each of their six bowl trips since then - all since the 1995 campaign.
Last season's 30-23 overtime loss to then-No. 25 Missouri in the Alamo Bowl was Northwestern's first bowl game under Fitzgerald, who has coached the Wildcats to their first consecutive eight-win seasons since he anchored their defense at linebacker from 1993-96. Fitzgerald lost two bowl games while playing at Northwestern.
"As long as we put forth the effort and play as a team we are going to be successful," said senior safety Brendan Smith, who will become the first player in Northwestern history to play in three bowl games.
"(A bowl win) would make my five years at Northwestern a huge success. I'd be very proud to be a captain who led this team to something this program hasn't done in a long time."
Auburn (7-5) hasn't had the same struggles in the postseason. It's won five of six bowl games since the 2002 season, with the lone loss coming against Wisconsin in the 2006 Capital One Bowl.
The Tigers didn't make a bowl game last season after dropping six of their last seven to finish 5-7, and they didn't completely resolve their struggles down the stretch this season under first-year coach Gene Chizik, losing five of seven after a 5-0 start.
However, three of those defeats came by seven points or fewer, including a 26-21 loss to then-No. 2 Alabama in Auburn's SEC finale Nov. 27. The Tigers didn't trail in that game until the Crimson Tide's touchdown with 1:24 remaining kept them undefeated.
Despite the disheartening finish to that game and the regular season, Chizik is thrilled to be playing on New Year's Day in his first year with Auburn. Chizik failed to reach a bowl in his two seasons at Iowa State before coming to the Tigers.
"What does everybody want? Everybody wants a New Year's Day bowl," said Chizik, a native of nearby Clearwater, Fla. "It's just phenomenal for our fans. This is a reward for our fans, who we think are the best in the country, and for our players. I think it's huge for the program in terms of where this thing is going down the road."
Chizik, though, won't be able to rely on seniors Chris Todd and Ben Tate beyond this game. Todd ranks fourth in the SEC with 21 touchdown passes and has thrown only six interceptions, while Tate was fourth in the conference with 1,254 rushing yards. Together, they've led an Auburn team that's third in the SEC with 432.3 scrimmage yards and 32.9 points per game.
This will also be the college finale for defensive end Antonio Coleman. A two-time All-SEC first team selection, Coleman leads the conference with 15.5 tackles for loss and 9.0 sacks. He's third in career sacks at Auburn with 23.5.
That doesn't bode well for Northwestern's Mike Kafka, who was sacked 23 times - tied for second-most in the Big Ten.
Despite the pressure in the backfield, the senior is third in the conference with 2,898 passing yards. He's thrown 12 touchdown passes and added seven rushing TDs en route to a place on the All-Big Ten second team.
Kafka will try to take advantage of an Auburn team that - despite Coleman's strong individual efforts - gives up an SEC-worst 26.9 points per game.
This will be the first meeting between the Tigers and the Wildcats. Auburn is 6-3 in bowl games against Big Ten opponents, while Northwestern lost its only previous bowl meeting with an SEC team, 48-28 against Tennessee in the 1997 Citrus Bowl. The Wildcats are 2-5-1 all-time against teams currently in the SEC.
Northwestern's lack of success against the SEC and its bleak bowl history have only contributed to the Wildcats' impression that they have some unfinished business heading into their finale.
"It's hard to talk about the season when it's not over yet," defensive end Corey Wootton told the team's official Web site. "We have one more opportunity. But I think the biggest thing is we want to be remembered as the first team to win a bowl game since 1949. We're focused on that goal"
2010 Outback Bowl
Teams: Northwestern vs. Auburn
Kickoff: Jan. 1, 2010 at 11AM ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
TV: ESPN
Odds:
Northwestern +7.5 Over 54.5 (+220)
Auburn -7.5 Under 54.5 (-300)
2010 Outback Bowl Northwestern vs. Auburn Picks & Predictions
The Big Ten and SEC meet twice on Friday with the first meeting coming in the 2010 Outback Bowl which features Northwestern and Auburn playing from Raymond James Stadium at 11AM ET.
Northwestern is 8-4 this season and 5-6 against the spread. The Wildcats have won and covered in their last three games.
Auburn is 7-5 this season and 6-5 against the spread. The Tigers won their first five games under new coach Gene Chizik, but have lost five of their last seven to end the season.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made Auburn 8-point favorites over Northwestern on Friday afternoon. The over/under total for this game has been established at 54.5.
Northwestern is scoring 25.2 points per-game, but doesn’t have much of a rushing attack. Mike Kafka has thrown for 2,898 yards and 12 touchdowns and is the second-leading rusher on the team with 265 yards, only 30 yards behind Arby Fields. Auburn is giving up 26.9 points per-game, but has only allowed 353.5 yards of offense per-game.
Auburn is scoring 32.9 points per-game thanks to a strong running game, led by Ben Tate, who has rushed for 1,254 yards and eight touchdowns on the season. Chris Todd has added 2,377 yards passing with 21 touchdowns and six interceptions. The Wildcats are giving up 22.4 points and 310.4 yards per-game defensively.
This game should have plenty of offense as both defenses have struggled on the year. The over seems like a good bet out of the gate. In terms of the two teams, both should score, but ultimately Auburn seems to have better talent and more ways to score than Northwestern. The Tigers have faced better overall competition, and the Wildcats shouldn’t put up too much of a fight. We suggest a pick of Auburn minus the points.
Our Outback Bowl Free Pick for this matchup is: AUBURN -8 and OVER 54.5
College Football Bowl Season Betting Trends
NORTHWESTERN is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Northwestern is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Auburn is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Bowl Season College Football Injury Report
NORTHWESTERN
[RB] 09/04/2009 - Alex Daniel out for season ( Ankle )
[OG] 12/06/2009 - Desmond Taylor is "?" vs Auburn in the Outback Bowl ( Shoulder )
[S) 12/06/2009 - Brendan Smith is "?" vs Auburn in the Outback Bowl ( Thumb )
AUBURN
[SS] 08/20/2009 - Mike McNeil out indefinitely ( Leg )
[S) 09/05/2009 - Aairon Savage out for season ( ACL )
[DB] 12/06/2009 - Drew Cole is "?" vs Northwestern in the Outback Bowl ( Foot )
[LB] 10/10/2009 - Spencer Pybus likely out for season ( Concussion )
[LB] 10/10/2009 - Harris Gatson might be out for season ( Undisclosed )
[SS] 11/02/2009 - Zac Etheridge expected to miss rest of sason ( Neck )
[WR] 11/03/2009 - Montez Billings out for season ( Personal )
[LB] 12/17/2009 - Eltoro Freeman is upgraded to probable vs Northwestern in the Outback Bowl ( Concussion )
[RB] 12/21/2009 - John Douglas expected to miss vs. Northwestern in the Outback Bowl ( Suspension )
Outback Bowl Odds
Northwestern Wildcats +8 Over 54.5 (+360)
Auburn Tigers -8 Under 54.5 (-340)