Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Week 10 Picks & Predictions
By Anthony Rome
STARKVILLE, MS (The Spread) - After receiving a slight scare last week versus Kentucky, will No. 1 Mississippi State get a test tonight when it hosts an improved Arkansas team at 7:15PM ET?
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Mississippi State is a 10.5-point home favorite over visiting Arkansas while the over/under total is currently sitting at 61 points.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Bulldogs opened as 14-point favorites but the line for this matchup has dropped to 10.5 at most online and Vegas sports books, although some books list the line at 11. The total, meanwhile, opened at 63 and has dropped to 61.
SEASON RECORDS: The Razorbacks enter play with a 4-4 record and are an impressive 6-2 at the betting window, while the over is 6-2 in their eight games this season. The Bulldogs are a perfect 7-0 straight up and a profitable 5-2 against the spread, while the over is 4-3 in their seven games in 2014.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take Mississippi State. According to latest college football trends, the Razorbacks are just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven road games versus the Bulldogs while the favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between these two teams and the home squad is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Mississippi State is also 6-1 against the number in its last seven home games, 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games overall and 7-1 ATS in its last eight conference games.
2014 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 10 FREE PICK: MISSISSPPI STATE BULLDOGS -10.5