CFL Betting Recap - Week 16
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 4-0 straight up in Week 16
Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 16
Home teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 16
Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 16
The over/under went 2-2 in Week 16
Team Betting Notes
Another week, another loss for Winnipeg (6-9). They're now 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS over the past nine games after starting out 5-1 SU/ATS and actually sharing first place in the West Division at one point.
BCLions (8-7) got back on track with a 41-3 pasting of expansion Ottawa (2-12). The big trend for BC lately is the 'under', which has cashed in seven of the past eight games, and is 12-3 overall.
Edmonton (10-5) rebounded with a win over the Blue Bombers, and they have now covered five straight games after starting out 5-5 ATS in the first 10 games.
After starting the season 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS, Montreal (6-8) is suddenly on a roll. They have won five out of the past six, going 5-1 ATS during the span.
Saskatchewan (9-6) was smashed for the third straight games. They have now failed to cover in five straight games.
Toronto (6-8) has rattled off three straight wins to get into the thick of the East Division race. However, they have failed to cover back-to-back games since their cover Sept. 19 at BC. The 'over' has cashed in four straight for the Argos.
OTTAWA (2 - 12) at HAMILTON (6 - 8) - 10/17/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 1-0 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL (6 - 8) at TORONTO (6 - 8) - 10/18/2014, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY (12 - 2) at WINNIPEG (6 - 9) - 10/18/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-0 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON (10 - 5) at SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 6) - 10/19/2014, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 6-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-4 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA vs. HAMILTON
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Ottawa is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
MONTREAL vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Montreal's last 18 games
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
CALGARY vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Calgary is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
EDMONTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Edmonton is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Edmonton's last 15 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Saskatchewan is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
StatFox Super Situations
CALGARY at WINNIPEG
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (WINNIPEG) with a winning percentage of between 40-49% in the second half of the season 29-6 since 1997. ( 82.9% | 22.4 units )
CALGARY at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season 44-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.3% | 26.4 units ) 6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 3.8 units )
MONTREAL at TORONTO
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TORONTO) off a home win over a division rival 49-15 since 1997. ( 76.6% | 32.5 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
CFL Betting Notes - Week 17
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
Toronto outlasted Hamilton 34-33 as a four-point home favorite to kickoff Week 16 in the CFL with the total going OVER the 52-point closing line, but lopsided blowouts were the story in the rest of the games.
British Columbia rolled to a 41-3 victory over Ottawa this past Saturday as a 10-point home favorite with the total just staying UNDER the 45-point betting line.
The Canadian Thanksgiving Holiday featured two Monday games starting with Montreal’s 40-9 rout of Saskatchewan as a three-point favorite at home. The total in that contest went OVER the 46-point line. Monday’s other game saw Edmonton roll to a 41-9 victory against Winnipeg as a nine-point home favorite. The total in that game stayed just UNDER the 50½-point closing line.
Friday, Oct. 17
Ottawa (2-12 SU, 5-9 ATS) at Hamilton (6-8 SU, 6-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -13
Total: 45
Game Overview
Ottawa’s 42-point outburst in a Week 15 victory against Winnipeg was apparently just an illusion as last week’s three points against BC was the sixth time the RedBlacks failed to score more than 10 points in their last eight games. They are still 3-2 against the spread in their last five games.
The Tiger-Cats now find themselves in a three-way tie with Montreal and Toronto for first place in the East Division race after their four-game straight-up winning streak was snapped. Quarterback Zach Collaros continues to light things up with 302 yards passing and 65 yards on the ground in last week’s loss to the Argonauts.
Betting Trends
Hamilton won the first meeting this season 33-23 as a seven-point home favorite. The total in that game went OVER the 47-point closing line. Ottawa is 1-6 ATS this season on the road, but Hamilton is just 2-5 ATS as a favorite.
Saturday, Oct. 18
Montreal (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS) at Toronto (6-8 SU, 6-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -4
Total: 52
Game Overview
The Alouettes extended their current winning streak to three games both SU and ATS with last week’s victory and they are now 5-1 both ways in their last six games. The once anemic Montreal offense has averaged 26.7 points per game during this six-game run. Jonathan Crompton threw for 225 yards and three touchdowns in the win over the Roughriders.
Toronto appears poised to make a run at a second-straight East title with three-straight wins as well. This run followed a four-game SU skid and over the course of the seven games the Argonauts have also gone 3-4 ATS. The total has gone OVER in their last four games with the offense putting-up at least 33 points in each of those outings.
Betting Trends
Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last six games against Toronto overall, but it remains a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five road games against the Argonauts. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 10 meetings.
Calgary (12-2 SU, 10-4 ATS) at Winnipeg (6-9 SU, 7-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9
Total: 49
Game Overview
Calgary was able to clinch a playoff spot while on a bye this week, but it realizes a win this Saturday would go a long way towards clinching the West Division title. The Stampeders remain the most consistent team in the CFL with an offense that is averaging 28 points a game complementing a defense that is ranked first in the league in average points allowed (18.8).
The Blue Bombers are in a complete nose dive with a SU six-game losing streak and a costly 1-5 mark ATS during this slide. Their defense has now allowed 30 points or more in four of those losses and the offense has all but ground to a halt with an average of just 12.3 points over their last four games.
Betting Trends
The Stampeders have won the last five meetings SU, but it is just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games played in Winnipeg. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings at Investors Group Field.
Sunday, Oct. 19
Edmonton (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS) at Saskatchewan (9-6 SU, 6-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -3½
Total: 48½
Game Overview
Edmonton assured itself a spot in the postseason with last week’s win, but it still has its sights set on the West Division title after posting three SU wins in its last five games. Anyone betting on the Eskimos over the past month or so have been rewarded with a 5-0 mark ATS. Slotback Adarius Bowman is having a season for the ages with 101 receptions for 1,241 yards and six touchdowns.
The loss of quarterback Darian Durant continues to plague the Roughriders, who have now dropped four of their last five games SU. Despite this slide, they have also clinched a playoff spot as a potential crossover team given the poor overall records in the East. Saskatchewan has been a drain on the bankroll during this slide with a 0-5 record ATS.
Betting Trends
The Eskimos have lost 13 of its last 18 road games SU against Saskatchewan in this West Division rivalry, but they have covered ATS in six of the last seven meetings overall. The total has gone OVER in 11 of their last 15 road games against the Roughriders.
CFL Week 17 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett
Oddsshark.com
The battle for top spot in the East remains tight heading into Week 17 of the season with each of the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, Toronto Argonauts, and Montreal Alouettes having designs on first place in the division with just four weeks left in the season.
Find all of this week's CFL betting lines plus updated Grey Cup futures at Bovada.
Ottawa at Hamilton
Last 10 Meetings: Hamilton 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS | OU 1-0
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats will be looking for another win and cover against the expansion Ottawa RedBlacks as those two Eastern teams meet for the second time this season on Friday night. The Tiger-Cats got past the RedBlacks by a score of 33-23 as a 6.5-point home favorite in their first meeting on July 26, turning in an OVER result for totals bettors. The Tiger-Cats continue to battle for top spot in the Eastern standings, while the RedBlacks head into the matchup a CFL-worst 2-12 SU and 5-9 ATS.
Montreal at Toronto
Last 10 Meetings: Toronto 5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS | OU 1-9
The OVER has only paid out once in the last 10 games between the Toronto Argonauts and the Montreal Alouettes as those teams hit the gridiron together on Saturday afternoon. The Argonauts blasted the Alouettes in their first meeting of the season back on August 1, winning 31-5 as a 2-point road underdog in a game that fell UNDER the posted total of 50.5 points. The Argos and Als split their four meetings last season 2-2 both SU and ATS.
Calgary at Winnipeg
Last 10 Meetings: Winnipeg 1-9 SU, 4-4-2 ATS | OU 6-4
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers will be looking to snap a nine-game SU losing streak against the Calgary Stampeders on Saturday night as those Western teams meet for the first time this season. Winnipeg last beat Calgary SU back in 2009, going 0-2 both SU and ATS in their two matchups last season. Calgary also swept Winnipeg both SU and ATS in their two games in 2012, with the OVER paying out for totals bettors in three of their past five matchups.
Edmonton at Saskatchewan
Last 10 Meetings: Saskatchewan 4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS | OU 5-5
The Saskatchewan Roughriders are winless ATS in their last four games against the Edmonton Eskimos are those Western teams close out Week 17 of the CFL season on Sunday afternoon this week. The Eskimos blanked the Roughriders 24-0 as a 5.5-point home favorite on the CFL betting lines in their first meeting of the season on September 26 in an UNDER result for totals bettors. The Roughriders have only managed to pay out once in their last seven games against the Eskimos dating back to the 2012 season.
CFL Week 17
Ottawa (2-12) @ Hamilton (6-8) -- TiCats (-7) beat Ottawa 33-22 here in Week 5, running ball for 197 yards in game that was 20-17 at half. Hamilton won five of last six games, losing by a point in Toronto last week; they're 3-4 as home favorites this year, 6-2 SU with three of six home wins by 1 or 2 points. RedBlacks are 1-6 as road underdogs, losing 41-3 at BC last week; they've covered three of last five games overall. Six of last eight Ottawa games, four of last five TiCat tilts stayed under total.
Montreal (6-8) @ Toronto (6-8) -- Oddly these two teams are tied for first place in East. Toronto (+2) hammered Alouettes 31-5 in Week 6, holding Als to 167 yards in game that was only 10-5 at half. Argos won four of last six series games, but Montreal won its last three visits here, as home teams lost last seven series games. Argos won last three games despite allowing 29.7 ppg, winning last two games 33-32/34-33; they're 1-2 as home favorites this year. Alouettes won three in row, five of last six games, covering all five wins; they're 1-4 as road underdogs. Last four Toronto tilts went over the total.
Edmonton (10-5) @ Saskatchewan (9-6) -- Roughriders are in freefall, losing four of last five, with only win 35-32 over lowly Ottawa; Riders lost last three games by combined score of 95-33, with a 24-0 loss at Edmonton three weeks ago, when Eskimos ran ball for 299 yards, outgained Riders 454-205 with +2 turnover ratio. Edmonton is 5-2 vs spread on road but lost last two away games by total of 3 points, at Hamilton/Toronto. Five of last seven Saskatchewan games went over total, but three of last four Edmonton games stayed under.
Calgary (12-2) @ Winnipeg (6-9) -- Blue Bombers lost last six games (0-5 vs spread last five) with three of last four losses by 22+ points; Winnipeg lost four of last five home games- they've also lost last nine games with Calgary, losing last four played here by 3-1-11-13 points. Calgary has three less losses than anyone else in CFL, winning eight of last nine games, covering six of seven as a road favorite, but their last four wins were all by exactly seven points. Three of Winnipeg's last four games stayed under the total.
Armadillosports.com
StatFox Super Situations
MONTREAL at TORONTO
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TORONTO) off a home win over a division rival 49-15 since 1997. ( 76.6% | 32.5 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
CALGARY at WINNIPEG
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, team with a losing record in the second half of the season 26-14 since 1997. ( 65.0% | 0.0 units ) 1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | 0.0 units )
CALGARY at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season 44-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.3% | 26.4 units ) 6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 3.8 units )