2012 NFL on FOX Week 16 Free Pick: Saints +1 vs. Cowboys
By Drew Sharper
ARLINGTON, TX (The Spread) – The Cowboys need a strong performance to keep their playoff hopes alive on Sunday when they host the Saints. Can Dallas keep on rolling?
NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Dallas is the slight favorite at home, as the Cowboys have odds of -1 point against the Saints. The over/under total has been set at 51 points. New Orleans is 6-8 on the season, 2-5 on the road and 7-7 against the spread. Dallas is 8-6 overall, 4-3 at home and 6-8 against the spread.
Line Movement: Opening odds had the Cowboys favored by 3 points. The spread quickly dropped and has held steady at its low of Dallas -1. The over/under total opened at 51 points. It climbed to 51.5 during the week before falling back to its opening total of 51 points.
Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 51% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Saints with odds of +1 point against the Cowboys. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Week 16 Free Pick: Take the Saints. According to latest NFL trends, the underdog has covered the spread in the last 7 meetings between these teams and the Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Cowboys. The road team has won the last four games between these two teams, with the Saints getting three of those victories. Despite New Orleans having nothing to play for, Drew Brees is a competitor and he will come out firing. The Cowboys have been known for letting games slip away at the end of the season and the pressure is suddenly on them as they are now in a three-way tie for the NFC East lead. This game should be close, but I could see the Cowboys making a crucial mistake late to let the Saints sneak out a victory.
2012 NFL WEEK 16 FREE PICK: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +1