ABC College Football Week 1 Pick: Mississippi State vs. Oklahoma State
By Drew Sharper
HOUSTON, TX (The Spread) – No. 13 Oklahoma State collides with SEC foe Mississippi State on ABC, Saturday at 3:30PM ET from Reliant Stadium.
Mississippi State went 8-5 in the 2012 season and was 6-7 against the spread. Oklahoma State was 8-5 last year and 7-5 against the spread after winning at least 11 games the previous two seasons. These two haven’t met since 1999, with Mississippi State winning 29-11.
Odds: The oddsmakers from Bovada.lv have Oklahoma State as the favorite in this game, as the Cowboys have odds of -12.5 points against the Bulldogs. The over/under odds for the game have been set at 60 points
Line Movement: The opening odds for this game had Oklahoma State favored by 11 points. The spread hit a low of 8 points in some sportsbooks before climbing up to 12.5. The over/under total opened at 59.5 points and simply bumped up to 60 leading up to the game.
Public Betting: Of the wagers that have been placed on this game, 78% are going on Oklahoma State with odds of -12.5 points against Mississippi State. Be sure to click on the public betting link to get the latest odds and betting percentages.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICK: Take Mississippi State. According to latest college football trends, the Bulldogs are 1-4 against the spread in their last five neutral site games, 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and 0-6 ATS in their last six games in August. But punt the trends in this one – Mississippi State should cover. The Bulldogs have won 13 straight non-conference games under head coach Dan Mullen, who needs just one more victory to become the first head coach in school history to reach 30 wins in his first five seasons. Mississippi State’s defense created a lot of turnovers last season and with Mike Gundy’s insistence on utilizing two quarterbacks to run his offense, takeaways could be huge in this game. Look for the Dogs to keep the game close.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 1 FREE PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE +11