CFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Week 12 from various handicappers and websites
CFL Betting Notes - Week 12
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
The extended Labor Day schedule in the CFL got underway last Thursday with Ottawa cruising past Montreal 32-4 on the road in a game that closed as a PICK. Sunday’s lone matchup between Winnipeg and Saskatchewan ended with the Roughriders rolling to a 38-24 victory against the Blue Bombers as two-point favorites.
Monday’s Labor Day doubleheader started with Calgary covering a 10-point spread at home with a 39-18 victory against Edmonton. Hamilton closed out Week 11 with its first straight-up victory of the season by getting past Toronto 24-22 as a three-point home underdog.
Friday, Sept. 8
Montreal Alouettes (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (5-5 SU, 4-5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -7½
Total: 49½
Game Overview
Montreal has just one SU victory in its last six games and it has failed to cover in its last three. This once stout defense that held Edmonton to 19 points and Calgary to 23 points early in the year, has now allowed at least 32 points in each of its last three games. Drew Willy replaced Darian Durant in last week’s loss and he completed eight of his 11 passing attempts for 98 yards. It remains to be seen which quarterback will get the call against BC.
The Lions return to action following last week’s bye in desperate need of a win after dropping their last three games SU with a 0-2-1 slide ATS. BC beat Montreal on the road 23-16 in early July to cover as three-point favorites with Jonathon Jennings at quarterback, but this offense has looked its best with Travis Lulay under center. The veteran signal caller has thrown for 1,693 yards and 10 touchdowns in his time on the field running the Lions’ offense.
Betting Trends
BC has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS including three games on the road. The total stayed UNDER 50 points in the first meeting this season and it has stayed UNDER in six of the last nine games in this inter-division matchup.
Saturday, Sept. 9
Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -2
Total: 60
Game Overview
The Roughriders are making a move in the West Division standings with three wins in a row (SU and ATS) and they can make up some more ground on Winnipeg in the backend of this home-and-home series. Kevin Glen put the ball up 36 times in Sunday’s win and he completed 26 passes for 386 yards and three touchdowns in one of his best performances of the year.
Winnipeg’s recent five-game SU winning streak came to an end in Sunday’s loss and it is now 4-2 ATS during this same span. The total went OVER the closing 58-point line in that loss and it has gone OVER in eight of the Blue Bombers’ first 10 games this year behind an offense that is averaging 33.2 points per game. Matt Nichols threw for 364 yards and two scores against Saskatchewan, but he was also picked off twice.
Betting Trends
Winnipeg still holds a 4-1 SU edge in the last five games of the West Division clash, but Saskatchewan has covered in three of the last four meetings. The total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (4-6-1 SU, 7-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -12
Total: 54
Game Overview
Hamilton lost to Ottawa 37-18 in Week 9 as a 3 ½-point home underdog with the total ending as a PUSH on that 55-point line. In Monday’s game against Toronto, the Tiger-Cats needed a last-minute 37 field goal to capture their first SU victory of the year. Jeremiah Masoli got the start at quarterback in place of Zach Collaros and he completed 19-of-33 attempts for 219 yards and a score. June Jones made his debut as Hamilton’s new head coach.
The RedBlacks are back on top in the East Division standings with last Thursday’s win against Montreal and they have now posted victories in their last three games both SU and ATS. The offense has averaged 33.3 PPG during this current run to complement a defense that has allowed an average of just 15.3 PPG. Trevor Harris added another 343 passing yards to his CFL-high 3,531 passing yards on the year.
Betting Trends
The road team has won the last three meetings SU, but Ottawa has a 5-1 edge ATS in the last six meetings. The total had gone OVER in the last four meetings before ending as a PUSH a few weeks ago.
Calgary Stampeders (8-1-1 SU, 6-3-1 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (7-3 SU, 3-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -6
Total: 56
Game Overview
Calgary continued to assert itself as the top team in the CFL with Monday’s victory. It was the Stampeders’ sixth SU win in a row while going a very profitable 5-0-1 ATS. The total went OVER the closing 55-point line against the Eskimos and it has gone OVER in three of their last five games. While Calgary’s offense has averaged 35.7 PPG during this winning streak, the defense has held opposing teams to fewer than 20 points in five of the six games.
The Eskimos’ current slide has reached three games both SU and ATS following an impressive SU seven-game winning streak to start the season. Edmonton has been a tough team to bet on all season long and it is 1-4 ATS in five previous home games this season. Mike Reilly completed 34 of his 53 passing attempts for 320 yards and two touchdowns in Monday’s losing cause, but he also tossed two interceptions to raise his total to nine on the year.
Betting Trends
The Stampeders have now won the last three meetings both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in the last four games between these two bitter West Division rivals.
MONTREAL (3 - 7) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 5) - 9/8/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 4) at WINNIPEG (7 - 3) - 9/9/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 131-95 ATS (+26.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON (1 - 8 ) at OTTAWA (4 - 6 - 1) - 9/9/2017, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY (8 - 1 - 1) at EDMONTON (7 - 3) - 9/9/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 127-93 ATS (+24.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL @ BRITISH COLUMBIA
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games on the road
British Columbia is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Montreal
British Columbia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal
SASKATCHEWAN @ WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
HAMILTON @ OTTAWA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
CALGARY @ EDMONTON
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Calgary is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games
MONTREAL vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing British Columbia
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
HAMILTON vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Calgary
CFL Week 12
Montreal (3-7) @ BCLions (5-5) — Both teams lost last three games; Lions (-2.5) beat Alouettes 23-16 in Montreal in Week 3, game that was 6-6 at the half. Als lost five of last six visits here. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Montreal is 0-4 on road, 2-2 as a road underdog, with losses by 4-5-1-32 points on foreign soil. Under is 7-3 in Alouette games this season. Lions are 2-2 at home, 1-2 as home favorites, with home wins by 15-3 points. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. In its last three games, Montreal scored only 6-31-4 points.
Saskatchewan (5-4) @ Winnipeg (7-3) — Roughriders ended Winnipeg’s 5-game win streak with a 38-24 home win last week. Saskatchewan won its last three games, scoring 41-54-38 points after a 2-4 start- they lost 43-40 at home to Bombers earlier this season. Riders are 1-3 on road, 2-2 as a road underdog; under is 3-1 in their road games. Winnipeg is 3-1 at home, 2-1 as a home favorite; seven of their last eight games went over. Blue Bombers have scored 33+ points in 8 of their 10 games this season. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.
Hamilton (1-8 ) @ Ottawa (4-6-1) — Short week for Tiger-Cats, who upset Toronto Monday for their first win of season. Hamilton is 0-4 on road, 1-3 as road underdogs; three of those four games went over total. Ottawa won its last three games after a 1-6-1 start; RedBlacks are 2-3-1 at home, 2-3 as home favorites. Under is 6-1-2 in their last nine games. Ti-Cats lost 37-18 at home to Ottawa three weeks ago; RedBlacks won five of last six series games- over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Hamilton split its four visits here.
Edmonton (7-3) @ Calgary (8-1-1) — Eskimos allowed 33-54-39 points in losing last three games after a 7-0 start that included five wins by 5 or less points. Edmonton is 3-2 on road, 2-2 vs spread as an underdog; over is 6-1 in their last seven games, 3-2 in their home games. Calgary is 15-3 in its last 18 series games, with last four games going over the total. Calgary won/covered its last six games; they’re 3-1-1 on road, 3-2 as road favorites. Over is 3-2 in their road games. Short week for both teams after Calgary beat Eskimos 39-18 at home on Labor Day.
Armadillosports.com