CFL Betting Recap - Week 9
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 9
Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 9
Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 9
Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 9
The 'Over' went 3-1 in Week 9
Team Betting Notes
Calgary (6-1-1) rolled past the BC Lions (5-3) by a 37-9 count, cashing easily as a slight road underdog while creating separation in the West Division. It was the third straight cover for the Stampeders, as they improved to 6-1 ATS over the past seven outings. The 'under' has cashed in three in a row for the Stamps after a 3-0-1 'over' run in their previous four games. Calgary has also covered four in a row on the road.
The loss for the Lions snapped a four-game cover streak, and was just their second non-cover in eight tries overall this season. The 'under' also ended a four-game 'over' run for BC.
Edmonton (4-4) doubled up Toronto (4-4) by a 46-23 count, as the Argonauts slipped to 1-4 SU/ATS in five games at home this season. The 'under' is 3-0 on the road for Toronto, and the 'over' is 4-1 in five home games for the Argos. The Esks have covered three in a row after an 0-4-1 ATS start.
Hamilton (4-4) evened up their record in a rout of Saskatchewan (1-7), 53-7. The Roughriders are terrible, failing to cover in four straight games while averaging just 8.8 points per game. The 'over/under' is 4-4 for the Roughriders despite the fact they have allowed 29 or more points in seven of their eight games.
The Tiger-Cats snapped a two-game mini skid in style, and the win was their first in three tries at home. They're also 1-2 ATS in three games at their home stadium this season.
After a red-hot start to the season, Ottawa (4-3-1) continues to slide. The RedBlacks were embarrassed at home by Montreal (3-5) by 24 points, their fourth consecutive non-cover.
BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 3) at OTTAWA (4 - 3 - 1) - 8/25/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 90-61 ATS (+22.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games in August games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 2-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG (4 - 4) at MONTREAL (3 - 5) - 8/26/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 2-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 7) at EDMONTON (4 - 4) - 8/26/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in August games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 6-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON (4 - 4) at CALGARY (6 - 1 - 1) - 8/28/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in August games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-2 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
British Columbia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing British Columbia
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
Winnipeg is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Winnipeg is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
SASKATCHEWAN vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
HAMILTON vs. CALGARY
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
British Columbia at Ottawa
British Columbia: 25-12 ATS after a 2 game home stand
Ottawa: 25-31 ATS after playing a game at home
Winnipeg at Montreal
Winnipeg: 12-9 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less
Montreal: 1-4 ATS after a win by 20 or more points
Saskatchewan at Edmonton
Saskatchewan: 4-12 ATS revenging a road loss versus opponent
Edmonton: 20-12 ATS as a favorite
Hamilton at Calgary
Hamilton: 67-43 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3
Calgary: 14-29 ATS in home games off 2 or more consecutive unders
StatFox Super Situations
BRITISH COLUMBIA at OTTAWA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 56 with a good rushing D - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game 35-10 since 1997. ( 77.8% | 24.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (CALGARY) after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 8.6 or more yards/play in their previous game
31-5 since 1997. ( 86.1% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (HAMILTON) after gaining 500 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 120 or more total yards in their previous game 33-8 since 1997. ( 80.5% | 24.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
CFL Week 10
BC Lions (5-3) @ Ottawa (4-3-1) – Lions got waxed 37-9 by Calgary at home LW; they’re 3-1 vs spread this year in game following a loss. BC is 3-1 SU on road, with only loss in OT at Calgary. Four of their last five games went over the total. RedBlacks lost three of last four games; four of their last six games were decided by 3 or less points. Ottawa is 1-3 at home; this is their 4th straight home game. RedBlacks swept Lions LY, winning both games as underdogs, after losing twice to Lions year before; under is 3-0-1 in series games.
Winnipeg (4-4) @ Montreal (3-5) – Blue Bombers scored 33.7 ppg in winning their last three games after a 1-4 start; they’re 3-1 on road, with only loss 36-22 at Calgary. Montreal lost by 15-20 points in game following a win this year; they’re 1-3 at home, with only win over lowly Saskatchewan. Under is 4-1-1 in last six Winnipeg games. Alouettes (+2.5) won season opener 22-14 in Winnipeg, just their 3rd win in last ten series games. Bombers are 3-2 in last five visits here. Three of last four series games stayed under total.
Saskatchewan (1-7) @ Edmonton (4-4) – Roughriders lost last 4 games by combined 148-35 margin (avg score of 37-9); they lost 51-3 LW in Hamilton, lost 39-36 in OT on this field in Week 2, Riders’ 7th loss in last eight series games. Riders lost last 4 visits here, by 24-8-25-3 points (under 5-2 in last 7). Edmonton won last two games by 11-23 points, scoring 34.5 ppg; they’re 2-3 at home, 1-4 as home favorites- three of their last four games stayed under. Road team covered seven of eight Edmonton games this season.
Hamilton (4-4) @ Calgary (6-1) – Stampeders won last nine series games, last three by 4 or less points; TiCats lost last 11 visits here, losing last four by combined total of 10 points (4-0 vs spread). Last seven series games stayed under the total. Hamilton allowed 41 ppg in losing last two road games, by 7-26 points- they’re 2-1 as road underdogs this year. Calgary won its last five games (4-1 vs spread), allowing total of 34 points in last three; they’re 2-1 as home favorites. Three of last four TiCat games went over the total.
Underdogs 21-12, home teams 10-25-1 vs spread, Over: 15-19-2
Armadillosports.com
CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
Week 9 Betting Recap
Quickly recapping a wild few days of action in Week 9 of the CFL regular season, Montreal was able to tighten things up in the East Division race with last Friday’s 43-19 pasting of Ottawa as a heavy 10-point road underdog.
Later that night, Calgary cemented its place as the frontrunner in the West Division with a 37-9 romp over British Columbia as a 2½-point underdog on the road.
Edmonton made a statement that it is ready for another possible Grey Cup title run with its 46-23 victory against Toronto on Saturday as a slight two-point road favorite.
Closing out things out for the week was Hamilton’s 53-7 rout of Saskatchewan as a 10-point favorite at home.
Here is a look at Week 10’s CFL slate.
Thursday, Aug. 25
British Columbia Lions (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (4-3-1 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3½
Total: 56½
Game Overview
BC’s loss last week has it a game and a half off the pace in the West Division title race through its first eight contests. Jonathon Jennings had been one of the hottest quarterback in the league the past few weeks, but he was actually pulled from the game against Calgary in the fourth quarter after going just 10-for-22 for 153 yards. In his place, Travis Lulay put the ball up seven times and completed four passes for 19 yards.
The RedBlacks still have a half game lead in the East Division over Hamilton and Toronto, but they are just 1-3 straight-up and 0-4 against the spread in their last four games. Their starting quarterback earlier in the season was Trevor Harris as a replacement for an injured Henry Burris until he hurt his knee. Harris has been upgraded to probable for Thursday night and he has already been named the starter for this game.
Betting Trends
Ottawa won both meetings last season SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in each of those two games.
The series is now evenly split 2-2 SU over the past two years.
Friday, Aug. 26
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (4-4 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -2½
Total: 48
Game Overview
Winnipeg probably did not want to take last week off with a bye after winning its previous three games SU closing as an underdog. One of the big reasons for this team’s sudden turnaround has been the elevated play of quarterback Matt Nichols, who was given the starting job in place of an ineffective Drew Willy. Nichols has completed 70.4 percent of his 108 passing attempts for 887 yards and six touchdowns against just one interception during this three-game tear.
The Alouettes could be the toughest team to figure out this season. One week they are getting beat by double-digit spreads behind an offense that could not manage to score more than 12 points and the next week they are rolling up 43 points on the top team in their division. Kevin Glenn ended last week’s game against Ottawa with 382 yards passing and five touchdown throws while completing 25-of-30 attempts.
Betting Trends
Montreal drew first blood in this season’s series with a 22-14 victory on the road in Week 1 as a 2½-point underdog, but the Blue Bombers have covered ATS in four of their last five road games against the Alouettes.
The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last four meetings overall.
Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS) vs Edmonton Eskimos (4-4 SU, 3-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -14
Total: 56½
Game Overview
The Roughriders are officially the worst team in the CFL this season after finishing last in the standings in 2015. They have the lowest scoring offense in the league with an average of 18.2 points a game and their defense has now allowed 286 points through eight games which is easily the highest amount in the CFL by 64 points. The prospect for any kind of turnaround does not look all that good with a 0-4 record (SU and ATS) in their last four games by an average margin of 23.5 points a game.
Edmonton got a pair of much needed wins in its last two games following a rare SU three-game slide. Last week’s road win against Toronto was the first time the Eskimos put up more than 40 points this season and it was also one of the few times they got some solid production from both their running game and their passing game. Mike Reilly ended the day with 362 yards passing and three touchdown throws while John White and Calvin McCarty combined for 101 yards and a score on the ground.
Betting Trends
Head-to-head in the West Division tilt, Edmonton has won the last four meetings SU but it failed to cover in a 39-36 overtime victory against the Roughriders on July 8 as a 9½-point home favorite.
The total has now gone OVER in the past two meetings.
Sunday, Aug. 28
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) vs. Calgary Roughriders (6-1-1 SU, 6-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -5½
Total: 53½
Game Overview
The Tiger-Cats clawed their way back to .500 on the year behind quarterback Zach Collaros, who missed the first six games of the season recovering from a knee injury. He made the most of his home debut this season with 381 yards passing and five touchdown throws in the romp over Saskatchewan. He completed passes to eight different players, but his favorite receiver was Terrence Toliver with five catches for 139 yards and a score.
Calgary proved it is the team to beat in the CFL closing in the first half of the season. It is the highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 31 points a game and defensively it is allowing an average of 20.1 points, which is also the best in the league. Bo Levi Mitchell continues to light things up at quarterback with the second-most passing yards (2,534) in the CFL and a tie for the most passing touchdowns (14).
Betting Trends
Calgary has won the last nine meetings SU, but the Tiger-Cats have the slight 5-4 edge ATS.
The total has stayed UNDER in the last seven games of this interdivision clash.