CFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Week 17 from various handicappers and websites
CFL Betting Recap - Week 16
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Underdogs went 3-1 SU in Week 16
Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 16
Road teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 16
Road teams posted a 4-0 ATS record in Week 16
The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 16
Analysis
For the second consecutive weekend road teams dominated, going 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS over the span. In Week 16, it was a clean sweep, as the road teams went 4-0 SU/ATS, with two of the four games decided by 17 or more points.
Perhaps the most surprising result on the board was the win by Hamilton (4-10) over the previously red hot Winnipeg (10-4). The Tiger-Cats opened the season 0-8 SU/2-6 ATS, but they have rattled off victories in four of the past six outings while going 4-2 ATS. The exacted revenge on the Blue Bombers for a 39-12 setback on Aug. 12 at Tim Horton's Stadium, and even at six games below .500 the Ti-Cats are smack dab in the middle of the playoff chase in the awful East Division. Crazy.
Edmonton (8-6) finally slapped the brakes on their freefall, snapping a six-game losing streak against doormat Montreal (3-12), 42-24. The Eskimos opened the season 7-0 SU. but they had lost six in a row dating back to Aug. 10. The win and cover also snapped a 1-5 ATS skid for the Esks.
Team Betting Notes
Ottawa (6-9-1) picked up an important win, besting the rested BC Lions (6-8 ) in Vancouver. Despite the bye week, the Lions were unable to snap their three-game 0-3 SU/ATS skid. They have also dropped six of the past seven outings while going 1-6 ATS after a 4-1 SU start.
The 17-loss for the Blue Bombers against the Ti-Cats was shocking, as they entered 3-0 SU/ATS over the past three outings, while going 8-1 over their past nine outings. The 13 points were their fewest since Week 2 when they managed just 10 against Calgary (12-1-1). The Bombers will look to bounce back againstthe Lions. Winnipeg lost a 45-42 shootout in Vancouver back on July 21.
Toronto (7-8 ) continue to be a difficult team to figure. They looked like they had it going in the right direction with a 3-0 SU/ATS mark over their three games entering Week 16, but they fell at home to Saskatchewan (8-6) by a 27-24 count. The 'under' result for the Argos also snapped a three-game 'over' run.
The Roughriders have won consecutive games for just the second time this season, and defense has been a big reason for their turnaround lately. They have allowed just 18.8 PPG over the past four outings, all 'under' results. Their offense is doing barely enough during the span, posting just 18.0 PPG over the past three contests.
CALGARY (12 - 1 - 1) at HAMILTON (4 - 10) - 10/13/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA (6 - 9 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 6) - 10/13/2017, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 8 ) at WINNIPEG (10 - 4) - 10/14/2017, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-0 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO (7 - 8 ) at EDMONTON (8 - 6) - 10/14/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY @ HAMILTON
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Hamilton's last 10 games when playing Calgary
OTTAWA @ SASKATCHEWAN
Ottawa is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
BRITISH COLUMBIA @ WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
British Columbia is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing British Columbia
TORONTO @ EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
CALGARY vs. HAMILTON
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Calgary is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Hamilton's last 24 games at home
OTTAWA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Ottawa is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Saskatchewan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. WINNIPEG
British Columbia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
British Columbia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Winnipeg is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Winnipeg's last 22 games
TORONTO vs. EDMONTON
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Toronto is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games
Edmonton is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 10 games when playing Toronto
StatFox Super Situations
OTTAWA at SASKATCHEWAN
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SASKATCHEWAN) off a non-conference game 45-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.9% | 31.8 units ) 10-3 this year. ( 76.9% | 6.7 units )
CALGARY at HAMILTON
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (HAMILTON) after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 8.6 or more yards/play in their previous game 33-6 since 1997. ( 84.6% | 0.0 units )
CALGARY at HAMILTON
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after gaining 500 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 120 or more total yards in their previous game 34-8 since 1997. ( 81.0% | 25.2 units )
CFL Betting Notes - Week 17
By David Schwab
Road underdogs were the big winners this past weekend in the CFL. Hamilton got things started on Friday night with a stunning 30-13 victory against Winnipeg as a 12-point road underdog. Saturday’s action got underway with Saskatchewan pulling off a 27-24 road victory against Toronto as a slight one-point underdog and the day ended with Ottawa getting past British Columbia 30-25 as a four-point underdog on the road.
Canada celebrated its Thanksgiving holiday on Monday with Edmonton rolling over Montreal 42-24 as a 7½-point road favorite to snap its recent straight-up six-game losing streak.
Friday, Oct. 13
Calgary Stampeders (12-1-1 SU, 9-4-1 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-10 SU, 6-8 ATS)
Game Overview
The Stampeders are coming off a well-deserved bye week. They ran their current SU winning streak to 10 games after dismantling Montreal 59-11 in Week 15 as heavy 17-point favorites at home. They have gone a highly profitable 8-1-1 against the spread during this run with the total staying UNDER five of the last seven contests. Calgary is averaging 33.1 points per game while holding opponents to just 17.3 PPG.
Hamilton’s stunning upset against Winnipeg was led by Jeramiah Masoli throwing the ball and Brandon Banks catching it. Masoli completed an impressive 81.8 percent of his 33 passing attempts for 338 yards and two touchdowns. Banks came down with six receptions for 104 yards and a score. The Tiger-Cats ended the game with 484 yards of total offense.
Betting Trends
Calgary won the first meeting this season 60-1 as a 13-point home favorite to extend its winning streak ATS to four games. The total went OVER 55 points after staying UNDER in the previous nine meetings.
Ottawa RedBlacks (6-9-1 SU, 11-5 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-6 SU, 8-6 ATS)
Game Overview
Ottawa’s win last week combined with Toronto’s loss has the RedBlacks in the thick of the East Division title race. They have now covered in six of their last eight games with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in seven of those contests. Ottawa got a huge effort from Trevor Harris in Saturday’s victory with 380 yards passing and three passing touchdowns. He is now third in the CFL in passing yards (4,104) and second in touchdown throws (26).
The Roughriders helped their postseason chances with a pair of road wins against Ottawa and Toronto in their last two games. They beat the RedBlacks 18-17 two weeks ago as 2½-point road favorites. In the win against the Argonauts, Brandon Bridge took the majority of the snaps at quarterback in place of Kevin Glenn and completed 20-of-28 attempts for 292 yards and two scores.
Betting Trends
With the previous victory against Ottawa in Week 15, the Roughriders are 5-2 SU in the last seven meetings. Ottawa still holds the slight 4-3 edge ATS and the total has gone OVER in five of the seven games.
Saturday, Oct. 14
British Columbia Lions (6-8 SU, 5-8-1 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-4 SU, 10-4 ATS)
Game Overview
BC is last in the West Division at 6-8, but still very much alive for a crossover spot in the playoffs given current the records in the East Division standings. The Lions have not played with any kind of consistency since early Augusts with just one SU victory in their last seven games while going a costly 1-5-1 ATS. Jonathon Jennings did turn in one of his more productive outings last week with 375 yards passing and three touchdown throws.
Last week’s loss to Hamilton could have come at a steep cost with quarterback Matt Nichols leaving that game with an injury to his throwing hand. His status for this Saturday remains up in the air. Backup Dominique Davis connected on nine of his 14 passing attempts for 84 yards in relief. Nichols is fourth in the CFL in passing and he leads the league in touchdown passes with 27.
Betting Trends
BC won the first meeting this season 45-42 as a four-point home favorite. The home team has won four of the last six meetings SU, but the Blue Bombers have covered ATS in the last six games in this West Division tilt. The total has gone OVER in the last five games.
Toronto Argonauts (7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (8-6 SU, 5-9 ATS)
Game Overview
Toronto’s recent three-game winning streak both SU and ATS came to an end with the loss to Saskatchewan last week, but veteran quarterback Ricky Ray continued to put up some big numbers with 341 yards passing and two scoring strikes in the losing effort. James Wilder led an effective running game with 72 yards rushing on 13 carries as part of the top two playmakers for an Argonauts’ offense that is averaging 25.7 points per game.
The Eskimos may have resurrected their season with Monday’s win and they actually remain in position to still lock up the No. 2 seed in the West if they can finish the year on a strong note and get some help closing the gap with Winnipeg. Mike Reilly continues to lead the CFL in passing yards with 4,546 and he added 286 yards to that total against Montreal. He left the game in the fourth quarter will a lower body injury, but remains listed as probable for Saturday.
Betting Trends
Toronto took the series opener 34-26 on Sept. 26 as a four-point home underdog, but Edmonton still has a 5-2 edge ATS in the last seven meetings. The total has gone OVER in the last four meetings.
CFL Week 17
Calgary (12-1-1) @ Hamilton (4-10) — Calgary (-13) waxed the Ti-Cats 60-1 back on July 29, but now June Jones coaches Hamilton- they’re 4-2 in last six games after an 0-8 start, with both losses by 8 points. Hamilton is 4-0 vs spread as a double digit underdog this year- five of their last six games stayed under. Stampeders won their last ten games (9-1 vs spread); they’re 4-3 vs spread as a road favorite. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Calgary won 10 games in a row vs Hamilton, winning last four visits here, by 11-24-10-3 points.
Ottawa (6-9-1) @ Saskatchewan (8-6) — Roughriders won six of last eight games, are 3-0 as a home favorite this year- favorites covered five of their six home games. Riders (-3) won 18-17 in Ottawa two weeks ago, outscoring RedBlacks 11-0 in 4th quarter. Saskatchewan won last three series games; underdogs covered 3 of last 4 series games. Over is 5-2 in this series. Ottawa is 2-3 in its last five games; they’re 4-2 as road underdogs this year. Five of last six RedBlack games stayed under the total. This is fourth road game in last five weeks for Ottawa.
BCLions (6-8 ) @ Winnipeg (10-4) — Blue Bombers covered last six series games, last five of which were decided by 3 or less points. Last five series games went over total. Lions lost last two visits here, 23-15/37-35; they beat Winnipeg 45-42 (-4) in first meeting 45-42 this year, but BC lost six of last seven games overall, losing last four home games by 11-33-7-14 points. Bombers are 8-2 in last ten games, but lost as a 12-point home favorite to Hamilton LW. Winnipeg is 4-2 as a home favorite this season.
Toronto (7-8 ) @ Edmonton (8-6) — Argonauts (+4) upset Edmonton 34-26 at home three weeks ago; last time they swept season series from Eskimos was 2006. Over is 11-2 in last 13 series games. Toronto lost last three visits to Edmonton, by 14-23-24 points. Argos won three of last four games; they’re 2-5 on road, 1-4 as a road underdog, with losses by 8-12-12-16-7 points. Edmonton snapped 6-game skid with win over woeful Montreal LW; Eskimos lost their last three home games; they’re 1-5 as home favorites. Over is 8-3 in last 11 Eskimos games, 3-1 in last four Argonaut games.
Armadillosports.com