CFL Betting News and Notes Week 14

CFL Betting Notes - Week 14
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

Week 13 was the perfect time to go against the favorites with a 4-0 record against the spread that also included some shocking straight-up upsets.

Toronto started the run of upsets on Friday with a stunning 40-23 victory over British Columbia as a six-point road underdog. The total went well OVER the 49-point closing line. Saturday’s shocker was Edmonton covering by the slightest of margins as a 2.5-point road underdog in a tight 25-23 loss to Hamilton. The total in that contest stayed UNDER the 51-point closing line.

The biggest upset of the season took place on Sunday with Montreal upending Calgary 31-15 as a seven-point home underdog. The total stayed just UNDER the 47-point line. Week 13 wrapped things up with Ottawa completing the ATS sweep with a 35-32 loss to Saskatchewan as an 11-point road underdog. The total easily went OVER the 44-point line in that one

Friday, Sept. 26

Montreal (4-8 SU, 5-7 ATS) at Ottawa (1-10 SU, 4-7 ATS)

Point-spread: Montreal -4
Total: 48½

Game Overview

It is hard to know what to think about Montreal after last week’s win other than the fact that the Alouettes may have finally found their permanent starter at quarterback after Jonathan Crompton completed 20-of-28 passes for 220 yards and two scores in the win over the Stampeders.

Ottawa has looked like an expansion team all season long, but there has to be few positive takeaways from the 32 points it scored on the road in last week’s loss. That was the most points the RedBlacks scored this year. Henry Burris completed passes to seven different players led by Marcus Henry’s eight receptions for 87 yards.

Betting Trends

Montreal beat the RedBlacks 20-10 as a five-point home favorite at the end of August with the total staying UNDER the 45½-point line. The Alouettes come into this game with a 4-2 record ATS in their last six games while Ottawa has now covered in their last two outings.

Saskatchewan (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) at Edmonton (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS)

Point-spread: Edmonton -6
Total: 49½

Game Overview

The Roughriders have to hope that back-up quarterback Tino Sunseri continues to acclimate himself into the offensive scheme after throwing for 260 yards and two scores in last week’s much needed win. He completed 62.5 percent of his 32 attempts after posting a completion percentage of just 53.8 on the year.

Edmonton started the season with seven SU wins in its first eight games, but last week’s loss to Hamilton dropped the Eskimos to just 1-3 SU in its last four games. Over this stretch, the defense has allowed an average of 27.5 points per game as opposed to a season average of just 21 PPG.

Betting Trends

This will be the first meeting this season, but Saskatchewan has failed to cover in five of the last six meetings and it is 2-6 ATS in its last eight trips to Edmonton. The total has gone OVER in the last four games played at Commonwealth Stadium.

Saturday, Sept. 27

Hamilton (4-7 SU, 4-7 ATS) at Winnipeg (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS)

Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats remain in first place in the East Division race with a half-game lead over both Montreal and Toronto and they have been slowly building some momentum with a 3-1 SU record in their last four games. Zach Collaros continued to light things up last week against Edmonton with 318 yards passing and one score while completing 25-of-35 attempts.

Winnipeg is coming off a much needed bye week after dropping five of its last six games SU. It was blown-out in two of those losses, but the average margin of defeat in the other three games was just 5.6 points. The Blue Bombers success this season has come against their old division with a 5-1 SU record in six previous games against the East. One injury note; quarterback Drew Willy remains questionable with a shoulder injury.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg won the first matchup this season 27-26 as a four-point road underdog, but the Tiger-Cats still have a 5-1 SU edge in the last six games and a 4-2 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last 10 meetings.

British Columbia (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) at Calgary (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS)

Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

The Lions have gone most of the season with Kevin Glenn under center due to various injuries to Travis Lulay. His overall numbers have been decent with the third-most passing yards in the league (2,703) and a respectable 63.5 completion percentage, but he has just one more touchdown throw (13) than interceptions (12).

Calgary sorely missed Bo Levi Mitchell at the helm as quarterback last week and he remains questionable for Saturday’s game with a knee injury. He is right behind Glenn in passing yards on the year with 2,554 and his completion percentage is 62.6, but the biggest difference is his 17 touchdown passes verse just five interceptions.

Betting Trends

BC squeezed by Calgary 25-24 in early August as a four-point road underdog to hand the Stampeders their only other SU loss this season. The home team in this series won the previous four games SU and ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games between these two division rivals.

CFL Week 14 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett
Oddsshark.com

Week 14 of the CFL betting slate offers up another four games starting on Friday with a doubleheader from Ottawa and Edmonton. The week's action then continues on Saturday with games in both Winnipeg and Calgary as the league enters its stretch run.

Fri Sep 26 - Montreal at Ottawa

Last 10 Meetings: Ottawa 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS | OU 0-1

The Ottawa RedBlacks fell to the Montreal Alouettes in their first meeting of the season back on August 29 as those division rivals hit the gridiron together again on Friday night. The Alouettes topped the RedBlacks 20-10 as a 4.5-point home favorite on the CFL odds in that earlier matchup, with the combined score producing an UNDER result.

Fri Sep 26 - Saskatchewan at Edmonton

Last 10 Meetings: Edmonton 6-4 SU, 7-3 ATS | OU 6-4

The OVER has paid off in five of the last six games between the Edmonton Eskimos and the Saskatchewan Roughriders as those Western teams meet late on Friday night this week for the first time this season. Edmonton and Saskatchewan met four times last season, with the Roughriders going 3-1 SU but just 1-3 ATS in those contests. Only one of those four games turned out to be an UNDER result on the CFL lines.

Sat Sep 27 - Hamilton at Winnipeg

Last 10 Meetings: Winnipeg 5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS | OU 3-7

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers edged the Hamilton Tiger-Cats as road underdogs on the CFL odds back on July 31 as those teams meet for the second time this season on Saturday night. Winnipeg beat Hamilton 27-26 as a 4.5-point underdog in that earlier meeting in an OVER result for totals bettors. The UNDER, though, is 5-2 in their last seven matchups dating back to the 2012 season.

Sat Sep 27 - B.C. at Calgary

Last 10 Meetings: Calgary 4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 6-4

The Calgary Stampeders were handed a rare loss by the B.C. Lions in their first meeting of the season on August 1 as they prepare to renew acquaintances on Saturday night. The Stampeders fell 25-24 at home to the Lions as 4-point favorites in August, dropping them to 1-3 both SU and ATS in the last four games between the two teams. The OVER paid off for totals bettors at the sportsbooks in their first meeting.

MONTREAL (4 - 8) at OTTAWA (1 - 10) - 9/26/2014, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 1-0 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 3) at EDMONTON (8 - 4) - 9/26/2014, 10:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-75 ATS (+32.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 71-97 ATS (-35.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
EDMONTON is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HAMILTON (4 - 7) at WINNIPEG (6 - 6) - 9/27/2014, 6:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-4 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 5) at CALGARY (10 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 9:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-4 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-4 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MONTREAL vs. OTTAWA
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Montreal

SASKATCHEWAN vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Saskatchewan's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Edmonton's last 18 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Edmonton is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games at home

HAMILTON vs. WINNIPEG
Hamilton is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Hamilton is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 11 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Winnipeg is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Hamilton

BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
British Columbia is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Calgary is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

StatFox Super Situations

BRITISH COLUMBIA at CALGARY
Play Against - Any team (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season 42-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% | 26.6 units ) 5-1 this year. ( 83.3% | 3.9 units )

MONTREAL at OTTAWA
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (OTTAWA) after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 24-9 since 1997. ( 72.7% | 0.0 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

MONTREAL at OTTAWA
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (OTTAWA) off a road loss, team with a losing record in the second half of the season 29-6 over the last 5 seasons. ( 82.9% | 22.4 units ) 4-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 4.0 units )

BRITISH COLUMBIA at CALGARY
Play Against - Any team (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season 42-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% | 26.6 units ) 5-1 this year. ( 83.3% | 3.9 units )

BRITISH COLUMBIA at CALGARY
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CALGARY) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season 22-5 since 1997. ( 81.5% | 0.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

BRITISH COLUMBIA at CALGARY
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season 43-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 74.1% | 26.5 units ) 5-1 this year. ( 83.3% | 3.9 units )

CFL Week 14

Montreal (4-8) @ Ottawa (1-10) -- Alouettes (-5) outrushed RedBlacks 183-60, beat Ottawa five weeks 20-10 at home; game was 8-3 Als at half. Total yardage was 429-330 in first series meeting. Montreal won three of last four games after 1-7 start behind former Tennessee QB Crompton; no turnovers in last two weeks (19 in first 10 games) has helped. Ottawa lost at Saskatchewan in OT in Regina last week, after leading 22-10 at half; RedBlacks are 3-2 as home dogs, 1-4 SU, nut only once have they trailed by more than a point at the half. Four of last five Ottawa games, six of last nine Montreal games stayed under the total.

Saskatchewan (9-3) @ Edmonton (8-4) -- First meeting this year between division rivals; Eskimos lost three of four in series LY, upsetting Roughriders 30-26 in Regina in last meeting. Edmonton lost three of last four games after a 7-1 start; they're 4-2 at home, 3-1 as home favorites with the favored team covering five of those six. five of last six series games went over total, as have three of last four Rider games. Saskatchewan has struggled with backup QB Sunseri under center; they are 8-1 in last nine games overall, but lost 28-3 at Hamilton two weeks ago, then trailed 22-10 at half to expansion Ottawa last week. Roughriders are 1-0 as an underdog this season.

Hamilton (4-7) @ Winnipeg (6-6) -- Winnipeg (+4) upset TiCats 27-26 in Hamilton in Week 6, passing for 361 yards, outgaining TiCats 444-232. It was first win for Bombers in last six series games. TiCats won last two visits here, 37-18/37-7; five of last seven series totals stayed under total. Hamilton won last three games after 1-7 start; they're 0-5 SU on road this year, with four of five losses by 7 or less points. Winnipeg lost three in row, five of last six games, after a 5-1 start, allowing 31.3 ppg in last three games. Bombers are 3-0 when they allow less than 23 points, 3-6 when they allow more. Hamilton scored 25+ points in its last four games.

BCLions (7-5) @ Calgary (10-2) -- Lions (+4) upset Calgary 25-24 on road in Week 6, taking ball away three times (+2) in game they trailed 21-10 at half. BC won three of last four series games, but lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 20-12-14 points. Stampeders lost for second time last week; they're 9-0 when they score 26+ points, but were held to 15 in Montreal. Lions won their last four road games- they're 2-0 as underdogs this year, winning both SU. Stampeders are 3-3 as home favorites, winning home games by 21-3-21-15-7 points. Under is 8-4 in Calgary games this season, 9-3 in Lion games.

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