CFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Week 11 from various handicappers and websites
CFL Betting Recap - Week 10
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 10
Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 10
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 10
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 10
The 'over' went 2-1-1 in Week 9
Analysis
Favorites went 3-1 both straight up and against the spread in Week 10 and the 'chalk' is now 7-1 both SU and ATS over the last two weeks. In the three non-divisional games, the West posted a 2-1 record over the East.
The scoreboard operator was working hard this week as the 'over' went 2-1-1 in Week 10 with five of eight teams scoring 30-plus points, and Saskatchewan lit it up with 54 points.
Team Betting Notes
Calgary (7-1-1) took over first place of the West Division on Saturday as it stifled Toronto 23-7 as a 10-point home favorite, improving to 4-0 at home this season. The Stampeders have won and covered five straight games and four of those decisions came by double digits. They've only allowed 169 points this season and that's the best scoring defense in the league.
Winnipeg (7-2) extended its winning streak to five games in Week 10 with a 34-31 road win over Montreal. The team is 4-1 ATS during this span and 7-2 overall versus the number, which is the best mark in the CFL. Including last week's win, the Blue Bombers are 3-1 this season with games decided by three points or less. The 'over' is 7-1.
After winning its first seven games of the season, Edmonton (7-2) suffered its second straight setback in Week 10 and the defense has contributed to the defeats. The unit was helpless in a 54-31 loss at Saskatchewan on Friday and helped the 'over' stay hot with a 5-1 run in the last six contests. This was the first home loss of the season for Edmonton.
British Columbia (5-5) is another team struggling in the West Divison, losers in three straight and four of their last five games. On Saturday, the club dropped a 31-24 road decision at Ottawa. The offense has been held to 49 points over the last three losses after averaging 31.4 points per game in their first seven games. The 'under' is on a 3-0-1 streak.
The week off helped Saskatchewan (4-4), who put up a season-high 54 points in its victory over Edmonton. The Roughriders cashed as road underdogs (+5.5) over the Lions and that victory was the first away win of the season for them. The club is 5-3 ATS overall.
Ottawa (3-6-1) showed some first for the second straight week as it defeated BC 31-24 as a short home favorite (-1). Despite putting up more than 30 points for the second straight week, total bettors saw the outcome push once again as it landed on the closing number of 55.
Defense continues to be a major issue for Montreal (3-6) lately and it showed on Thursday as the Alouettes lost a 34-31 home decision to Winnipeg. The team has allowed over 30 points in three of its last four games, which has led to a 1-3 record. Despite the loss, they only trail Toronto by one game in the East Division.
The Argonauts (4-6) haven't won back-to-back games all season and that trend continued on Saturday as the team was trounced 23-7 at Calgary. The Argos have gone 1-4 on the road this season and the 'under' is 3-2 in those games.
Hamilton (0-8 ) didn't win or lose in Week 10 as the club was on bye. The T-Cats will be returning on Sept. 4 versus Toronto.
OTTAWA (3 - 6 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 6) - 8/31/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WINNIPEG (7 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 4) - 9/3/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 131-95 ATS (+26.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 119-90 ATS (+20.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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EDMONTON (7 - 2) at CALGARY (7 - 1 - 1) - 9/4/2017, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (4 - 6) at HAMILTON (0 - 8 ) - 9/4/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games ,
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing Winnipeg
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
OTTAWA @ MONTREAL
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Ottawa
WINNIPEG @ SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
EDMONTON @ CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
TORONTO @ HAMILTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
CFL Betting Notes - Week 11
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
The first half of the 2017 CFL regular season came to a close with Winnipeg extending its current straight-up winning streak to five games with last Thursday’s 34-31 overtime victory against Montreal in a game that closed as a PICK. In one of the wildest games of the year, Saskatchewan ran past Edmonton 54-31 on Friday night as a 5½-point road underdog to hand the Eskimos their second straight loss after a perfect 7-0 start.
Saturday’s doubleheader of action started with Ottawa beating British Columbia 31-24 in another contest that ended as a PICK. Calgary moved to the top of the West Division with a 23-7 victory against Toronto as a 10-point home favorite to close out play in Week 10.
Thursday, Aug. 31
Ottawa RedBlacks (3-6-1 SU, 7-3 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -1
Total: 51
Game Overview
The RedBlacks continue to rebound from a dismal start with back-to-back victories against Hamilton on the road and British Columbia at home both straight-up and against the spread. The total has ended as a PUSH in both of those victories. In last week’s win against the Lions, Trevor Harris put the ball up 45 times and he completed 30 passes for 326 yards and one score, while also getting picked off twice. He is first in the CFL in passing yards with 3,188 and first in passing touchdowns with 19.
Montreal slipped further back in the East Division race with four losses in its last five games SU with last week’s setback against Winnipeg. Nik Lewis set the CFL record for career receptions in that game by catching 10 balls for 88 yards, but the Alouettes could not come up with the plays when they needed to the most. Quarterback Darian Durant ended that game with 316 yards passing while tossing three touchdowns and two interceptions. He was also Montreal’s second-leading rusher with 32 yards on three carries.
Betting Trends
Ottawa has a 7-1 edge ATS in the last eight meetings overall following a 24-19 victory against Montreal on July 19 as a four-point home favorite. The total has stayed UNDER the closing line in three of the last four meetings in this East Division clash.
Sunday, Sept. 3
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7-2 SU, 7-2 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -2½
Total: 61
Game Overview
The Blue Bombers continue to tear things up on offense with 33 points or more scored in each of their last seven games. Their current SU winning streak stands at five games with last week’s win and they have covered the spread in each of their last four games. The total has gone OVER in seven of Winnipeg’s first nine games. Matt Nichols completed 68.4 percent of his 38 passes against Montreal last week for 227 yards and three touchdowns against one pick. He is now second in the CFL in passing touchdowns with 17.
Saskatchewan is coming off one of the most shocking victories of the year after going up and down the field against Edmonton in a game where the Roughriders posted three scores on two interceptions and one blocked punt. Kevin Glenn threw for 240 yards and two scores and Saskatchewan only gained 89 yards on the ground to make the most of the production it did generate in that game.
Betting Trends
Winnipeg has won five of the last six meetings SU including a wild 43-40 overtime victory on July 1 as a slight 1½-point road underdog. The series is tied 3-3 ATS in those six meetings and the total has gone OVER in six of the last eight games between these two West Division foes.
Monday, Sept. 4
Edmonton Eskimos (7-2 SU, 3-6 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (7-1-1 SU, 5-3-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -11
Total: 54½
Game Overview
Edmonton needs to quickly prove that its SU seven-game winning streak to start the season was not a fluke. They got wide receiver Brandon Zylstra back from injury in last week’s game and he came down with five catches for 65 yards, but quarterback Mike Reilly struggled for the second-straight game after completing just 15 of his 26 throws for 160 yards. More concerning is the play of the Eskimos’ defense over the past two games.
The Stampeders were the best team in the CFL last season until a tough loss in the Grey Cup title game and they are headed in that same direction this year with a SU five-game winning streak (4-0-1 ATS) that has them back in first place in the West Division standings. Calgary is getting it done on both sides of the ball behind an offense that is averaging 33.1 points a game and a defense that is ranked first in points allowed (18.8 ).
Betting Trends
The home team in this West Division showdown has won five of the last seven meetings both SU and ATS. The total has gone OVER in the last three games between the two. This will be the first meeting this season.
Toronto Argonauts (4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -5
Total: 53
Game Overview
Toronto is still in first place in the East despite losing four of its last five games SU. It has only covered ATS once in its last seven games and the total has stayed UNDER four of its last six games behind an offense that averaged 22 points over that same span. The Argonauts only managed to gain 238 yards of total offense against Calgary including 18 yards on the ground behind nine rushing attempts.
The Tiger-Cats return to action following last week’s bye with a legitimate shot at finally ending their SU eight-game losing streak to start the year. With Zach Collaros taking the majority of the snaps at quarterback, Hamilton’s offense has only been able to score an average of 18.5 points per game. Compounding this team’s issues during this extended slide is a defense that is ranked last in the CFL in points allowed; giving up an average of 38.8 a game.
Betting Trends
Toronto drew first blood in the season series with a 32-15 victory on June 25 as a 3½-point home underdog. The home team is now 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in three of the last five meetings.
Week 11 CFL Pick & Prediction: Toronto at Hamilton
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com
We improved to 17-11-1 in the CFL when Ottawa and Montreal stayed under the total in the first game of the week and now we’ll jump to the final game of the week, as the Toronto Argonauts travel to Hamilton to face the Tiger-Cats. Toronto is favored by 4.5 and the total is 53.
The Argonauts are 4-6 but right in the hunt for a division title, thanks to playing in the East Division, where Ottawa is in first place with a 4-6-1 record. All five teams in the West have a better record than Ottawa. The Argonauts are averaging 18.8 points and allowing 28 on the road, where they have gone 1-4 straight-up and against the spread. The Argonauts are 4-1 straight-up against the division and have gone under the total in all five division games so far this season.
Neither team has done much against the spread this season, with Toronto going 3-7 ATS and Hamilton sporting a 2-6 ATS mark.
The Tiger-Cats are coming off a bye week and will look quite a bit differently than they did last time they took the field, as June Jones makes his CFL head coaching debut after Vice President of Football Operations Kent Austin stepped down and Jones, who was assistant head coach, was promoted.
The Tiger-Cats have also made a quarterback change, as former Oregon Duck Jeremiah Masoli gets the nod in place of Zach Collaros. Masoli replaced Collaros in the third quarter of the team’s last game against Ottawa.
The Tiger-Cats have dropped eight straight home games dating back to last season and they’re 0-4 straight-up and 1-3 ATS at home this season, scoring 21 points per game, but allowing 37, while going 3-1 in totals.
The Argonauts cruised to a 32-15 victory the first meeting between the two this season, throwing for 485 yards, while breaking open a close game at the half with a 17-3 second-half scoring advantage.
While Hamilton is still looking for its first win of the season, the Tiger-Cats probably aren’t quite as bad as their record suggests, as they’ve only played two games against the East Division and the other six have come against the much-tougher West, so the Tiger-Cats get a nod in strength of schedule.
My numbers actually have the Tiger-Cats winning the game, so will have to take the points with the home underdog in this Labor Day affair.