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CFL Betting News and Notes Week 14

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(@blade)
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CFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Week 14 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : September 21, 2017 9:49 am
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Posts: 318493
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OTTAWA (5 - 7 - 1) at WINNIPEG (8 - 3) - 9/22/2017, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games this season.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
OTTAWA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

HAMILTON (2 - 9) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 6) - 9/22/2017, 11:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MONTREAL (3 - 9) at TORONTO (5 - 7) - 9/23/2017, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CALGARY (10 - 1 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 5) - 9/24/2017, 4:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-0 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : September 21, 2017 9:51 am
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OTTAWA vs. WINNIPEG
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 9 games

HAMILTON vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
Hamilton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games

MONTREAL vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Montreal's last 16 games
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Montreal
Toronto is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Montreal

CALGARY vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Calgary is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

 
Posted : September 21, 2017 9:51 am
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OTTAWA @ WINNIPEG
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 9 games
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

HAMILTON @ BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton

MONTREAL @ TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Montreal's last 18 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Toronto's last 18 games when playing Montreal

CALGARY @ SASKATCHEWAN
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

 
Posted : September 21, 2017 9:52 am
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CFL Week 14

Ottawa (5-7-1) @ Winnipeg (8-3) — Road team won last four series games; Bombers won 33-30 (+3.5) in first meeting this year, six weeks ago. Ottawa won 27-20/23-10 in last two visits here. RedBlacks won four of last five games after a 1-6-1 start; they’re 5-1 vs spread on road, winning last three away games SU. Under is 8-1-2 in their last 11 games. Winnipeg won six of last seven games after a 2-2 start; they’re 4-1 at home this year, 3-1 as a home favorite, with only loss to Calgary back in Week 3. Eight of last nine Blue Bomber games went over the total.

Hamilton (2-9) @ BC Lions (6-6) — Lions won last four series games, scoring 40+ points in three of four wins, three of which were by 15+ points. TiCats lost last five visits here, losing by 3-3-7-27-7 points. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Lions lost four of last five games after a 5-2 start; they’re 3-2 at home, 2-2 as a home favorite. Hamilton is 2-1 since its bye with new head coach Jones; under is 4-0-1 in their last five games. TiCats are 2-3 as road underdogs, covering their last two games on foreign soil. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Montreal (3-9) @ Toronto (5-7) — Home side won both series games this year; Montreal lost 38-6 here four weeks ago after beating Argos 21-9 the week before. Alouettes are 0-5 since that win; they’re 0-5 on road this season, 1-4 as a road underdog, wth losses by 4-5-7 points, then losses by 32-23 in last two road tilts. Under is 8-4 in their games this season. Toronto lost five of last seven games; they’re 4-2 at home, 2-1 as a home favorite. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Montreal-Toronto games.

Calgary (10-1-1) @ Saskatchewan (6-5) — Calgary won its last eight games (7-1 vs spread); they are 4-1-1 on road, 3-3 as road favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Stamps beat Saskatchewan 27-10 in first meeting this year; they’ve won last seven series games, taking last three here, by 7-3-9 points— last three series games stayed under total. Roughriders won four of last five games after a 2-4 start; Riders are 4-1 at home, with only loss back in Week 2, in OT to Winnipeg. Over is 3-1 in Saskatchewan’s last four games.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : September 21, 2017 9:54 am
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 14
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

The Saskatchewan Roughriders got back to their winning ways last Friday with 27-19 victory against Hamilton as three-point road favorites to kickoff action in Week 13 of the CFL season.

In the first of two games on Saturday, Toronto successfully defended its home turf as a four-point underdog in a 34-26 win over Edmonton. It was the Eskimos fifth straight-up loss in a row.

Calgary extended its current SU winning streak to eight games with Saturday’s 27-13 victory against British Columbia as a nine-point home favorite. The weekend’s betting action came to a close on Sunday with Ottawa hammering Montreal 29-11 in a game that closed as a PICK.

Friday, Sept. 22

Ottawa RedBlacks (5-7-1 SU, 9-4 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS)

Point-spread: Winnipeg -6.5
Total: 56

Game Overview

The RedBlacks lost a tough one to Winnipeg at home in early August 33-30 in a game they were favored to win by 3½ points. Ottawa is a perfect 4-0 against the spread when closing as an underdog as opposed to a 2-4 record ATS when closing as a favorite. Drew Tate got the start at quarterback on Sunday for an injured Trevor Harris and he ended the game completing 21 of his 29 passing attempts for 185 yards and a score. Ryan Lindley also saw action when Tate was injured towards the end of the first half.

The well-rested Blue Bombers are coming off a bye following a home-and-home split against Saskatchewan in their previous two games. Going back to 33-25 victory against Toronto on July 13, Winnipeg has been able to score at least 33 points in eight of its last nine games. Matt Nichols has led the way in the passing game with 3,287 yards and 22 touchdown throws and Andrew Harris has the third-most rushing yards in the CFL with 656.

Betting Trends

The road team in this inter-division clash has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS. The total went OVER 57 ½ points in the first meeting after staying UNDER in three of the previous four meetings.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-9 SU, 4-7 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (6-6 SU, 5-6-1 ATS)

Point-spread: BC -11.5
Total: 51.5

Game Overview

Hamilton’s brief two-game winning streak (SU and ATS) came to an end last week. Jeremiah Masoli put the ball up 48 times against Saskatchewan and he completed 28 passes for 328 yards and a score, but he was also picked off twice. He added another 62 yards on the ground to average 6.9 yards a carry. The Tiger-Cats’ defense gave up more than 22 points for the first time in three games.

The Lions have just one SU victory in their last five games while going 1-3-1 ATS during that same span. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in four of the five games. BC’s offense struggled against Calgary last week with just 167 yards through the air and 77 yards on the ground. Jonathon Jennings was back under center last week after losing his starting role to an injured Travis Lulay, who is out for the season with a knee injury.

Betting Trends

BC brings a four-game winning streak both SU and ATS in this inter-division series after knocking off Hamilton 41-26 on July 15 as a ½-point road favorite. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings.

Saturday, Sept. 23

Montreal Alouettes (3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (5-7 SU, 4-8 ATS)

Point-spread: Toronto -5.5
Total: 47

Game Overview

Montreal will be looking to stop a five-game losing streak (SU and ATS) that started with a 38-6 loss to Toronto as a 1½-point road underdog on Aug. 19. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the five games behind an offense that has averaged just 14 points in those five losses. The Alouettes are averaging 19.3 points per game on the year. Drew Willy got the start at quarterback last week and he threw for just 83 yards to match the team’s 83 yards on the ground.

Toronto stayed within a half game of Ottawa for the lead in the East Division with last week’s win. The victory against Edmonton was just its second in its last seven games both SU and ATS including a 21-9 loss to Montreal on Aug. 11 as an eight-point road underdog in the first game of that home-and-home series. The Argonauts are averaging 23.8 PPG behind Ricky Ray at quarterback and their defense is allowing an average of 25.3 points a game.

Betting Trends

The home team is 4-0 both SU and ATS in the last four meetings and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in nine of the last 10 games between these two bitter East Division rivals.

Sunday, Sept. 24

Calgary Stampeders (10-1-1 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS)

Point-spread: Calgary OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

The Stampeders are once again the class of the CFL behind their current SU eight-game winning streak. They have been pretty good to bettors along for the ride at 6-1-1 ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games behind a stifling defense that has not allowed more than 24 points in each of its last eight games. Bo Levi Mitchell is fourth in the league in passing yards (3,491) and Jerome Messam remains at the top of the list when it comes to rushing yards with 770.

If there is one team that might be able to challenge Calgary right now, it could be the Roughriders. They have won five of their last seven games both SU and ATS after falling to Calgary 27-10 on the road as 10-point underdogs on July 22. Brandon Bridge filled in for an injured Kevin Glenn last week and he looked pretty sharp completing 21 of his 31 passing attempts for 231 yards and three touchdown throws. Glenn could be back this week, but Bridge proved that he can run this offense.

Betting Trends

Calgary has won the last seven meetings SU while going 6-1 ATS. The total stayed UNDER 55 points in the first meeting this season and it has stayed UNDER in the last three games in this heated West Division clash.

 
Posted : September 21, 2017 9:56 am
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Week 14 CFL Pick & Prediction: Calgary at Saskatchewan
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com

We fell to 18-13 in the Canadian Football League on Friday, taking the collar, as my post Hurricane Irma selections have been horrible in all sports, but looking to get things headed back in the right direction today.

There’s just one game in the CFL this Sunday, as the NFL will naturally take center stage, along with the baseball pennant races and even the WNBA Finals will likely draw more interest, but still it’s a decent game between the Calgary Stampeders and Saskatchewan Roughriders. The Stampeders are favored by 6.5 and the total on the game is 54.5. A few 7s are starting to pop up Sunday morning and more may appear as we get closer to game time.

The Stampeders have owned the Roughriders in recent years, having captured the last nine games over the ‘Riders. Some of them have been close, while others have been a bit lopsided, including this season’s 27-10 victory in Calgary, as Saskatchewan was held to just 38 yards rushing and 182 yards passing. Calgary made the only turnover in the game, but gained nearly 400 yards and had little trouble, racing out to a 17-0 halftime lead and then playing on even terms in the second half.

One reason for Calgary’s dominance over the Roughriders lately has been their ability to run the ball, something you don’t always see a lot of in the three-down CFL. The Stampeders have gained 130 or more yards in four of the last five games, which has helped them in the time of possession battle and a CFL team that can move the ball on the ground has a distinct advantage over one that doesn’t.

The Roughriders have been playing much better of late, winning four of their last five games, and have given themselves a chance to make the playoffs, even though they are in fourth place in the West. Saskatchewan is 4-1 at home this season and won’t be a pushover in this spot, although it’s hard to buck the best team in the CFL and one who has dominated an opponent quite like the Stampeders have.

Calgary is leading the CFL with a 10-1-1 record, holding a three-point lead over 9-3 Winnipeg, while the next closest team is Edmonton with a 7-5 record and 14 points. With Montreal on tap, the Stampeders could be peeking ahead slightly, as the Alouettes pulled off the upset the first time they met, handing Calgary its lone loss of the season.

My numbers are calling for a fairly close game, having Calgary win 26-23, but I’ll grab the under 54.5 and hope the Stampeders have a bit more success on the ground and keep the clock moving.

 
Posted : September 24, 2017 7:42 am
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