CFL Betting Recap - Week 11
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 3-1 straight up in Week 11
Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 11
Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 11
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 11
The 'over' went 3-1 in Week 11
Team Betting Notes
The 'over' finally dominated for the first time in four weeks. The 'under' was 10-3 in the past three weeks entering Week 11.
Calgary (9-1) continues to crush the competition, including their provincial rivals from Edmonton (7-3). The Stampeders won 31-24 on the road against the Eskimos. Calgary has won five straight games and covered each contest.
Ottawa (1-9) lost for the seventh consecutive game Friday against the BC Lions (6-4), but don't blame the RedBlacks' defense. They allowed just seven points, and have given up just 17.3 ppg over the past four losses, all 'unders'.
Montreal (3-7) pulled into a tie for first place in the disappointing East Division with idle Toronto (3-7). The Alouettes have won back-to-back games for the first time this season.
The 'under' had cashed in five of the past six for Montreal, but the 'over' came through against Hamilton (2-7) Sunday.
Saskatchewan (8-2) has rattled off seven straight wins since starting the season 1-2 SU. The Roughriders swept the home-and-home with Winnipeg (6-5).
The Blue Bombers started the season 5-1, but they have dropped four of the past five to fall into last place out West.
CFL Betting Notes - Week 12
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
The cream of the crop in the CFL keeps rising to the top as the regular season rolls into Week 12.
Looking back at last weekend’s results, British Columbia got things started by grinding-out a 7-5 win over Ottawa on Friday night as an eight-point road favorite. The total obviously stayed UNDER the 47-point closing line. On Saturday, Calgary improved its position atop the West Division with a 41-34 victory against Edmonton as a three-point favorite on the road. The total in this contest easily went OVER a closing line of 48½ points.
Sunday’s double-header started with Montreal getting past Hamilton 38-31 as a slight 1 ½-point home underdog with the total going OVER the 46-point line. Saskatchewan held off Winnipeg on the road 30-24 as a 2½-point favorite in the second game. The total went OVER a closing line of 50½ points.
Friday, Sept. 12
Montreal (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS) at Edmonton (7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -9
Total: 48½
Game Overview
It has been a rough season for Montreal with injuries and turnover at the quarterback position and some pretty spotty play on defense at times, but in a very weak East Division title race, it is currently tied with Toronto for first place with two wins both straight-up and against the spread in its last two games.
The Eskimos have lost their last two games SU and ATS to fall two games off the pace in the West, but they remain one of the best balanced teams in the CFL with an offense that is averaging 26.1 points per game complementing a defense that is holding teams to 21.1 PPG. Edmonton slotback Adarius Bowman continues to lead the league in receiving yards with 866.
Betting Trends
Montreal has covered ATS in seven of the last nine meetings and the total has gone OVER in the last four meetings in Edmonton. The Eskimos won the first meeting this season 33-23 in early August as 5½-point road favorites and the total went OVER the closing 46½-point line.
Saturday, Sept. 13
Toronto (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS) at Calgary (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS)
Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF
Game Overview
Toronto comes off its bye week looking to snap a three-game skid in which it went 1-2 ATS as an underdog. The one bright spot for the Argonauts has been the play of Ricky Ray at quarterback with 2,584 passing yards and a league-high 16 touchdown throws, be he has not been able to keep pace with a defense that is allowing 26.2 PPG.
The Stampeders are charging their way towards the Grey Cup Playoffs with the best record in the league and they come into this matchup riding a five-game winning streak both SU and ATS. Quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell has been one of the biggest surprises this season with the top passer rating in the league (100.5)
Betting Trends
Toronto holds a 7-2 edge ATS in the last nine meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in the last seven meetings in Calgary. The Stampeders rolled to a 34-15 victory early in the season as 2½-point favorites on the road. The total stayed UNDER the 55-point line.
Winnipeg (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS) at British Columbia (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -7½
Total: 50½
Game Overview
The Blue Bombers had their chances in the back-end of Sunday’s home-and-home series against Saskatchewan with Drew Willy throwing for 360 yards and two touchdowns, but he was also picked-off twice. He currently leads the CFL in total passing yards (2,889), but he only has one more touchdown throw (12) than interceptions (11).
BC got Travis Lulay back in the lineup as its starting quarterback against the RedBlacks, but his return looks to be short-lived after leaving the game with another shoulder injury. Kevin Glenn did an admirable job at times in his absence, but this could be a big setback for the Lions in their stretch run to the playoffs.
Betting Trends
The Blue Bombers come into this West Division showdown with a 6-2-1 ATS record in the last nine meetings at BC Place and they have a profitable 7-3 mark ATS in the last 10 meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 11 matchups played in BC.
Sunday, Sept. 14
Saskatchewan (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) at Hamilton (2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Pick 'em
Total: Off
Game Overview
The defending 2013 Grey Cup Champs have built up a head of steam as the regular season wears on with a seven-straight wins (5-2 ATS). The bad news for this contest could be the availability of quarterback Darian Durant, who left Sunday’s game against Winnipeg with elbow injury. He has been ruled out for Sunday’s game and his status for the remainder of the year does not look good.
Hamilton is in desperate need of a win after posting just one SU victory in its last five games. The Tiger-Cats have failed to cover in all five contests. The 31 points that they did put up in last week’s loss was the most this team scored since a late July win over Ottawa. Zach Collaros threw for 338 yards and two touchdowns while completing 30-of 43 attempts against the Alouettes.
Betting Trends
These two team met on opening day with Saskatchewan cruising to a 31-10 victory as a 3½-point home favorite. It is now 6-1 both SU and ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in three of the last four games.
MONTREAL (2 - 7) at EDMONTON (7 - 3) - 9/12/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
EDMONTON is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-1 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (3 - 7) at CALGARY (9 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-2 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-2 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WINNIPEG (6 - 4) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 4) - 9/13/2014, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 2) at HAMILTON (2 - 6) - 9/14/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-74 ATS (+33.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games
Edmonton is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
TORONTO vs. CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Toronto is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Calgary's last 14 games
Calgary is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
WINNIPEG vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
SASKATCHEWAN vs. HAMILTON
Saskatchewan is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Saskatchewan's last 15 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Hamilton's last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games at home
CFL Week 12 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett
Oddsshark.com
The Calgary Stampeders own the best record in the CFL at 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS heading into Week 12, when they'll be playing host to the Toronto Argonauts. Here's a look at all four matchups on the Week 12 schedule, with action starting up on Friday in Edmonton.
Fri Sep 12 - Montreal at Edmonton
Last 10 Meetings: Edmonton 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS | OU 6-4
The OVER has paid off for totals bettors on the CFL odds at the sportsbooks in five of the last six games between the Alouettes and the Eskimos as those teams kick off Week 12 of the CFL schedule on Friday night. Montreal and Edmonton have already met once this season, with the Eskimos grabbing a 33-23 road victory as a 4.5-point favorite on the betting lines in another OVER result on the totals.
Sat Sep 13 - Toronto at Calgary
Last 10 Meetings: Calgary 3-7 SU, 3-7 ATS | OU 5-5
The Stampeders will be looking for another easy SU and ATS victory over the Argonauts on Saturday night as those teams do battle for the second time this season. Calgary rolled to a 34-15 road win over Toronto as a 2-point road favorite on the CFL odds in the first matchup between the teams this season back on July 12. That was the third UNDER result in the last five games between the two teams.
Sat Sep 13 - Winnipeg at B.C
Last 10 Meetings: B.C. 6-4 SU, 3-7 ATS | OU 3-7
There have only been three OVER results in the last 10 games between the Lions and the Blue Bombers as those teams meet for the second time in 2014 on Saturday night. The Blue Bombers won both SU and ATS against the Lions when the teams met for the first time this season back on July 25, rolling to a 23-6 road victory as an 8-point underdog on the CFL betting lines at the sportsbooks.
Sun Sep 14 - Saskatchewan at Hamilton
Last 10 Meetings: Hamilton 2-8 SU, 2-8 ATS | OU 5-5
The Tiger-Cats will be looking to snap a four-game SU and ATS losing streak against the Roughriders when those teams close out the Week 12 CFL betting slate on Sunday afternoon. Saskatchewan picked up a 31-10 home victory over Hamilton in the first meeting of the season between the two teams on June 29, easily covering the 3.5-point spread in that UNDER result for totals bettors at the sportsbooks.
StatFox Super Situations
SASKATCHEWAN at HAMILTON
Play On - Any team (HAMILTON) revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset loss as a favorite 90-43 since 1997. ( 67.7% | 42.7 units )
SASKATCHEWAN at HAMILTON
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (HAMILTON) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season 21-12 since 1997. ( 63.6% | 0.0 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )
SASKATCHEWAN at HAMILTON
Play On - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (HAMILTON) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins 39-11 since 1997. ( 78.0% | 26.9 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
CFL Week 12
Montreal (3-7) @ Edmonton (7-3) — Eskimos (-5.5) snapped 8-game series losing skid with 33-23 win at Montreal back in Week 6; they led 30-8 at half, ran ball for 197 yards. Over is 5-0-1 in last six series games. Edmonton is 0-3 vs Calgary this season, 7-0 vs everyone else, covering two of three as home favorites. Montreal won last four visits here, all by 10+ points- they're 0-4 on road this season (1-3 as road dogs) losing by 21-36-5-8 points on foreign soil. Montreal hasn't had more than 8 points at halftime in any of its last seven games. Seven of ten Alouette games stayed under the total.
Toronto (3-7) @ Calgary (9-1) — Stampeders won/covered last five games since their only loss, at home to BC; Stamps are 3-2 as home favorites this year, with three home wins by 15+ points- they beat Argonauts 34-15 (-2.5) back in Week 3, just their second win in last nine series games despite Argos’ 363 passing yards. Stamps ran ball for 182.7 ypg over last three weeks; they’ve covered five of six games vs eastern teams this year. Toronto lost three in row, six of last eight games; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs, with three road losses by 14+. Road team won four of last five series games. Six of last eight Toronto games, three of last four Calgary games stayed under total.
Winnipeg (6-5) @ BCLions (6-4) — Bombers (+8.5) upset BC in Vancouver 35-24 back in Week 5, forcing three turnovers (+2) and holding Lions scoreless in second half, ending 5-game series skid. Lions won last two games here, crushing Bombers 53-17 in LY’s visit here. Winnipeg lost four of last five games after 5-1 start, but three of four losses were to defending champ Roughriders; Bombers are 4-1 as road underdogs this year, 3-2 SU on road, with only non-cover at Toronto. BC won four of last five games, but slogged thru 7-5 win at Ottawa last week in its post-bye game. Winnipeg hasn’t had its bye yet. 14 of last 18 series games stayed under total, as have Lions’ last three games overall.
Saskatchewan (8-2) @ Hamilton (3-7) — Roughriders won last seven games (5-2 vs spread), scoring 35-30 points last two weeks; they beat Hamilton 31-10 (-3.5) in season opener, running ball for 164 yards with three takeaways (+1) for their 4th straight series win, all by 12+ points (three of four were in Regina). Riders won seven of last ten visits here. TiCats lost four of last six games, are 3-2 at home, losing to Winnipeg by 1, Calgary by 10; five of last seven Hamilton games went over total. TiCats are 0-6 this season when allowing more than 22 points; Saskatchewan scored 23+ points in five of last seven games. Riders are 3-2 vs spread against the East; Hamilton is 3-4 against the West.
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