2014 NFL Week 5 Bucs vs. Saints Picks & Predictions
By Anthony Rome
NEW ORLEANS, LA (The Spread) – The Saints are 1-3 but can they get the ship righted today when they host the Bucs at 1:00PM ET?
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Saints are 10.5-point home favorites over the visiting Buccaneers, while the over/under total for today’s game is currently sitting at 48 points.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Saints opened as 10.5-point favorites and that's where the line sits at most Vegas sports books with well over 60% of the betting public is currently siding with New Orleans. As for the total, it opened at 49 and has been bet down to 48.5.
SEASON RECORDS: The Buccaneers are 1-3 on the year and just 1-3 against the spread but their only win and cover came last week in an upset over the Steelers last week in Pittsburgh. The Saints are also 1-3 straight up and 1-3 at the betting window with their lone win and cover coming two weeks ago in their only home game (vs. Minnesota). The over is 3-1 in New Orleans’ first four games and 2-2 in Tampa’s first four contests.
NFL FREE PICK: Take New Orleans. According to latest NFL trends, the home team is 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings between these two teams and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Bucs, meanwhile, are 0-7 against the number in their last seven games versus NFC opponents, 0-4 ATS in their last four games inside the division and 1-4 ATS in their last five road games despite the victory last week at Pittsburgh. The Saints are 36-16 against the spread in their last 52 home games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
2014 NFL WEEK 5 FREE PICK: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5