CFL Betting Recap - Week 10
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 4-0 straight up in Week 10
Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 10
Home posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 10
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 10
The 'under' went 3-1 in Week 10
Team Betting Notes
For the second consecutive week, the 'under' went 3-1. Over the past three weeks the 'under' is 10-3.
Hamilton (2-6) snapped a three-game losing streak with a narrow 13-12 home win against Toronto (3-7). Somehow, some way, the TiCats find themselves in a tie for first place in the East. However, they're 0-4 ATS over their past four games.
Montreal (2-7) snapped a six-game losing streak with by doubling up Ottawa (1-8), 20-10. The Alouettes are 2-1 ATS over the past three games. Better yet, for bettors, the 'under' is 3-0 over the past three, 5-1 over the past six, and 7-2 overall this season.
Edmonton (7-2) didn't get the memo that their Week 10 game against provincial rival Calgary (8-1) was supposed to be a good game. The Esks were smoked by the Stamps, 28-13. Edmonton will get their chance at revenge Saturday at home in the second end of the home-and-home.
So far this season, the Stamps are 2-0 SU/ATS against the Esks. Saturday's game will be the third and final meeting of the regular season.
Winnipeg (6-4) slipped further off the pace out west, losing it fourth in five games. However, the Blue Bombers have covered back-to-back games. They'll look for better results at home in the second end of the home-and-home Sunday.
The Blue Bombers are 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS this season against Saskatchewan (7-2), who has now won six straight games.
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 11
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
The Labor Day Weekend featured four division matchups in the CFL starting last Friday with Montreal doubling-up Ottawa 20-10 as a 4½-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER the 45½-point closing line. Sunday’s action featured Game 1 of a home-and-home series between Winnipeg and Saskatchewan with the Roughriders carving-out the early edge in a thrilling 35-30 shootout as 7½-point home favorite. The total went OVER the 48 ½-point line.
Monday’s holiday double-header started off with Hamilton squeezing past Toronto 13-12 as three-point home favorite with the total staying well UNDER the 52-point line. Calgary got the early edge in its home-and-home series against Edmonton with a 28-13 victory as a 4½-point favorite at home. The total stayed UNDER the 49½-point closing line.
Friday, Sept. 5
British Columbia (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) at Ottawa (1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -8½
Total: 48½
Game Overview
British Columbia went into last week’s bye with a 3-1 record both SU and ATS in its last four games. Kevin Glenn has taken the bulk of the snaps at quarterback this season and he is actually ranked fourth in the CFL in total passing yards, but look for the possible return of Travis Lulay, who has finally been cleared to play.
The expectation level for expansion teams is usually set pretty low and Ottawa has followed suit with just one SU win in its first nine games in the league. The RedBacks’ offense is ranked dead-last in the CFL in scoring with an average of 15.1 points per game, while their defense is allowing 27.9 points to their opponents.
Betting Trends
The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a losing record and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their first nine games this year. The RedBlacks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record.
Saturday, Sept. 6
Calgary (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) at Edmonton (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS)
Point-spread: PICK
Total: 50½
Game Overview
Calgary’s win last week has it leading the way in the West. It has the best SU record in the CFL and it is has covered in its last four games. The fact that the Stampeders’ defense leads the CFL in points allowed (14.9) has gone a long way at keeping the total UNDER in seven of their first nine games this season.
Edmonton quarterback Matt Nichols got the start in Game 1 of this series for Mike Reilly and completed 18-of-30 attempts for 203 yards, but the Eskimos still had a hard time finding the end zone. What has really led Edmonton to its impressive first half record is a defense that is holding teams to just 18.9 PPG.
Betting Trends
Calgary has now won both meetings this season SU to extend its winning streak in this series to five games. The Stampeders are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings which includes a perfect 5-0 mark ATS when playing in Edmonton. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings at Commonwealth Stadium.
Sunday, Sept. 7
Hamilton (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS) at Montreal (2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Point-spread: PICK
Total: 45½
Game Overview
Hamilton closed the gap for the lead in the East to just one game with last week’s SU win, but it comes into this matchup with a 0-4 mark ATS in its last four games after starting the season 3-1 ATS. Quarterback Zach Collaros returned to the starting lineup against Toronto and threw for 317 yards while completing 71 percent of his 38 attempts.
The Alouettes scored 20 points or more for just the fourth time in their first nine games. Jonathan Crompton was behind center in that game and he completed 15-of-25 attempts for 245 yards. Brandon Whitaker rushed for 100 yards and Duron Carter caught five passes for 127 yards in the winning cause.
Betting Trends
This will be the first meeting this season, but the home team in this matchup has won the last seven meetings SU with Montreal covering the spread in the last four. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings in Montreal.
Saskatchewan (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS) at Winnipeg (6-4 SU, 7-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3
Total: 51
Game Overview
The Roughriders victory this past Sunday was their sixth straight since a 1-2 SU start and they have now scored 35 point or more in three of those games. Darian Durant is still having consistency issues throwing the ball with a completion rate of 53.8 percent in last week’s win, but did a great job of spreading the ball around with sixth different players posting at least one catch.
Winnipeg faces its first must-win test of the season to keep pace in the West Division title race. The Blue Bombers have now lost three of their last four games SU with a 2-2 record ATS. Defense has been a bit suspect lately after allowing an average of 32 points in those three setbacks.
Betting Trends
Saskatchewan has won both meetings this season SU and it is now 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings. It is 5-3 ATS over the same stretch of games and while the total went OVER last week, it has actually stayed UNDER in three of the previous four meetings.
CFL Week 11 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett
Oddsshark.com
Week 11 of the CFL betting slate kicks off on Friday night this week with the expansion RedBlacks getting a visit from the Lions, and continues on through one game on Saturday night in Edmonton and a doubleheader on Sunday afternoon in Montreal and Winnipeg.
Find all of this week's CFL betting lines plus updated Grey Cup futures at Bovada.
Fri Sep 05 - B.C. at Ottawa
Last 10 Meetings: Ottawa 0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS | OU 0-0
The Lions are over .500 on the season but sit in last place in the CFL's West Division at 5-4 both SU and ATS as they come off their bye week to take on the RedBlacks in Ottawa on Friday night. The RedBlacks, in last place in the CFL's East Division, fell to 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS on the season last time out with a 20-10 loss on the road in Montreal against the Alouettes. Ottawa has lost six games in a row.
Sat Sep 06 - Calgary at Edmonton
Last 10 Meetings: Edmonton 1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS | OU 5-5
The Stampeders and the Eskimos will meet for the third time this season on Saturday night, with Edmonton looking to bounce back from their 28-13 SU and ATS loss to Calgary on Monday afternoon. In the first meeting of the season between the Alberta rivals the Stampeders grabbed a 26-22 road win over the Eskimos as 2-point favorites on the CFL odds at the sportsbooks. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four games between the two teams.
Sun Sep 07 - Hamilton at Montreal
Last 10 Meetings: Montreal 4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 4-6
The Alouettes and Tiger-Cats have played to three straight UNDER results for totals bettors on the CFL odds as they meet for the first time this season on Sunday afternoon. Hamilton faced Montreal four times last season, winning three of those contests SU but just one of them ATS. The Tiger-Cats and Alouettes are both trying to catch the Argonauts for first place in the CFL's East Division.
Sun Sep 07 - Saskatchewan at Winnipeg
Last 10 Meetings: Winnipeg 2-8 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 5-5
The Roughriders and Blue Bombers will meet for the second time in a week on Sunday afternoon as they hit the gridiron in Winnipeg. Saskatchewan topped Winnipeg 35-30 as a 7.5-point home favorite on the CFL betting lines in their Week 10 matchup, with the Roughriders also topping the Blue Bombers by a score of 23-17 as a 3-point road favorite in their first meeting of the season back on August 7.
BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 4) at OTTAWA (1 - 8) - 9/5/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CALGARY (8 - 1) at EDMONTON (7 - 2) - 9/6/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 7-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 9-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HAMILTON (2 - 6) at MONTREAL (2 - 7) - 9/7/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 2) at WINNIPEG (6 - 4) - 9/7/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEPTEMBER 5, 7:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of British Columbia's last 9 games
British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
SEPTEMBER 6, 7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home
SEPTEMBER 7, 1:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
SEPTEMBER 7, 4:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
StatFox Super Situations
HAMILTON at MONTREAL
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, when playing on a Sunday 26-5 since 1997. ( 83.9% | 20.5 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )
BRITISH COLUMBIA at OTTAWA
Play On - Any team vs the money line (OTTAWA) after 6 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 19-8 since 1997. ( 70.4% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
SASKATCHEWAN at WINNIPEG
Play On - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (WINNIPEG) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins 38-11 since 1997. ( 77.6% | 25.9 units )
CFL Week 11
BCLions (5-4) @ Ottawa (1-8) -- Expansion RedBlacks lost last six games (1-5 vs spread) since a 18-17 upset of Toronto in Week 4; Ottawa scored only 8.5 ppg in last three games, despite being plus in turnovers all three games- they were outscored 42-7 in second half of those three games. BC is 3-4 as a favorite this year, 1-1 on road; they're 3-1 SU on road, winning by 13-1-7 points. Lions scored 26+ points in their wins, 20 or less in their losses. Ottawa allowed 30+ points in four of last six games. Last three Ottawa games, five of last seven Lion games stayed under total.
Hamilton (2-6) @ Montreal (2-7) —TiCats have only two wins this season, both by one point; they’re 0-4 on road, with three losses by 7 or less points. Revolving door at QB had Collaros playing for Hamilton last week, but they’ve still thrown ball for 298+ yards in each of last three games. Alouettes snapped six-game skid last week, beating expansion Ottawa; they’ve allowed total of 8 first half points in last three games. Hamilton won six of last eight series games, beating Montreal in OT in LY’s playoffs, but home teams won last six series games, with Hamilton losing by 2-31 points in last two visits here—they lost 36-5 here LY. Five of eight TiCat games, seven of nine Montreal games as well as last three series games stayed under the total.
Saskatchewan (7-2) @ Winnipeg (6-4) —Defending champ Roughriders beat Winnipeg 35-30 last week, after beating them 23-17 (-3) here three weeks earlier; Riders ran ball for 186-160 yards in two wins, were +7 (8-1) in turnovers in the two games. Saskatchewan is now +14 in turnovers in its last six games; they’ve now won seven of last nine games vs Bombers, with four of last five played here staying under total. Bombers lost three of last four games after a 5-1 start; they’re 5-2 vs spread as an underdog. Winnipeg is 6-1 when it scores more than 21 points, 0-3 when it scores 21 or less; they’re 3-2 SU at home, losing by 6 to Riders, 26-3 to Edmonton. Bombers were outscored 41-22 in first half of last three games, but scored 23 points in second half in each of last two games. Riders held five of last six opponents to 17 or less points. Five of last seven Roughrider games stayed under the total.
Calgary (8-1) @ Edmonton (7-2) — Eskimos are 7-0 against everyone but Calgary; they’re 3-1 at home, with three of four home games staying under total, but Stampeders (-4.5) beat their province rival 28-13 last week, running ball for 205 yards while outgaining Edmonton by 158 yards, after beating them 26-22 here six weeks ago. Calgary has now won last nine series games (7-2 vs spread), winning last four here by 2-3-10-4 points. Stamps won/covered their last four games, with all four wins by 10+ points;; they’re 4-0 SU on road, with 26-22 (-1.5) win here in Week 5 the only road win by less than 10 points. Calgary led by 11 at half in its only loss this season, at Hamilton; they’ve won last two games, despite forcing only one turnover (-2). Last four series games stayed under total, as have six of nine Stampeder games, seven of nine Edmonton tilts.
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