CFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Week 13 from various handicappers and websites
Betting Recap - Week 12
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 12
Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 12
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 12
Home team posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 12
The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 12
Analysis
In one of the most entertaining games of the season, Calgary (9-1-1) posted a comeback victory thanks to the arm of Bo Levi Mitchell, edging provincial rival Edmonton (7-4). Despite the 25-22 win, the Stampeders were unable to cover - their first non-cover since July 14 in Montreal, their only loss of the season. For the third time in four games it was an 'under' result.
The West Division continues to play well, or at least much, much better than the East Division. All teams in the West are .500 or above, even Saskatchewan (5-5). All teams in the East are at least three games under .500, and only Ottawa (4-7-1) has covered more games than they have not. Everyone in the East except for the RedBlacks has lost at least three games on the road, too.
Team Betting Notes
Hamilton (2-8 ) won for the second consecutive game, topping Ottawa. After an 0-8 SU/2-6 ATS start, the Tiger Cats have managed a 2-0 SU/ATS mark. It's mainly because their defense has improved. After allowing 31 or more points in each of their past eight, the Ti-Cats have given up 22 in each of their two wins. After a 5-1 'over' run, the 'under' is also 3-0-1 across the past four.
Despite their hot run, the Tiger Cats are still 1-8-2 ATS across their past 11 home games and 4-13-2 ATS in the past 19 overall. Things do not look to get much better this weekend with Saskatchewan visiting, as the Riders are 25-10-1 ATS across the past 36 in this series.
Ottawa remains in first-place, but just by one point. They suffered a 26-22 setback against the Ti-Cats at home, a shocking loss considering the RedBlacks were 12-point favorites. The non-cover stopped a 3-0 ATS run for Ottawa. One thing that has been consistent is the under for Ottawa, going 3-0-2 over their past five and 7-1-2 across their past 10.
Toronto (4-7) has dropped two in a row and five of their past six after a 3-2 SU start. The Argonauts just cannot seem to cover lately, going 1-7 ATS across the past eight. Bettors fading the Argos and betting the 'under' in their games have been cashing nicely. The 'under' is 4-0 over the past four, and 8-3 overall.
Montreal (3-8 ) has been in a tailspin lately, dropping four in a row and six of the past seven. Their lack of punch has been the reason for their struggles, averaging just 14.8 PPG during the four-game losing skid.
BC Lions (6-5) picked themselves off of the mat and slapped the brakes on a three-game losing streak in grand fashion. The Lions routed visiting Montreal by a 41-18 score for their first cover since Aug. 5. It was also their first 'over' result since July 28 after a 3-0-1 'under' run.
The Lions will face the Stamps in Calgary on Saturday night. The Lions are just 2-7-1 ATS in the past 10 meetings, and 1-4 ATS in their past five trips to Calgary. The 'over' has also cashed in seven of the past nine meetings in Calgary.
Winnipeg (8-3) posted their fourth consecutive victory at home with a 48-28 win over the Riders, going 3-1 ATS during the span. The 'over' has been the thing to bet with the Bombers, cashing in four straight and eight of the past nine.
SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 5) at HAMILTON (2 - 8 ) - 9/15/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON (7 - 4) at TORONTO (4 - 7) - 9/16/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 5) at CALGARY (9 - 1 - 1) - 9/16/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 127-94 ATS (+23.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-29 ATS (+23.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA (4 - 7 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 8 ) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 7-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 7-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN vs. HAMILTON
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
EDMONTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 7 of British Columbia's last 9 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing at home against British Columbia
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Montreal's last 15 games
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
SASKATCHEWAN @ HAMILTON
Saskatchewan is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Hamilton's last 22 games at home
EDMONTON @ TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing Toronto
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
BRITISH COLUMBIA @ CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 7 of British Columbia's last 9 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
OTTAWA @ MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
CFL Week 13
Saskatchewan (5-5) @ Hamilton (2-8 ) —- Ti-Cats won their last two games after an 0-8 start; new coach June Jones is known for offense, but Hamilton allowed 22-22 points in two wins, after allowing average of 40 pts/game in their losses. Under is 3-0-1 in last four Ti-Cat games. Roughriders had 3-game win streak snapped in Winnipeg last week; they’re 1-4 on road, with only win at Edmonton. Riders’ last three games went over the total. Saskatchewan won first meeting 37-20 (-1.5) back in Week 3. Hamilton is 1-3-1 this year as a home underdog.
Edmonton (7-4) @ Toronto (4-7) — Eskimos lost last four games, allowing 37.8 pts/game; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Edmonton won its last three games vs Toronto by 23-23-24 points; over is 10-2 in last 12 series games- visitor won five of last six series games. Eskimos lost two of last three visits to Toronto. Argonauts lost five of last six games; they’re 3-2 at home, with both losses to western teams. Under is 8-3 in Toronto games this season; over is 6-2 in Edmonton’s last eight games. Five of Edmonton’s seven wins are by five or less points.
Ottawa (4-7-1) @ Montreal (3-8 ) — Ottawa won six of last seven games with Montreal, beating them twice this year, 24-19 (-4.5) at home, then 32-4 (pick) here two weeks ago. RedBlacks won their last four visits to Montreal. Under is 4-1 in last five series games. Ottawa had 3-game win streak ended by Hamilton last week; they’re 2-3 SU on road, 4-1 vs spread, 2-1 as road underdogs. Under is 7-1-2 in their last ten games. Alouettes lost their last four games, allowing 36.4 pts/game; they’re 3-3 at home. Under is 7-4 in their games this season.
BC Lions (6-5) @ Calgary (9-1-1) — Stampeders won their 7th game in row last week, first one of those they didn’t cover; Stamps are 5-0 at home, 4-1 as a home favorite- they beat rival Eskimos the last two weeks. Under is 3-1 in Calgary’s last four games. Calgary is 9-1 in its last 10 games vs BC; they beat Lions 21-17 (-3.5) in Vancouver four weeks ago. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Lions lost three of last four games; they lost last three road games, by 11-33-7 points- they’re 2-1 as a road underdog. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
CFL Betting Notes - Week 13
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
Last weekend’s betting action in the CFL started with British Columbia running over Montreal 41-18 as a 9½-point road favorite on Friday night. In the first of a trio of games on Saturday, Winnipeg turned the tables on Saskatchewan in the backend of a home-and-home series with a 48-28 victory as a three-point favorite at home.
Hamilton doubled its straight-up win total on the year with a stunning 26-22 upset on the road against Ottawa as a heavy 12-point underdog. Week 12 action closed things out later on Saturday with Calgary pulling off the home-and-home sweep against Edmonton, but the Stampeders could not cover the six points on the road in a tight 25-22 victory.
Friday, Sept. 15
Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -5.5
Total: 56
Game Overview
Last week’s loss snapped a three-game winning streak both SU and against the spread and the total has now gone OVER in the Roughriders’ last three games. The big concern for Friday’s contest is the throwing hand of Kevin Glenn after leaving last week’s game with an apparent injury. This would be a tremendous loss given that Glenn is third in the CFL in passing touchdowns with 21. Brandon Bridge got the call when Glenn left the game.
The Tiger-Cats will try and string together its third win in a row this week (SU and ATS) following that SU eight-game losing streak while going 2-6 ATS. Jeremiah Masoli has been under center for the last two victories and against Ottawa he threw for 231 yards while connecting on 17 of his 31 passing attempts. The main reason for the quick turnaround is a defense that has not allowed more than 22 points in either victory.
Betting Trends
The home team is 4-0 both SU and ATS in the last four meetings with the total evenly split at 2-2. Saskatchewan won the first meeting this season 37-20 on July 8 as a one-point home underdog. The total went OVER the closing 52½-point line.
Saturday, Sept. 16
Edmonton Eskimos (7-4 SU, 4-7 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (4-7 SU, 3-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -1.5
Total: 51.5
Game Overview
Edmonton needs to stop the bleeding in this SU four-game losing streak after winning its first seven contests SU. One of the biggest reasons why the Eskimos have lost their last four is a defense that has been burnt for an average of 37.8 points per game. The last two losses were to Calgary, but this unit gave up 54 points in a loss to Saskatchewan and 33 points in a loss to Winnipeg during this current slide.
The East Division is so weak this season that Toronto remains just a half game out of the lead despite a 1-5 run both SU and ATS in its last six games. Last week’s bye was a welcome relief on the heels of a stunning 24-22 loss to Hamilton as a three-point road favorite. The Argonauts still have Ricky Ray at quarterback as the third-leading passer in the league with 3,343 yards, but their top rusher Brandon Whitaker has just 318 total yards on the ground.
Betting Trends
This will be the first meeting this season as part of a home-and-home series and Edmonton comes in with a 3-0 edge both SU and ATS in the last three games between the two. The total went OVER in all three meetings.
British Columbia Lions (6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (9-1-1 SU, 6-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9.5
Total: 53
Game Overview
It looks like Jonathon Jennings will return to the starting lineup as the Lions’ signal caller after Travis Lulay was apparently lost for the rest of the season with a knee injury in last week’s win against Montreal. Jennings completed 22-of-29 attempts for 295 yards and two touchdowns against the Alouettes. He has now thrown for 1,720 yards and six touchdowns on the year.
Calgary looks like it is just warming up for another run deep into the postseason. The Eskimos put up much more of a battle this time around after the Stampeders rolled to a 39-18 as 10-point home favorites in the first game in this home-and-home tilt. Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback and Jerome Messam anchoring the running game are the team’s two biggest stars, but Calgary’s shutdown defense is the reason for the current SU seven-game winning streak (5-1-1 ATS).
Betting Trends
Calgary got past BC 21-17 on Aug. 18 as a four-point road favorite to extend its SU winning streak over the Lions to four games. The total stayed UNDER 56 points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings.
Sunday, Sept. 17
Ottawa RedBlacks (4-7-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -2
Total: 48
Game Overview
Ottawa’s recent three-game run both SU and ATS came to a sudden end last week, but it still has the slight edge in the East to repeat as division champions. The total stayed UNDER in that loss to the Tiger-Cats and it has now stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in nine of the RedBlacks’ last 10 games. Adding injury to insult, quarterback Trevor Harris is expected to be out several weeks after badly bruising his shoulder in that loss.
With Harris out of the lineup for Ottawa, Montreal has an excellent opportunity to make up some ground in the East, but it is going to need a much better effort from its defense. The one strength of this team coming into this season was its defense, but going back to a 41-40 loss to Winnipeg on July 27, the Alouettes have allowed at least 32 points in five of their last six games.
Betting Trends
Ottawa has won seven of the last eight meetings both SU and ATS including a 32-4 victory against Montreal on Aug. 31 in a game that closed as a PICK. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.