CFL Betting Recap - Week 12
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 4-0 straight up in Week 12
Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 12
Home teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 12
Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 12
The 'over/under' went 2-2 in Week 12
Team Betting Notes
Calgary (10-1) won its sixth straight contest in a 40-33 win over Toronto (3-8), but for the first time during the win streak they failed to cover.
Winnipeg (6-6) has flip-flopped its season. They started 5-1 SU, but slipped to 1-5 SU over its past six games, going 2-4 ATS during the span.
Edmonton (8-3) took out their frustrations on Montreal (3-8), covering a double-digit spread. The Esks are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS against everyone not named Calgary, and 0-3 SU/ATS against the Stamps.
The modest two-game win streak is over for the Alouettes. They're still just 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS over the past nine games, and winless in five straight against the West Division.
In one of the more surprising results of the weekend, Hamilton (3-7) squashed Saskatchewan (8-3) by a 28-3 score. The TiCats were actually favored by 1½ points, but no one expected a 25-point victory. Hamilton has won back-to-back home games, and they're 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS in five outings at Tim Hortons Field.
TORONTO (3 - 8) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 4) - 9/19/2014, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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EDMONTON (8 - 3) at HAMILTON (3 - 7) - 9/20/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CALGARY (10 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 8) - 9/21/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1996.
CALGARY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-0 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OTTAWA (1 - 9) at SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 3) - 9/21/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road lined games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-0 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Toronto is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Toronto is 16-7-1 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
British Columbia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
EDMONTON vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Hamilton's last 19 games
Hamilton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Calgary's last 18 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
OTTAWA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Saskatchewan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
CFL Betting Notes - Week 13
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
It was a good time to be a favorite in the CFL in Week 12 with a 4-0 straight-up run and a 3-1 mark against the spread. Edmonton got the ball rolling last Friday with a 33-16 romp over Montreal as a nine-point home favorite. The total went OVER the 49-point closing line.
Saturday’s double-header started with Calgary coming out on top of Toronto 40-33, but it could not cover the hefty 11½-point spread at home. The total in this game went OVER the 49½-point closing line. Later that day, British Columbia hammered Winnipeg 26-9 as a 7½-point home favorite with the total staying UNDER 48 points.
Hamilton won for only the third time this season with a 28-3 victory against Saskatchewan as a 2½-point favorite at home. The total stayed UNDER the 47-point closing line in this inter-division clash.
Friday, Sept. 19
Toronto (3-8 SU, 5-6 ATS) at British Columbia (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -7
Total: 50
Game Overview
The Argonauts opened-up a 29-10 lead on Calgary after two quarters behind another solid performance from quarterback Ricky Ray, but once again the defense broke down in the second half. Toronto is averaging 24.4 points a game but its current losing streak reach four games SU behind a defense that is allowing a league-high 27.5 points a game.
BC’s Week 12 win improved its record to 5-1 SU in the last six games and it is 4-2 ATS. Kevin Glenn was back at the helm as quarterback for the Lions with Travis Lulay back on the injured list and he completed 20-of-27 attempts for 261 yards and two scores against the Blue Bombers.
Betting Trends
The Lions are 17-2 SU in the last 19 meetings and they are 6-2 ATS in the last eight games between the two including a 33-17 road win over Toronto in mid-August as three-point favorites. The total stayed UNDER the 53-point line in that game and it has now stayed UNDER in 17 of the last 23 meetings.
Saturday, Sept. 20
Edmonton (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS) at Hamilton (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -2
Total: 53
Game Overview
The Eskimos snapped a quick two-game skid both SU and ATS with last week’s win and they remain tied with Saskatchewan for second-place in the West Division title race. Slotback Adarius Bowman added 131 yards receiving on 10 catches to his league-high 997 receiving yards on the year.
Hamilton may only have three SU wins on the year, but right now that is good enough for sole possession of first place in the East by a half-game over Montreal and Toronto. Zach Collaros continues to light it up at quarterback since missing a significant amount of time with a head injury. He had 287 yards passing and two scores in Sunday’s win.
Betting Trends
Edmonton is just 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games against the Tiger-Cats and the total has gone OVER in four of its last six road games against Hamilton. The Eskimos won the first meeting this season 28-24 but they could not cover as 4½-point home favorites. The total stayed UNDER the closing 54-point line.
Sunday, Sept. 21
Calgary (10-1 SU, 8-3 ATS) at Montreal (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -7
Total: 48½
Game Overview
Calgary continues to roll towards the Grey Cup Playoffs with a SU six-game winning streak and last Saturday was the first time it failed to cover during this impressive run. This is easily the most complete team in the CFL with 30.2 points per game on offense and a points-allowed average of 18.3 on defense.
Montreal’s offense has shown some signs of life with quarterback Jonathan Crompton at the helm, although he took a step backwards against Edmonton last Friday with 169 yards passing and a completion rate of just 55.5 percent on 27 attempts.
Betting Trends
The Stampeders have won six of the last seven meetings SU and they have covered in their last five games against Montreal including a 29-8 victory on opening day as 7½-point home favorites. The total has gone OVER in 12 of Calgary’s last 18 road games against the Alouettes.
Ottawa (1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS) at Saskatchewan (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -11
Total: 44½
Game Overview
Bruised and battered in their first 10 games in the CFL, the RedBlacks are coming off a much needed bye week. As expected, the expansion team is ranked last in the league in scoring with just 14.1 PPG and its beleaguered defense has been giving-up an average of 25.8 PPG.
Saskatchewan should be able to get back to its winning ways after last week’s loss snapped a seven-game SU winning streak. The bad news is that it will have to press on towards the playoffs without quarterback Darian Durant. He was replaced by an ineffective Tino Sunseri in the loss to the Tiger-Cats.
Betting Trends
These two inter-division foes first met in early August with the Roughriders cruising to a 38-14 victory as six-point road favorites. The total in that contest went OVER the 50½-point closing line.
CFL Week 13 Betting Preview and Trends
Oddshsark.com
The CFL's four Eastern teams all have sub-.500 records both SU and ATS on the season as they take on some of their Western counterparts in Week 13 CFL odds action. The action for the week gets underway on Friday with the Argos on the road in B.C.
Fri Sep 19 - Toronto at B.C
Last 10 Meetings: B.C. 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS | OU 3-7
The B.C. Lions have just two ATS losses in their last eight games against the Toronto Argonauts as those teams kick off the CFL betting slate for Week 13 on Friday night. B.C. and Toronto have already met once this season, with the Lions winning 33-17 and easily covering as 3-point road favorites on the CFL odds at the sportsbooks. The UNDER has paid off in five of the last seven games between the two teams.
Sat Sep 20 - Edmonton at Hamilton
Last 10 Meetings: Hamilton 3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 6-4
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats pulled out a slim cover in their first game of the season against the Edmonton Eskimos as those two teams meet again on Saturday night. Hamilton has just three SU wins in its last seven games against Edmonton, but they covered a 4.5-point spread on the road on the CFL odds in their 28-24 loss when the teams faced each other on July 4. That game turned out to be an UNDER result.
Sun Sep 21 - Calgary at Montreal
Last 10 Meetings: Montreal 3-7 SU, 2-8 ATS | OU 6-4
The Montreal Alouettes have been tagged with an ATS loss in each of their last seven games against the Calgary Stampeders with those teams set to hit the gridiron together again on Sunday afternoon. The Stampeders blew out the Alouettes in their first meeting of the season on June 28, winning 29-8 at home and easily covering the 7.5-point spread. Montreal last beat Calgary back in the 2012 season.
Sun Sep 21 - Ottawa at Saskatchewan,
Last 10 Meetings: Saskatchewan 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS | OU 1-0
The Ottawa RedBlacks were soundly beaten at home when they faced the Saskatchewan Roughriders for the first time this season as those teams meet once again on Sunday afternoon. The Roughriders rolled to a 38-14 win over the RedBlacks back on August 2, having no trouble covering the 6-point spread on the road at the sportsbooks in that contest. That game turned out to be an OVER result on the CFL totals.
CFL Week 13
Toronto (3-8) @ BCLions (7-4) —Argos imploded in Calgary last week, losing 40-33, blowing its 29-3 second quarter lead; Toronto lost its last four games, but they covered three of last four road games- they're 1-6 SU on road, with four of six losses by 7+ points. Lions (-3) beat Argos 33-17 back in Week 8, running ball for 167 yards with +3 turnover ratio. BC won its last two post-bye games, allowing total of 14 points; they're 3-3 as home favorites (3-3 SU) with home wins by 36-7-17 points. Six of last nine Toronto games, eight of last ten Lion games stayed under the total.
Edmonton (8-3) @ Hamilton (4-7) — Eskimos are 0-3 vs Calgary, 8-0 vs everyone else; they beat Hamilton 28-24 (-4.5) in Week 2, their 5th win in last seven series games; sloppy game was10-all at half. TiCats turned ball over five times, Edmonton three. Eskimos are 4-1 on road, winning SU twice as underdogs, with only road loss at McMahon Stadium. Hamilton beat Bombers/Riders last two weeks, after losing first six games vs western teams- they’re 4-2 at home, winning last three games in their new stadium, by 1-17-25 points. Underdogs covering last three. Teams split last six series games played here. Under is 3-1 in last four Eskimo games, 5-3 in last eight TiCat tilts.
Ottawa (1-9) @ Saskatchewan (8-3) — Defending champ Roughriders (-6) won 38-14 at Ottawa in Week 6, racing out to 32-7 halftime lead; Riders got upset in Hamilton last week, snapping 7-game win streak- they’re 2-3 as home favorites, with last two home wins by five points each. Saskatchewan is +19 in turnovers over last eight games; they’re 5-2 vs spread when they have 2+ takeaways in a game. Ottawa lost its last seven games (2-5 vs spread); they’ve scored total of only 22 points in last three games, are 0-5 as road underdogs, losing away games by 8-16-11-21-10 points. RedBlacks were outscored 45-9 in second half of their last four games.
Calgary (10-1) @ Montreal (3-8) — Stampeders won last six games (5-1 vs spread); they were down 29-3 in second quarter at home last week, rallied to beat Toronto 40-33. Stamps won/covered all five road games this year; they opened season with 29-8 home win (-7.5) over Montreal, outgaining Alouettes 429-187 in game that was 11-0 at half; Stamps won three in row, six of last seven series games, winning two of last three (by 5-11 points) visits here. Montreal won its last two home games, but is 1-7 vs western teams, with only win here vs BC in Week 2. Als are 3-3 SU at home, 2-1 as home underdogs. Four of five Calgary road games stayed under total.
Armadillosports.com
StatFox Super Situations
TORONTO at BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BRITISH COLUMBIA) off a home win over a division rival 48-15 since 1997. ( 76.2% | 31.5 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
EDMONTON at HAMILTON
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game 31-4 since 1997. ( 88.6% | 0.0 units )
CALGARY at MONTREAL
Play On - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (MONTREAL) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins 40-11 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 27.9 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
CALGARY at MONTREAL
Play On - Underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, when playing on a Sunday 92-44 since 1997. ( 67.6% | 43.6 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )