Alabama at Kentucky Betting Preview: Odds, Trends & Injuries
No. 3 Alabama has played well at home and on a neutral field, now the Crimson Tide gets its first taste of playing on the road when they face Kentucky on Saturday at 12:21PM ET from Commonwealth Stadium.
A 4-0 start has the Tide feeling good, especially as Alabama has won by at least 10 points in each victory. The Alabama defense leads the SEC, allowing just 202 yards of offense per-game while holding opponents to 189 yards rushing total in four games. That defensive play has allowed Alabama to have the ball a lot, and the Tide have averaged 40.5 points and 490 yards per-game this season. Mark Ingram has rushed for 347 yards and four touchdowns while Trent Richardson has 280 yards and four scores for Alabama. Quarterback Greg McElroy has played solid as well, throwing for 938 yards and seven touchdowns over the four wins.
Kentucky hasn’t beaten Alabama since 1997, but did give the Tide all they could handle last year in a 17-14 defeat at home. This year, the Wildcats are 2-0 out of conference, but lost 41-7 last week to Florida. Kentucky is among the worst in the conference in points and yards per-game on offense as quarterback Mike Hartline has thrown for just 485 yards with four touchdowns and three interceptions for Kentucky. The Wildcats haven’t been able to establish a running game, with Derrick Locke leading the rushing attack with 169 yards in the three games. Defensively, Kentucky is among the bottom three in points and yards allowed per-game.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made Alabama 15-point home favorites over Kentucky on Saturday afternoon. The over/under total for this game has been established at 46.5.
College Football Week 5 Betting Trends
ALABAMA is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ALABAMA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
ALABAMA: 18-36 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
KENTUCKY: 3-0 ATS off loss by 17+ points
Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Alabama is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Kentucky is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
All games in this series since 1992
KENTUCKY is 3-2 against the spread versus ALABAMA since 1992
ALABAMA is 4-1 straight up against KENTUCKY since 1992
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
All games played at KENTUCKY since 1992
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA since 1992
KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against ALABAMA since 1992
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Week 5 College Football Injury Report
ALABAMA
[LB] 09/28/2009 - Jerrell Harris is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Kentucky ( Eligibility )
[DE] 09/14/2009 - Damion Square out for season ( ACL )
[LB] 09/28/2009 - Dont'a Hightower out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 09/29/2009 - Jeramie Griffin out for season ( Knee )
KENTUCKY
[LB] 09/30/2009 - Ridge Wilson probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Suspension Served )
[WR] 09/30/2009 - Kyrus Lanxter is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Hamstring )
[WR] 08/24/2009 - EJ Fields out indefinitely ( Foot )
[C] 09/06/2009 - Marcus Davis out for season ( Leg )
[C] 09/30/2009 - Jorge Gonzalez is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Knee )
[RB] 09/30/2009 - Moncell Allen is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Alabama ( Quad )
[CB] 09/30/2009 - Randall Burden is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Neck )
[DE] 09/30/2009 - DeQuin Evans is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Hip )
(S) 09/30/2009 - Matt Lentz is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Concussion )
- 09/30/2009 - Christian Johnson doubtful Saturday vs. Alabama ( Ribs )
[LB] 09/30/2009 - Micah Johnson "?" Saturday vs. Alabama ( Toe )
[CB] 09/30/2009 - Paul Warford doubtful Saturday vs. Alabama ( Quad )
[LB] 10/01/2009 - Sam Maxwell "?" Saturday vs. Alabama ( Toe )
Alabama at Kentucky Current Odds
Alabama Crimson Tide -15 Over 46.5 (-1200)
Kentucky Wildcats +15 Under 46.5 (+710)